Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Wednesday - April 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANCIENT BROWN Apr14 Feb20 Jan23 Jan01   (cash norman )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.00 14% 6.30    
2  ESPECIALLY YOU Mar14 Feb19 Jan14     (shifflett chery)MOJICA JR 120 4.00    
3  KITTY'S PROMISE Apr13 Mar25       (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 111 2.50    
4  SMOKIN HOT BOBBIE Mar26 Mar11 Mar03 Jan14   (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 8% 11.00    
5  PRINCESS RENEE Mar06 Feb25 Jan10     (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 49% 1.10    
6  BOW MAKER Apr01         (vasq)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00    
 
KEE-2   04/27/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MET IN MIAMI Mar25 Feb20 Jan07     (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
2  NOBLE ENTERPRISE Mar24 Feb24 Jan09     (pugh pete)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00    
SCR  GOOD MEASURE Apr01 Feb25 Jan16     (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
4  THREE TIPSY CHIX Feb25         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
5  FEDERALIST PAPERS Feb10         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 26% 2.90    
6  BELLA CONCHITA Mar24 Feb24       (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80 38% 1.60    
 
KEE-3   04/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BARILEY Mar11 Mar01 Jan10     (leonard i)BEJARANO R 120 2.50    
2  BLESS THE KITTEN Apr01 Mar05 Jan02     (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  FORTUNE'S FOOL Mar05 Feb12 Jan20     (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 118 2.00    
4  BALLINONABUDJET Mar27 Mar05 Feb05 Jan15   (lovell miche)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 19% 4.40    
5  HEMP HEAVEN Jan02         (wittek karyn)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00    
 
KEE-4   04/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARDY PARTY (IRE)         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
2  MOST EMPRESSIVE Mar23 Feb28 Jan23     (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
3  HEY THERE         (mcgaughey)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
4  TROUBLE MAKING Mar24 Feb24 Jan01     (meah ma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 15.00 13% 6.90    
5  XTREME GEM Jan23         (robertson mclean)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 20% 3.90    
6  REVERB         (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 125 12.00    
7  GEORGETOWN ROAD Mar26 Feb19       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 36% 1.80    
8  PELIGROSO Mar17 Mar05       (sisterson jac)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  NEVER AT ALL (FR) Mar14         (reed r)MCKEE J 125 10.00 9% 10.00    
10  LEAVE IT BE         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
11  DOOZY BATZ         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
12  DEVIOUS (GB) Mar20 Feb26       (moquett ronald)ROSARIO JOEL null      
SCR  STRAWBERRYLEMONADE         (castillo ri)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
SCR  VINEGAR VEGGIES Mar11 Feb12 Jan23 Jan08   (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
SCR  SIS BOOM BOB Apr15 Mar10 Feb16     (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
SCR  LADYBELUCKY Mar10         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
KEE-5   04/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN HEIGHTS Apr02 Mar07 Jan29     (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 125 4.00    
2  NOSILVERSPOONSHERE         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 16% 5.10    
3  BEAUTIFUL FAREWELL Mar18 Feb11       (medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 125 12.00 28% 2.60    
4  NIBBLES Feb17         (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SONOMA COUNTY         (servis john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHTMAKESSENSE Mar16         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
7  SHAOLIN         (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
8  DARENE         (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
9  COCO PUFF Mar26 Mar01 Feb05 Jan08   (desormeaux j )ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
10  JUMAKAN BOURBON Apr02 Mar12       (minnock g)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 8% 11.80    
11  WEST LOVE Apr13 Mar10       (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 118 8.00 24% 3.10    
 
KEE-6   04/27/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELLIST Feb05         (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  TANGO TANGO TANGO Mar27         (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
2  GOOD JUJU Mar13         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 30.00    
3  ABSAM Jan15         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00    
4  CONTINENTAL COINS Mar09 Feb19 Jan08     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
5  SKYRO Mar13 Jan30       (lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 ★    
6  LEBLON Mar26 Feb19       (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
7  BUY ME CANDY Mar18 Feb10       (correas iv)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BE HERE         (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
9  FLORIFORM Feb05         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 54% 0.90    
10  MONITION Mar19         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 23% 3.40    
11  POINT ME BY Feb19         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
12  PALAZZI Feb10         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
SCR  SHACKLEFORD'S JOY Apr09 Feb20 Jan23     (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
SCR  MUTAKATIF (IRE) Apr10 Mar19       (brown h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
SCR  KOUFAX Feb28 Jan22       (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00    
 
KEE-7   04/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUREAU Apr01 Feb11 Jan01     (moquett ronald)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 16% 5.20    
2  EXPENSIVE CUT Apr14 Mar24 Mar10     (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 3.00    
3  DOWN COLD Mar23 Feb18 Jan30 Jan06   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 41% 1.40    
4  MAXIMUM IMPACT Mar25 Feb27 Feb19 Feb10 Jan21 (cash norman )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00    
5  SILENT DISCO Mar04 Jan16       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00    
 
KEE-8   04/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDER ONE SKY         (mcgaughey re)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IZZY EM         (meah mar)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
3  MISS SUSIE R         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
4  SPARE CASH Mar24 Feb11       (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.50 41% 1.40    
5  AMERICAN PYRAMID Apr08         (catalano wayn)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
6  ROBIN'S FANTASY Mar31 Feb11       (kelley a)BEJARANO R 126 20.00    
7  TAKE JOY Mar24         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 126 15.00    
8  LOTTA ROSES Mar27         (blair jorda)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 20.00    
9  SAFFRON MOON         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 ★    
10  DIVA READY         (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 ★    
11  AMELIA'S MAP Mar19         (ewing mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
12  HONEYCOMB Jan02         (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  GET BY Mar13         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
SCR  FITS THE JILL Feb24 Jan15       (medina r)SANTANA JR 126 12.00    
SCR  QUARIA BRAVA         (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00    
SCR  ABOUKIR BAY Feb26 Jan08       (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.