Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Saturday - May 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAYO COLORADO Mar18 Mar09 Feb16 Feb09 Jan14 (brooks geral)AYALA J 116 10.00    
SCR  RUSSIAN TANK Mar05 Feb19 Feb05     (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 116 1.00 29% 2.50    
CONGRATS FOR GLORY Apr08 Mar10 Jan29     (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  OUR GOLDEN BOY         (knowles lucinda)LEON A 120 10.00 11% 8.40    
BARELYSTILLCOUNTS Apr06 Mar27 Mar15 Feb21 Feb01 (gomez alejandro)CCAMAQUE M 120 15.00 12% 7.10    
CHAINSAW AL Apr19 Feb11       (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00    
SHELTOWEE'S BALI Apr19         (larue steve)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
MARSALA MONARCH Apr25 Apr16       (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
 
MNR-2   05/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. UNIVERSE Mar20 Mar05 Feb10     (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 120 1.00    
RIP THORN         (collins tim)CCAMAQUE M 120 5.00    
I'M MONEY Apr19 Apr09 Mar09 Feb18 Jan21 (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 120 6.00    
SCR  ERIC THE SALESMAN         (tustin )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 20.00    
BACK ALLEY CAT Mar21 Feb25 Feb15 Feb07 Jan20 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 10.00 27% 2.70    
AW ITE Apr24         (inman rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
SCR  SMART RIDE Apr24         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 30.00 11% 8.10    
BIGBADOX Apr04 Mar02       (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 20.00    
SCR  STRUGAR Mar31 Feb19       (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
 
MNR-3   05/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTASHABEH         (sipp k)DIAZ I 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
TEMPLET Apr14 Mar26 Feb26 Feb16   (connel)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  GOLDEN TEXT Mar31 Mar04 Feb17     (reed r)HOUGHTON D 120 5.00 12% 7.30    
SCORSESE Mar02 Feb19       (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.50    
AMICUS BRIEF Apr08 Mar02 Feb05 Jan27   (johnson jenn)ROLDAN FELISHA 110 8.00    
CORAL LEGACY         (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 3.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  DAY OF HONOR Mar25 Mar04 Feb19 Jan28   (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00    
 
MNR-4   05/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST U AND ME KID Feb19         (cain crystal)LEON A 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
CAPTAIN D         (sipp k)BAEZ M 120 5.00 11% 8.00    
MUSICAL MAN Apr24 Mar18 Feb28 Feb18 Jan25 (pappada a)DAVILA M 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SIAKAM Feb16 Jan29 Jan16     (es)DA FAUSTO 120 4.00    
SCR  TAPAWAY Apr15 Mar01 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04 (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 12.00    
SCR  STUNNING BABY Apr15 Mar18 Feb19     (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
SCR  BRIAR JUMPER         (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 120 1.20 39% 1.60    
 
MNR-5   05/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEX K Apr26 Mar26 Mar10 Feb23 Feb16 (suarez javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 6.00    
KIKI'S LULU ROSE Apr26 Apr02 Jan25 Jan15   (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  BIPARTISAN BROOKE Apr18         (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 1.20 58% 0.70    
I TE AMO Apr18         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 4.00    
KIKI DO U LOVE ME Apr18         (sipp k)LEON A 123 12.00    
ONE LUCK GIRL         (sipp k)CCAMAQUE M 123 20.00    
 
MNR-6   05/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASHER Mar17         (scott)MONSERRATE A 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
SEXY CHOCOLATTE Apr08 Mar19 Feb25 Feb04   (jensen justin )JURADO EDDIE 116 1.40    
STERLING CAESAR         (mardif i)CCAMAQUE M 120 20.00 14% 6.30    
TWO GOLD SPOTS         (witherow san)ROLDAN FELISHA 110 20.00    
STAR RIDER Apr25         (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50    
FOOL FOR THE CITY         (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
MNR-7   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLISTON WAY Jan01         (acevedo israel)HOUGHTON D 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
SHY GUY Apr18         (sauer barba)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
SQUARED STRAIGHT Apr01 Mar22 Feb26 Feb15 Feb01 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 20.00    
CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Apr10 Mar10 Jan14     (brooks geral)AYALA J 120 12.00    
CONCRETE GLORY Apr24 Apr09 Jan01     (brooks e)RIVERA R 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
ATTUCK Mar31 Mar05 Feb15 Jan26   (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
BYBEE Apr18 Mar07 Jan30     (caramori edu)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
BAYTOWN BEAR Apr18         (mcentee paul)MAYTA J 120 4.50    
 
MNR-8   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR EMPRESS         (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
WEE MONIE CREEK Jan24 Jan05       (smith)MONSERRATE A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALGODONAL         (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00    
SCR  B'S TEN Apr24         (silva pabl)LEON A 123 3.50 49% 1.00    
GO STELLAIRE Apr09 Feb18 Jan05     (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 4.00    
BLUEGRASS CANDY Apr18         (logston christ)DIAZ I 120 4.50    
PREFER DIAMONDS Apr19 Apr09       (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.