Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - April 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   04/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVILISH TAIL Jan22         (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 120 3.50    
2  MIDLAND Apr18         (bright derr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 2.50    
3  PLATINUM MAC Mar24 Feb28 Feb16 Jan26 Jan02 (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
4  COMMISSARIO Mar31 Mar19 Feb23     (figueroa ne)JIMENEZ J 120 20.00    
5  HART WELL Apr19 Mar31 Mar18 Mar02 Feb18 (livers charli)CANUTO THIAGO 115 6.00 5% 18.60    
6  O CIGANO Mar31 Mar18 Mar09 Feb10   (roberson denni)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 39% 1.60    
7  KOLTEN'S COURT         (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 120 12.00    
 
BTP-2   04/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC MISS Mar26 Jan09       (helmbrecht william )MCKEE J 122 3.00    
2  PERKEO Mar21 Mar02 Jan13     (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 117 4.00    
3  GUILDER Mar26 Mar11 Mar02 Jan15   (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
4  ONE FAST ORB Apr20 Mar26 Mar02 Feb17 Jan23 (howard john)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
5  ROTTEN TO THE CORE Mar21 Feb14       (smith lar)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.50    
 
BTP-3   04/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORDEAUX LEGACY Feb18 Jan16       (stephen anthon)REYES R 124 3.50    
2  NOTREALLYNOTREALLY Mar05 Feb16 Jan23     (grubbs l)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
3  MY GOOD FORTUNE Feb16         (sims phil)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 12.00    
4  GET CLEAR Mar24 Mar03       (sands shane)MCKEE J 124 12.00    
5  KICK OUT THE JAMS Apr01 Mar19 Jan09     (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
6  MS. LINA Apr02 Mar19 Feb24 Jan29   (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 5.00    
7  WANTA BALLERINA Jan22 Jan09       (lacroix gen)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-4   04/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT IRENE Apr01 Mar04 Feb19 Feb11 Jan08 (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  UNWANTED INPUT Mar26 Mar09 Feb24 Feb11 Jan14 (manning j)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 5.00    
3  TOP HAT INVASION Feb24 Feb12 Jan29 Jan08   (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00    
4  HONOR BAR Feb24 Jan08       (bates c)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 120 8.00    
5  ZEBRA CAKE         (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 1.60 45% 1.20    
 
BTP-5   04/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KIMALLOSA'S HALO Apr11         (west m)LEBRON VICTOR 124 1.80    
2  WICKED VALENTINE Apr09 Mar26 Mar10     (langley josh)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 10.00    
3  SAFRANO ROSE Mar31         (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  SUMMER AUTUMN ROSE Mar02 Feb16       (scott l)MOJICA JR 119 20.00    
5  THIS MASQUERADE Mar24 Feb16 Jan23 Jan15   (minnock wayne )REYES R 124 3.00    
6  FORGLO Mar31         (werre danny)CANUTO THIAGO 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
7  SUMMER STORE Mar10 Feb01       (thompson)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 20.00 13% 6.40    
8  ARAGON (GB) Mar19 Feb25 Jan27     (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 10.00    
 
BTP-6   04/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.5K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADY BABY         (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 8.00    
2  BEAUTIFUL LASS         (thomas mark)MOJICA JR 123 10.00 10% 8.80    
3  ROCKY CHANNEL         (cline robert)HALDAR J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPUN PRETTY Feb14 Jan24       (evans micha)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 4.50    
5  STATE OF GRACE Apr16 Apr05 Mar16     (feebeck thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00    
6  BALI BEAR         (drury jr)MCKEE J 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  EXACTITUDE Mar26         (amoss m)REYES R 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
8  SWEET RED ROZAY Apr16         (evans mic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 8.00    
 
BTP-7   04/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C V THUNDER Mar31 Mar18 Jan15     (evans michael )REYES R 120 6.00    
1A  WINE ME UP BABY         (evans mic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00 7% 14.00    
2  MARGARET DRIVE         (edgell sharon)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00    
3  TWIRLING RUTH Apr01 Jan02       (thomas mark)MCKEE J 120 4.50 6% 17.00    
4  PRINCESS NINA Apr02 Mar12 Feb17 Jan29 Jan08 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 115 2.00 60% 0.70    
5  HAIL TO HELEN Apr11 Feb25 Feb10     (demeritte la)ROMERO GREGORY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOONSHINE DREAMER Apr16 Feb16       (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 4.00    
7  WILLYOUBEMINE Mar05 Feb12       (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 3.00    
 
BTP-8   04/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEERLESS COURT         (hiles a)MCKEE J 117 4.50 53% 0.90    
2  FATTERTHANME Apr04 Feb28 Feb01 Jan04   (cline c)PAUCAR E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  ILLBOOTENGOTTY Jan01         (bahena ismael)AYALA ISAIAS 122 6.00    
4  KING T'CHALLA Apr14 Mar26 Mar05 Feb19 Feb12 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 122 8.00    
5  BAD BOY E. J. Mar25         (manning j)BETANCOURT RONNEY 122 10.00 7% 13.20    
6  MONKEY ZONE Mar17 Feb17 Jan23     (girdle)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  BARBARINO Apr08 Mar12 Feb25 Feb12 Jan22 (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 117 2.50    
8  RESTITUTION (FR) Feb01 Jan11       (thompson)MARTINEZ LUIS null      
9  SKY BOLT Mar25 Mar09 Feb25 Feb12   (cowans willi)HALDAR J 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
10  RAULITO Mar25 Mar10 Feb25 Feb12 Jan01 (adams nancy)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 15.00    
11  CALL PAPA Mar31 Mar24 Feb28 Jan09   (feebeck thomas)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.