Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Miles City
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MC-2   05/14/2022 3465ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($3.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GABBY TOM Apr30 Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb25 (ecoffey gilbert)WOOD DAKOTA 126 2.00 28% 2.60    
2  BELIEVE IN PARTS May08 May07 May01 Apr15 Apr01 (schindler kyle)LARSEN S 126 2.50 29% 2.40    
3  DO DA DAN         (coleman )BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 8.00 22% 3.50    
4  TWO SOCKS MAC Apr15         (schindler jef)WHITE J 126 7.00 ★    
5  RHETTROACTIVE May07 May01 Apr16 Apr01 Mar19 (ecoffey gi)PRECIADO A 126 4.50    
6  DARK LEOPARD May07 Apr08       (schindler jeff)BEETEM BRIAN 126 3.00 ★    
 
MC-3   05/14/2022 3465ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($3.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOSS THE FLAG May08         (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 1.60 43% 1.40    
2  EVERYDAYISAGOODDAY         (birdra)BIRDRATTLER E 126 3.00 ★    
3  EMMETT CAT May08 May07 Apr01 Mar18   (schindler jeff)BEETEM BRIAN 126 2.00 20% 3.90    
4  FULL THROTTLE May08 May07 Apr16 Apr02 Mar18 (ecoffey gilbert)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.50 ★    
 
MC-4   05/14/2022 3465ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($3.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HADLEYS CHARM May08         (meineke )BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 121 1.60 35% 1.90    
2  AUNT GAYLE         (birdra)BIRDRATTLER E 121 6.00 ★    
3  LITTLE JOHN Apr16 Mar26 Mar19 Mar04 Feb26 (ecoffey gilbert)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  CLASSY VINTAGE         (birdrattler ti)BEETEM BRIAN 126 3.50 ★    
5  COUNTRY SUMMER         (birdrattle)PRECIADO A 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOONLIGHT BLUE Apr02 Mar26 Feb16 Jan26 Jan11 (birdrattler harlan)LARSEN S 126 4.00    
 
MC-7   05/14/2022 3465ft DIRT RC0 Allowance Purse ($3.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARBUCKLE OUTLAW May07 Apr11 Mar23 Mar09 Feb10 (jones )BIRDRATTLER E 126 8.00 ★    
2  JULIE ARKANSAS         (lafferty duane)LARSEN S 121 4.50 ★    
3  REDDISH Apr20 Mar25 Mar14 Mar02 Feb14 (nelson bucksho)BEETEM BRIAN 126 2.00 28% 2.60    
4  ONE SHOT TO WIN         (schmitt b)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  OFF THE BOOKS Mar31 Mar21 Mar07 Jan28 Jan10 (birdratt)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 3.00 ★    
6  BIG CALI GIRL May01 Apr22 Mar20 Feb27 Feb20 (ecoffey gilbert)WOOD DAKOTA 121 7.00    
 
MC-8   05/14/2022 3465ft DIRT RC0 Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($3.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE FOR RANSOM May08 Apr23 Apr10 Mar26 Mar11 (ecoffey gilbert)WOOD DAKOTA 126 2.00 ★    
2  RIDGEFIELD ROCKET         (birdra)BIRDRATTLER E 126 7.00 28% 2.60    
3  HILL CROOME May08         (meineke )BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 5.00 ★    
4  SAN GIORGIO May08         (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 1.80 42% 1.40    
5  ARCHRIVAL Apr10 Mar12       (ecoffey gi)PRECIADO A 126 8.00    
6  MITCHELL COUNTY May07         (coleman michae)BEETEM BRIAN 126 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.