Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - May 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEMS MINESHAFT RVF Apr14 Apr01 Mar01 Feb11 Jan25 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 8.00 ★    
2  SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR Apr14 Mar30 Mar04 Feb03   (hurley jack)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.20 60% 0.70    
SCR  OWL RUN Mar03 Feb19       (shanley timo)MORALES KELVIN 120 30.00 ★    
4  AUTS REVOLUTION Apr16 Mar04       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.00 18% 4.50    
5  THE IRON BANK Apr16 Mar30 Mar04     (shanley timothy)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 ★    
6  HARD BEING ME Apr27 Mar16 Mar04 Feb24 Feb12 (tobin l)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
 
CT-2   05/05/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MORGANTOWN Apr22 Apr14 Mar24 Feb26 Feb05 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
2  FLIRTING FUHR AVIE Apr06 Mar24 Feb26 Feb05 Jan14 (campbell mar)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 15.00 19% 4.20    
3  TINA'S SONG Apr22 Apr01 Mar09 Feb04 Jan13 (aylor l)LARROSA G 122 12.00 ★    
4  CLUBIN TILL DAWN Apr14 Mar26 Feb11 Jan28   (johnson freddie)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
5  MEET MS BOBBI RAE Mar24 Feb26 Feb05 Jan14   (figgins ollie )RIOS-CONDE A 120 1.20 31% 2.20    
6  BELLA FEMMINA Apr07 Mar24 Feb19     (boykins)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 2.00 ★    
 
CT-3   05/05/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABHAR Apr22 Apr14 Mar20 Feb16   (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
2  POLITICAL DECISION Apr08         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 12.00    
3  BELMULLET Mar04 Feb11       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  BAYTOWN JAKESTER Apr14 Mar24 Mar04 Feb12   (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 ★    
SCR  CHARITABLY GIFTED Apr16 Mar19 Feb17     (knoblauch-per)THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00 14% 5.90    
6  ABOUT TO RAGE Mar18 Feb12 Jan12     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 6.00    
7  BALTIMORE BUD Apr15 Mar27 Mar11 Feb11 Jan20 (andreadakis g)SIMPSON JASON 122 8.00 ★    
 
CT-4   05/05/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISTORTED SPLENDOR Apr27 Mar30 Mar10 Feb17 Jan28 (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 113 10.00 ★    
2  LIL MISS FIBER Apr22 Apr01 Mar23 Mar11 Feb10 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 50.00    
3  COUNTRY MAGIC Apr14 Mar26 Feb24 Jan15   (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 ★    
4  CHIEFS KINGDOM Apr07 Mar18 Feb24 Jan28   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
5  TIZ THE REASON Apr22 Apr01 Feb26 Feb11   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00 ★    
6  SHERWOOD LADY Apr28 Apr07 Mar26 Mar11 Feb24 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 1.60 21% 3.70    
 
CT-5   05/05/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY HER UP Apr09         (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
2  VALID REASON Apr21 Mar24 Mar03     (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 20.00    
3  ALWAYS MIA Apr14 Mar05 Feb17 Jan28 Jan02 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 116 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  PEACEFUL CHILD         (jones e)HO WESLEY 124 4.50 11% 8.10    
5  SHUTUPN'KISSME Apr09         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
6  TALENT EXPECTED         (grams c)PELTROCHE F 124 4.00 ★    
7  CHARITABLE ANY         (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
 
CT-6   05/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYBOY ROY Apr14 Mar23 Feb26 Feb10   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
2  BOP MARLEY Jan15         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  VIRGINIA FIB         (cooney sus)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00 ★    
4  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Jan28 Jan15       (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 124 1.80 ★    
5  MOUNTAIN TIME Apr15 Mar24 Feb23 Jan14   (aguirre ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50    
6  TWEET THIS Apr22 Mar26 Jan15     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
CT-7   05/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGHT DAWN Apr20 Mar24 Feb26     (allen fe)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
2  CATFISH Apr20 Mar18 Mar04     (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00    
3  MASTER THIS Apr20 Apr02 Mar24 Feb26 Feb05 (tobin l)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
4  STORMIN ROCKET Mar24 Feb25 Feb04     (craig lewis)RAMGEET R 116 10.00    
5  STRONG LIL KOKORO Apr20 Mar24 Feb26     (collin)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  RIVER WARRIOR RVF Mar24 Feb26 Feb05     (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.00 27% 2.70    
7  CROSSTHEBAY Mar10         (malgari)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00    
8  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Apr16         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
9  PENGUIN PARADE Mar25 Feb25 Feb04     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50 7% 14.10    
 
CT-8   05/05/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAUTICAL WARRIOR Apr27 Mar26 Mar16 Feb24 Jan26 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50    
2  FIT BUT FAT Mar23 Feb04 Jan15     (bass w)RIVERA JAVIER 122 1.60 21% 3.90    
3  WIZARD OF ODDS Apr08 Mar31 Mar10 Feb04   (aylor l)LARROSA G 122 3.50 ★    
4  SHACKLED Apr08 Mar10 Feb04     (murtaugh andr)SIMPSON JASON 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  OWEN'S WAY Mar02 Feb10 Jan12     (aylor w)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 6.00 14% 6.00    
6  CATONSVILLE Apr08         (king yolonda)HO WESLEY 122 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.