Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Thursday - April 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   04/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'LL GO ALL IN         (vazquez c)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
ALTARE         (bond harold )HARKIE K 118 20.00    
RHEAUME         (dickinson m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 6.00    
OUT OF SIGHT         (donk david)ORTIZ L 126 3.00 23% 3.30    
EAU CLAIRE         (delacour arna)FRANCO MANUEL 126 8.00    
SARATOGA CHROME         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
OUR JESSICA Apr10 Feb11 Jan13     (donk davi)VARGAS A 126 4.50 7% 13.50    
SCR  PAVE MY WAY         (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 8% 11.40    
 
BEL-2   04/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TO A T Mar31 Mar11 Feb18 Jan23   (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
CHLOE ROSE Mar04 Feb04 Jan06     (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
SCR  GENTLE ANNIE Apr03 Mar25 Jan28 Jan14   (lynch nat)VARGAS A 123 6.00    
BELLA PRINCIPESSA Mar11 Feb18 Jan23     (klesaris robe)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 33% 2.00    
HEY MAMA Mar31 Mar11 Jan23     (schosberg richa)MENA E 123 15.00    
STENCIL Mar31 Mar04 Feb04 Jan16   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 9% 10.10    
RED PEPPER GRILL Mar27 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
BEL-3   04/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVEST Mar19 Feb24 Jan16     (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
DADDY KNOWS Apr01 Mar06 Feb20 Feb11   (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
THERISASTORMBREWIN Mar26 Feb10 Jan27     (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 12% 7.10    
VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Mar27 Mar06 Feb19 Jan28 Jan14 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00    
BINGO JOHN Mar31 Feb20 Feb06 Jan22   (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
NO SALT Mar26 Mar06 Feb10 Jan14   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.40 24% 3.10    
JUST RIGHT Apr01 Jan28 Jan14     (rodriguez gu)HARKIE K 119 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
BEL-4   04/28/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATTY'S MARAUDER Apr01 Mar05 Feb19 Feb03 Jan09 (donk david)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
MACH ONE         (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
MIDASWELLRUN Apr10 Feb27 Jan28     (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 126 5.00    
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE Apr07 Mar13 Jan20     (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 126 6.00    
FOMO         (hendriks mclane)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00    
KID BOURBON Mar28         (vazquez jua)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS Apr15 Mar18 Feb06 Jan08   (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  CAJUN COMMANDER Apr15 Mar18 Jan21     (barrera s)RIDER TBA 124 6.00    
KARNAK Mar09         (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00    
10  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Mar31 Mar13 Feb04 Jan09   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 126 5.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT         (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 126 8.00    
12  MARATHONER Apr11 Mar22 Jan06     (mon)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
SCR  QUICKFLASH Mar20 Mar11 Feb06     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
 
BEL-5   04/28/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAKART Feb25         (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 118 30.00    
YARROW         (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 125 2.50 58% 0.70    
CITIZEN K         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 7% 12.90    
CENTRAL PRIDE Feb12 Jan22       (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FEATHERS ROAD Apr03 Feb04 Jan14 Jan06   (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00    
SAFALOW'S MISSION Mar05         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
HEYMACKIT'SJACK Mar20 Feb04       (brion ker)VARGAS A 125 20.00    
DANCING WITH RICO Apr02 Mar11 Jan28     (eng)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
BUCKORTWO         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 6% 14.90    
10  SCHERZANDO Mar31 Mar05 Feb04 Jan14   (sciacca gary)CARDENAS LUIS 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  BISERNO         (bond har)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00    
12  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) Mar31 Feb12       (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER Mar12         (englehart jeremia)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
SCR  N Y ANTHEM Apr05         (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
 
BEL-6   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE THAT FACE         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
HANDLE THE TRUTH Apr02 Jan23       (met)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
SABREEN Apr02 Mar06 Feb19 Jan13   (chichakly amira)MENA E 126 12.00 7% 13.60    
THE HONORABLE RUTH Apr03 Mar18 Jan14     (ferraro jame)SAMUEL L 120 12.00 11% 8.50    
PREDETERMINED         (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
BELLA DOMENICA Apr02         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 5.00    
MAJESTIC SPIRIT Mar25 Jan23 Jan01     (schosberg r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
RAFFINITY Apr02 Mar11 Feb12     (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
BOSS CARA Mar31 Feb18 Jan16 Jan01   (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 126 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
BEL-7   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($94K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE JAMES Mar26 Feb27 Jan20     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
MORE GRAYTFUL Feb20 Jan01       (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 15% 5.60    
REPO ROCKS Mar26 Mar05 Feb05     (diprima gre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
FITZPATRICK Mar05 Feb05 Jan08     (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
COMPETITIVE SAINT Mar27 Feb19 Jan16     (weaver geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00    
SPUN AND WON Apr03 Jan07       (duarte j)ORTIZ L 121 3.50    
 
BEL-8   04/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Handicap ($20K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKING SPEED Apr21 Apr08 Mar26 Mar06 Feb25 (jones e)MENA E 116 30.00    
SUPREME AURA Mar26 Feb25 Jan28     (lucas bonnie)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
RYAN'S CAT Feb12 Jan08       (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
BABY I'M PERFECT Mar26 Feb21 Jan07     (rodriguez gust)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
DARK MONEY Mar26 Feb19 Jan27 Jan01   (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 29% 2.50    
DOUBLY BLESSED Mar26 Feb26       (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 127 2.00 36% 1.80    
ITS ALL RELEVANT Mar27 Mar20 Feb06     (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  UNO Mar25 Feb19       (delauro edwar)CARDENAS LUIS 116 30.00    
EASY TO BLESS Apr09 Mar26 Feb24 Feb04 Jan06 (ferraro )DAVIS A 118 8.00    
 
BEL-9   04/28/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESADANCINGQUEEN         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
WHITE HOT (GB)         (schettin)DAVIS A 125 6.00    
DRAW OFF Mar25         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
GRACEFULLY WILD Apr03         (barker edward )ORTIZ L 125 3.50 18% 4.70    
BACKED BY GOLD Mar19         (diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 125 15.00    
CELINE THE QUEEN Feb19 Jan08       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00 13% 6.90    
WINTER SIREN Mar11         (bak)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
CHIARA (URU) Feb12 Jan08       (bond harold )HARKIE K 118 20.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE DREAM Apr02         (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 125 15.00    
10  DINI'S DESTINY Feb19         (lucas bonnie)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 6% 17.10    
11  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
12  WABAUNSEE         (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
SCR  LEMME GET IT         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
SCR  GIGGLING GHOST Mar19 Jan28       (quick pa)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
15  LADYSHANGHITREVOR Mar19         (barrow pa)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
SCR  DOC DOC ROCK Mar06 Feb12       (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 43% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.