Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - May 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Apr13 Mar17       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50    
REMYS GUNSMOKE Apr23 Apr06 Mar16 Feb12 Jan15 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 35% 1.80    
BUDDY BUDDY Apr27         (collins tim)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 5% 18.50    
SCARE DEM Apr23 Apr06 Mar17     (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00 5% 18.50    
SPECTACULO Apr13 Mar26 Feb03 Jan15   (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00    
LOGSTRADAMUS         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
WATCHING SNOW FLY May04 Apr13 Mar23 Mar03 Feb12 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 5.00    
 
CT-2   05/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOLTAMOUR Apr20 Mar20 Feb27 Feb11 Jan22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 28% 2.50    
JUST NOD AND SMILE Apr29 Apr14       (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
GHOST ON A MISSION Apr20 Mar31 Mar04     (schottroffe )BATISTA A 122 8.00    
CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Apr20 Mar19 Feb19 Feb03 Jan12 (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 120 10.00    
SUSPIROS Apr15 Mar25 Mar18 Mar09 Feb26 (tobin edwin )TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
DUNLUCE CAISSLE Apr20 Mar31 Mar04 Feb19 Jan28 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00    
MR. MAZZA Apr08 Mar19 Mar02     (cruz jesus)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.60 29% 2.40    
 
CT-3   05/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GANGHIS KHAN Apr14         (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
C R'S UNCLE LINO Apr27 Apr06       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.40 39% 1.60    
CHARTERED COURSE Apr27         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
ROAD SLEW Apr23         (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
TIMMY Apr06         (gazzier kri)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 8% 12.20    
YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Apr06         (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 7% 12.80    
ROCKET J. Apr20 Feb12       (kopecki e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
 
CT-4   05/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE CALIFORNIA Apr20 Mar30 Mar10 Feb17   (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 10.00    
BETTER BOAT Apr23 Apr14 Mar05 Feb12   (downie lofflin)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 23% 3.40    
SARAH BELLUM Apr23 Mar30 Feb12     (geris samuel)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
TOTALLY PERFECT Mar30 Mar13 Mar05 Jan07   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 37% 1.70    
MOONLIGHT MISS Apr20 Mar09       (shanley timo)MORALES KELVIN 120 2.00    
RHYTHM TREE Apr23 Mar30 Mar05 Feb12 Jan28 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
COLETTE'S SPIRIT Apr21 Mar05 Feb12 Jan12   (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 8.00 7% 12.40    
HOLIDAY CONNECTION Mar05 Feb19 Jan23     (o'neill)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 15.00    
 
CT-5   05/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARLEESBEEBEE Mar26 Mar05 Feb10     (bowman d)LIMA FELINO 113 15.00    
DEREKA'S BLUFF Apr28 Mar17 Mar05 Feb10 Feb02 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 2.00 6% 15.40    
LADY SPARROW Apr30 Apr09 Mar03 Feb10 Jan12 (myers larry)CECIL Y 121 20.00    
REAL APPEAL (GER) Apr28 Mar31 Mar10 Feb17 Feb02 (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
TIZ EVAN'S HONEY Apr28 Apr01       (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
LIME AFTER LIME Apr28 Mar16 Feb24     (contrer)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 3.00 11% 8.40    
SISTER JOANN Apr21 Apr09 Mar16 Mar05 Feb19 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 12.00    
HAZY WINTER Apr22 Apr09 Mar30 Mar09 Feb24 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 12.00    
 
CT-6   05/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIL MISS FIBER May05 Apr22 Apr01 Mar23 Mar11 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
U S FUNDS Feb10         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 8% 11.00    
LA RUFINA Apr22 Mar23 Feb05 Jan14   (calvert)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 15.00    
NOT FOR GOLD Apr01 Mar23 Feb26 Feb05 Jan14 (brown keit)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00    
ANCHOR'S FIRSTLADY Apr01 Mar19 Mar09     (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00    
LADY LICIOUS Apr01 Mar23 Feb02     (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
VINTAGE GIN Apr14 Apr01 Mar10 Feb04   (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
LUNAR PRAYER Apr06 Mar26 Mar11 Feb02 Jan12 (boykins kevin)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
SECRET CASTLE Apr01 Feb24 Jan12     (comi w)PELTROCHE F 124 1.40 28% 2.60    
 
CT-7   05/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($30.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARITABLE SPENNY Apr08 Jan27       (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
HOBE SOUND (IRE) Apr29 Mar19 Mar02 Feb03 Jan15 (reggetts stephe)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
CANTAKEITANYMORE Mar19 Feb11 Jan28 Jan13   (keller chr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
JAYJAYDEE Apr22 Apr14 Mar25 Mar04 Jan28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 60% 0.70    
JAMMIN JIMTOWN Apr21 Apr01 Mar09 Feb22 Jan17 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.00 9% 10.70    
SAVATIANO Apr08 Mar31 Mar11 Feb17 Jan27 (malgarini ma)BATISTA A 120 2.50    
TY RAN A HOMER Apr04 Mar23 Mar08 Feb01 Jan10 (murtaugh an)RAMGEET R 120 30.00    
 
CT-8   05/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSSIPING Apr20 Jan26       (perez ernes)RAMGEET R 118 5.00    
LACE REVOLUTION Mar18 Mar02 Feb16 Jan01   (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 2.50 41% 1.40    
FORT ZANNA Apr21 Apr01 Mar09     (myers larry)LARROSA G 124 15.00    
COOKIE DUNK DUNK Apr21 Apr09 Mar02 Jan27   (jones mic)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00    
RONA Apr21 Mar09 Feb18     (vick timothy )THORPE DARIUS 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
WILLOW'S CHARM Apr30 Apr21 Mar09     (mancil)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 10.00    
MY BEST GIRL Apr15 Mar24 Mar11     (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 115 15.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  OHH BEEHAVE Jan27         (shanley mar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.