Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Sunday - April 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAFFIN         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 8.00    
2  WIND AT MY BACK Mar12         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 ★    
3  OFFICIAL BUSINESS         (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00 ★    
4  ROBUST Mar17 Feb26       (lyster s)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 ★    
5  JOHN'S PROTEGE Mar12         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00 70% 0.40    
6  HOMETOWN HERO Feb16         (mcgaughey r)CANNON DECLAN 125 4.00 7% 13.10    
7  R YOU AWAKE         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
 
KEE-2   04/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUNTAIN GHOST Feb23         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
2  HICKORY COURT Mar11 Jan14       (gutierrez fau)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
3  GOGEES Mar10 Feb27 Feb20 Jan30 Jan23 (walsh d)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
4  ROGUE ELEMENT Feb03 Jan23       (hiles a)LANERIE J 126 12.00 19% 4.40    
5  MEMPHIS PRAYER Apr01 Feb25 Jan29 Jan01   (douaihy mich)ROMERO GREGORY 126 8.00 7% 14.10    
6  TEEWINOT PASS Mar12 Feb16 Jan07     (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  NATIONAL SECURITY         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
8  DOVER STRAIT Mar11 Feb18 Jan28     (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 126 15.00    
9  POKER PLAY Mar26         (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
10  TONKAWA SPRINGS Mar18 Feb16 Jan14     (mckeever an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 5% 18.50    
11  STAVANGER Feb21 Feb03       (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
12  GET US ONE Apr02         (meah anna)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
 
KEE-3   04/24/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMON BOND Mar17         (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
2  HARD RYE GUY Mar17 Feb19 Jan15     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00    
3  HIGH DEFF (FR) Mar18 Jan21       (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 ★    
4  JARREAU Mar10 Feb13 Jan16     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 19% 4.20    
5  COOL RAGS Apr13 Mar17 Feb23 Jan15   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
6  MCLOVIN Feb13         (delacour arnau)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
7  DANVILLE Apr13 Mar10 Feb05 Jan10   (shirer a)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 18% 4.70    
8  SCALES OF JUSTICE Mar17 Feb19       (colebrook b)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-4   04/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NIAGARA GOLD Feb24 Feb10 Jan23 Jan09   (ennis john)AYALA ISAIAS 118 30.00    
2  CAN'T HIDE FROM ME Mar25 Mar02 Feb18 Jan15   (stinson wi)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 11% 8.10    
3  INDIAN GULCH Mar17 Feb26       (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 ★    
4  HIDDEN PROMISE Apr02 Mar06 Feb12     (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 14% 6.10    
5  SUGGESTED Mar10 Feb17       (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
6  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Feb13 Jan21 Jan02     (barnett bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
7  MARKITOFF Mar05 Feb10 Jan29     (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 7% 12.90    
8  EXULTING Mar04 Jan22       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 45% 1.20    
 
KEE-5   04/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SERENADE         (attfield r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  DISCREET KITTY Mar26 Feb24       (jura)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00    
3  FAIR GAME Mar18         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
4  KESTENNA (GB)         (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
5  VEZPA (BRZ)         (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00    
6  POSTNUP Mar12 Feb13       (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00    
7  SUNNY ONE Mar19         (murphy co)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00 ★    
8  POCA MUCHA Mar19 Feb24 Jan29     (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 34% 1.90    
9  UNDISTURBED Mar20 Jan21       (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 4.50 10% 9.40    
10  PETER'S KITTEN Mar19 Feb24 Jan14     (maker micha)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-6   04/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYEERAH Feb24 Jan14       (sims a)LANERIE J 124 5.00 7% 13.10    
2  FIRE ON TIME Jan13         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 1.80 55% 0.80    
3  SPEIGHTFUL CHARGE         (sims phili)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50    
4  SUM KINDA PRETTY Mar18 Feb11 Jan21     (west w)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 7% 13.30    
5  BLOSSOM ROAD Mar19 Feb12 Jan15     (lovell michelle)DIAZ RENE 117 12.00    
6  HOSTILE PRINCESS Apr01 Jan29       (west w)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00 ★    
7  FABRICATE Mar06 Jan20       (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 9% 9.70    
 
KEE-7   04/24/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. HUSTLE Mar09 Feb14 Jan22     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN Feb19 Jan30       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 ★    
2  MAVEN         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00    
3  BODENHEIMER         (lund valor)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE MISCHIEF Feb02 Jan05       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 30.00    
5  BULLSEYE BEAUTY Jan29         (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 113 12.00 6% 14.70    
6  TURNED ASIDE         (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
7  OCEANIC Mar05 Jan23       (blair jor)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
8  SEVEN SCENTS Mar19 Feb19 Jan30 Jan14 Jan06 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 13% 6.40    
9  HAUNT Mar12         (mcgaughey re)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
10  NATURAL POWER (IRE) Apr09 Mar02 Feb02     (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
11  INHALATION (GB)         (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
12  INTO THE SUNRISE Mar02         (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
13  HIGH CRIME Mar19         (miller darrin)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  DIVINE LEADER Feb12 Jan23       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
SCR  JAMMERS JUSTICE Apr15         (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
 
KEE-8   04/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENTUCKY MIST         (dyer john)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 20.00    
2  EXACT ESTIMATE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
3  KINGMAKER Mar19 Feb12       (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  B DAWK Mar26 Feb21       (o'neill do)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 ★    
5  BIG HELLO         (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00    
6  THOUGHT         (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
7  ANARCHIST Mar27         (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
8  G FLAT         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00    
SCR  ELEGGUA Apr04 Mar05       (decker anna)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00    
10  GULLANE         (kobiskie )HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
11  GUEST SPEAKER Mar16         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
KEE-9   04/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTE GO         (attfield )LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
2  PETRICOR (GB)         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
3  FLATTER ME SILLY Mar12 Feb12 Jan06     (pessin l)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
4  URBAN FAIRYTALE         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 23% 3.30    
5  FOREVER DREAMING Mar12 Jan23       (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
6  LASHARA (GB) Mar20         (lynch a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 8% 11.60    
7  QUEEN OF THE GREEN Mar20         (danner kels)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
8  JEZEBEL'S KITTEN Mar12 Feb05       (davis chris)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 8.00 ★    
9  ABSCOND Feb19 Jan22       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 41% 1.40    
10  AMICHE Feb19         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 6% 15.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.