Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - May 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR LIPS Apr13 Mar23       (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
WRIGHT RUSSELL Apr14         (johnson jam)MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 4.00    
GOLDEN METTLE Apr14 Feb25 Feb05     (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 117 1.80 18% 4.50    
S S ALASKAN CRUZ Mar10         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 116 10.00 16% 5.20    
GHOST MINE Jan26         (pyke joseph)MARRERO R 122 6.00    
QUIET JUSTICE Apr20 Apr02       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.50    
 
CT-2   05/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN BACK Apr21 Mar31 Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
MIDNIGHT DRAGON Apr21         (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
SAFE REEZAN Apr06 Mar03 Jan28 Jan01   (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 118 1.80 38% 1.70    
MIDNIGHT FLING Apr16 Apr02 Mar09 Feb12   (brown keit)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
UNTAMED LADY Apr21 Mar31 Mar23 Mar04 Feb06 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  SUNDAY SWAGGER Apr20 Mar30 Mar13 Mar04 Feb21 (contessa )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
ANCHORETTE         (lacroix gene)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
 
CT-3   05/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHOSE THAT LADY         (armstrong l)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.00    
SCR  BOOMTOWN Mar26 Mar02       (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
MOJO MATTERS Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Jan28 Jan14 (davis russe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50    
SPUNKY ALI CAT Apr01 Feb12 Jan28     (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
FASHION ICON Apr23 Apr01       (locklear jame)SIMPSON JASON 122 3.50    
SHE'S MISS ARTIE Apr30 Apr21       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
CT-4   05/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE DOWN BELOW Mar31 Mar11 Jan14     (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00 18% 4.70    
BEVERLY PARK May07 Apr21 Apr14 Apr01 Mar25 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 1.00 51% 0.90    
PROTA Mar31 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 6% 15.10    
AWESOME BUZZ Mar31 Mar11 Jan14     (scott lloyd )ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 30.00    
SCR  MR. WALSH May06 Feb18 Jan19     (o'callahan c)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
SCR  FAST LOADED Apr30 Apr20 Apr09 Mar25 Mar05 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 12.00    
KING NEKIA Apr21 Mar31 Mar11 Feb26 Feb03 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00    
SCR  MOTI Apr11 Mar11 Feb11 Jan13   (graci kimbe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 8.00    
SCR  MARTIN MAN Apr21 Mar31 Mar10 Feb18 Jan27 (sanders)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 10.00    
 
CT-5   05/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOBAL EMPRESS Mar10         (anderson pa)RAMGEET R 124 5.00 8% 11.40    
IHEARTRAINACOMN Apr16 Mar30 Mar09 Feb24 Jan28 (tobin l)CECIL Y 116 50.00    
BOWMANS LAZY GIRL         (bowman d)LIMA FELINO 117 50.00    
JUST ASK ME         (armstrong l)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
SHENANDOAH CAT Apr21         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 2.50 9% 10.50    
VALUED ENERGY Apr21 Mar31       (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 124 12.00    
SAYYESTOTHELADY Apr21         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 10.00    
FULL MOON LOVER Apr21 Feb11 Jan14     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 1.00 60% 0.70    
 
CT-6   05/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCUSES EXCUSES Apr27 Apr09 Mar26 Mar10 Feb24 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 118 8.00    
THUNDER PUNCH Feb10         (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 122 2.00    
FLIRTING FUHR AVIE May05 Apr06 Mar24 Feb26 Feb05 (campbell mar)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 20.00 15% 5.60    
STROLLNTOTHEBANK Jan26         (obed-letts )MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 2.50 25% 3.10    
WITNESS THE ENERGY Apr14 Mar05 Jan28     (lucas a)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 6.00    
HANDSOME JOANIE Apr14 Mar26 Mar05 Feb10   (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 5.00 16% 5.10    
TRIPLE GALA Apr28 Apr14 Mar26 Feb19 Feb02 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
CT-7   05/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLEN CAN DO IT Mar26 Mar05 Feb18 Jan28   (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 10.00    
PISTOL P Mar25 Mar02 Jan15     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 15% 5.70    
JUNGLE BEAST Apr16 Mar26 Feb25     (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
CHIEF RON Apr02 Feb13 Jan08     (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 5.00    
SPUNMAN Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 Jan26   (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 6.00 11% 8.50    
MINISTRY OF MAGIC Mar31 Mar05 Feb05     (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00    
TAPIT TO THE WIRE Mar26 Mar05 Jan13     (runco j)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 15.00 7% 14.40    
 
CT-8   05/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARRY KARAFIN BETS Apr21 Mar23 Mar03 Jan26   (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
BOATSWAIN Mar02 Feb15 Jan26 Jan12   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
RESIDENT Apr21 Mar25 Feb20 Feb02   (tobin l)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
EPIC WEST Apr21 Apr13 Mar31 Mar04 Feb10 (tsiamis art)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
WIDGET FACTORY Apr15 Mar09 Feb11     (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
GRAND FIBER Apr21 Mar23 Mar03     (mangual man)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 12.00    
FEDERALE Apr30 Mar31 Mar10 Jan20   (butts )ENRIQUEZ JR 117 8.00    
BULL SHARK Apr30 Apr02 Jan16     (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 1.40 24% 3.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.