Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - May 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAPI'S BABY GIRL         (johnston rob)CORA D 120 6.00 ★    
2  FROSTED ANGEL Apr07 Mar19 Mar08 Feb21 Jan16 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00    
3  KATESALUCKYGIRL Mar15 Feb22 Feb09 Jan14   (velez irv)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
4  LEGS LIKE SHACK Apr20 Apr01 Jan25     (fields ke)VARGAS L 121 3.50 12% 7.60    
5  MIZ CHAPLIN         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 118 6.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  IMPERIAL MOON Apr19         (martinez alex)OCASIO M 120 2.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   05/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EQUAL JUSTICE Mar16 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11   (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  KITTEN'S SOLUTION Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb09 Jan12 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 ★    
3  YES IT'S ROO Apr08 Mar18 Mar01 Feb09 Jan14 (graci kim)VARGAS L 118 3.50 23% 3.30    
4  SIR ROCKPORT Apr08 Feb11 Jan26 Jan14   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 15% 5.90    
5  BEYOND THE BEND Mar02         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 ★    
6  VENOMOUS STATE Mar29 Feb23 Jan12     (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
 
PEN-3   05/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUCH OF PRINCE Mar30 Mar22 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 (kreiser c)FLORES E 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  KATZ ME KNOCKIN Mar08         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00    
3  PAULINO Apr08 Mar16 Mar02 Jan14   (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 ★    
4  VOODOO CAT Jan14         (hillegass al)BERRIOS C 124 8.00 34% 1.90    
5  RENEE'S Z VA Mar23 Feb23       (d' angelo)VARGAS L 121 30.00    
6  MR DUBAI Apr22 Mar02 Jan28 Jan07   (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00    
7  SPEED NO YAWNING         (johnston rob)CORA D 124 10.00 6% 17.10    
8  ARTIE CHILLER Mar22 Mar02 Feb15     (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.40 34% 1.90    
 
PEN-4   05/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.8K) 3 ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY HAM Mar22         (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 123 12.00 9% 10.70    
2  ISSUING JUSTICE Apr13 Mar01 Feb22 Jan19   (velazquez da)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 6.00    
3  PRAYIN ON CURRENCY Apr05 Mar16 Feb23 Jan14   (flores-coba)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 116 5.00 ★    
4  COMPACT Apr08 Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 Jan28 (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 123 12.00 ★    
5  BANKING ON BIZ Apr08         (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.60 61% 0.60    
SCR  VICTORY IS OURS Mar16 Feb23 Feb09     (rodriguez m)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 1.40 9% 9.90    
 
PEN-5   05/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART TART Apr20 Mar18 Feb25 Feb11 Feb01 (kravets bru)INIRIO J 122 2.50 ★    
2  FALSE RULING Apr20 Mar30 Mar18 Feb22 Feb01 (farley j)LLOYD W 122 12.00 ★    
3  TROPICALDEPRESSION         (carpio erin)FLORES E 119 8.00    
4  MIRACLES SUNSHINE Apr27         (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  NORTHERN CROSS Apr20 Mar22 Mar11 Mar01   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  SPECTACULLARI Apr20         (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 1.80 60% 0.70    
 
PEN-6   05/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Apr07         (beattie m)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 ★    
2  QUEEN OF THE LAND Apr06         (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 9% 10.60    
3  POLISHED GEM Apr07 Mar04 Feb10     (maroun doug)INIRIO J 124 8.00    
4  LIKEUONLYPRETTIER         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
5  HIPNOTIZADA Apr07 Mar08 Feb09     (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  MAGGIE'S BID Apr07 Mar18 Feb12 Jan20   (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 44% 1.20    
7  UNION RALLY Mar18 Mar02       (wolfe bob)VARGAS L 120 12.00 5% 18.70    
 
PEN-7   05/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPE TONO Mar29 Mar11 Mar01 Feb15   (oliva robert)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 ★    
2  CATTLE DRIVE Mar29 Mar11 Mar01 Feb18 Jan26 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 12.00    
SCR  POCOPSON STATION Mar11 Mar01 Feb11 Jan25 Jan11 (ippolito mark)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 ★    
4  SURE WOULD FOREST Mar29 Feb16 Jan26 Jan07   (graci kim)VARGAS L 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
5  THUNDER GRUNDER Mar25 Mar04 Feb15 Jan26 Jan07 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 1.80 39% 1.60    
6  PRETENDANT Mar14 Feb23 Feb07 Jan17 Jan03 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 3.50 14% 6.40    
 
PEN-8   05/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL THE SHERIFF Apr07 Mar08       (beattie m)WHITNEY G 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  KATZ ME AT NOON Mar23 Feb23       (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 8% 11.00    
3  ROYAL KAZ Feb23 Feb08       (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  IRON CLASH Apr20 Mar25 Mar11 Jan25   (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 122 12.00    
SCR  PHIL THE BANKER Mar18 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Jan07 (d' a)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
6  HAPPY GUY Mar25 Mar11 Feb23 Feb02 Jan25 (jacavone joh)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 20.00 ★    
7  ECHOES OF DESTINY Feb23         (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 10% 9.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.