Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-1   05/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLY RUNNER         (smith rob)NELSON DANE 120 10.00 17% 4.90    
2  BEAUTIFUL CALL Apr25         (smith craig )WALCOTT W 120 5.00 ★    
3  HIGH KELLY BABE Mar21         (bourne elige)BALROOP SVEN 115 20.00 ★    
4  JEWEL OF DENIAL Mar25 Mar04 Feb15     (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 4.00 22% 3.50    
5  WICKED WIZZY         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 39% 1.50    
 
CTM-2   05/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAKE THE RAKE         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
2  KENTUCKY LEGEND         (saunders l)NELSON DANE 121 5.00 ★    
3  SECRET TRAILS         (kettles)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 121 20.00    
4  STREAKIN AGAIN         (wendland w)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 121 15.00 11% 8.30    
5  BRADYDABOSS         (kettleson)ZENTENO JR 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  RUN ROSSCO RUN         (petrowski )RIZO ALEXIS 126 10.00 ★    
 
CTM-3   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL OL FLATTER Apr30         (frey carson)WALCOTT W 123 4.00 12% 7.70    
2  BELLS AND WHISTLES Apr30         (smith ro)KELLY KEIMAR 118 3.00    
3  FLASHY SISTER         (d)PALACIOS ALBERTO 123 15.00 ★    
4  GO MAMA         (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
5  LUCY TREASURE May07         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.20 39% 1.60    
6  TALA Apr30         (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 123 10.00 ★    
 
CTM-4   05/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORIADOR         (palma )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 10.00 ★    
2  LINCHPIN STORM Apr25 Mar17 Feb21 Feb10 Jan27 (brown r)WALCOTT W 123 6.00 19% 4.30    
3  GREEK GEEK Apr05 Mar02       (rycroft tim)NELSON DANE 126 2.00 ★    
4  STONE CARVER Apr05 Mar02 Feb14     (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  MASKWECIS         (smith k)MUIR SHAMAREE 123 20.00 9% 10.10    
 
CTM-5   05/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PULL THE PIN         (walper de)ZENTENO JR 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
2  FAST EH May07         (davies dea)RIZO ALEXIS 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
3  EXHI KID         (humbke cheryl)MUIR SHAMAREE 124 10.00 ★    
4  NEVVARE         (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 8.00 ★    
5  CHARMING VINTAGE Mar21 Mar07 Feb07     (wyness james)BRYAN D 124 15.00    
6  PAULIE WALNUTS         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 1.40 30% 2.30    
 
CTM-6   05/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASYOUBELIEVE         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.00 14% 6.00    
2  SLAATS Apr25 Mar30 Jan30     (brown r)WALCOTT W 122 1.00 61% 0.60    
3  DRINKING AGAIN Feb17 Jan28       (brown r)NELSON DANE 122 4.00 ★    
4  SNAP COUNT May07         (petrowski)ZENTENO JR 122 20.00    
5  WILDCAT WILLY         (bourne elige)BALROOP SVEN 117 15.00 ★    
6  FLASHFORDANI Apr13         (tracy greg)PRESCOD N'RICO 117 6.00 ★    
 
CTM-7   05/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME GIGI Apr30         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.00 21% 3.80    
2  JODEAN Apr12 Mar29 Feb23 Feb09   (tracy greg)PRESCOD N'RICO 115 2.00 53% 0.90    
3  TOP DEMON Apr30         (cone rodney)BYNOE DESEAN 120 8.00 ★    
4  SCARLETTE ROSE         (petrowski)ZENTENO JR 125 10.00    
SCR  MARACOCA'S DREAM         (payne jodey)BRYAN D 125 12.00    
6  AMBER PRINCESS         (robertson jerr)BALROOP SVEN 120 15.00 ★    
7  I'MANIMPERIALGIRL Apr30         (joseph lionel)KELLY KEIMAR 120 20.00    
8  SHE'S EXPENSIVE Apr06 Mar24 Feb21 Jan29 Jan15 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-8   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMILE MARY Apr30         (joseph lione)WALCOTT W 125 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  SMOKEDYA         (joseph lionel)BRYAN D 125 20.00    
3  LANA'S PRETTY GIRL         (petrowski jo)ZENTENO RAFAEL 125 5.00 ★    
4  KOWBOYS SISTER Jan12         (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 120 8.00    
5  JAGEN         (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 ★    
6  GOTCHA JENNY Apr30 Mar28       (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 3.00 34% 1.90    
7  LIL MISS MUD Apr30         (russel)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 12.00    
8  ROSA RICHTER Apr30         (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 15.00 6% 15.50    
SCR  NO MORE RINGS         (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 125 8.00    
 
CTM-9   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROBISHER BAY Apr30         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 126 10.00    
2  CHASKA         (saunders l)NELSON DANE 126 10.00 8% 11.00    
3  ITS ALL ON SLEW Apr30         (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 121 8.00 10% 8.60    
4  EVER TRUE Apr30         (smith craig )WALCOTT W 126 2.00 29% 2.40    
5  PURELY GIVEN Apr27 Feb02       (ferguson laur)BYNOE DAMARIO 126 12.00    
6  BOOKIE         (smith k)MUIR SHAMAREE 126 3.00    
7  INTENT TO STRIKE         (o'hagan colle)ZENTENO EDGAR 126 6.00    
8  NO MORE GAMES         (webster alfred)BALROOP SVEN 121 20.00    
9  ADRIEN'S AURORA         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 126 8.00 6% 16.30    
10  BUCKYS PICK Apr30         (o'hagan coll)ZENTENO RAFAEL 126 15.00 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.