Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - April 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLETTE'S SPIRIT Mar05 Feb12 Jan12     (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 ★    
2  UNTAMED LADY Mar31 Mar23 Mar04 Feb06   (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 ★    
3  MIDNIGHT DRAGON         (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.20 38% 1.70    
4  SISTER JOANN Apr09 Mar16 Mar05 Feb19 Feb10 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 15.00    
5  ALYS GREAT NOTION Mar04 Feb11       (deiter)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 3.50 35% 1.80    
6  LOOKIN BACK Mar31 Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 Jan12 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 ★    
 
CT-2   04/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BIG K Mar03 Feb19 Jan20     (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS JESSE Mar04 Feb11       (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 3.00 9% 9.80    
3  PERTH AMBOY Mar30 Mar17 Mar04 Feb10 Jan14 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.20 33% 2.00    
4  LAMECH Apr14 Mar30 Mar17     (lane j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
5  THEHEATOFTHENIGHT Mar09 Feb17 Jan27     (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 10.00    
6  ARTEMIS RISING Mar08 Feb18       (rojas e)ACOSTA D 117 6.00 8% 11.00    
7  COMMITTEEMAN Mar23 Feb10       (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00 ★    
 
CT-3   04/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALID REASON Mar24 Mar03       (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 15.00 9% 9.90    
2  ZELPHA         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00    
3  AS IT SHOULD BE Mar11 Feb12       (mcentee paul)WHITACRE B 124 4.00    
SCR  SUNDOG Apr06 Mar11       (deiter)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 5.00 ★    
5  AMERICAN BLONDE         (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  STARTED WITH STARS         (rojas e)ACOSTA D 116 3.50 14% 6.30    
7  MIDNIGHT REGRET Mar09 Feb17       (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 4.50 22% 3.40    
 
CT-4   04/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEVERLY PARK Apr14 Apr01 Mar25 Mar15 Feb23 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 1.20 40% 1.50    
2  SAVAGERY         (graci kimbe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.00 32% 2.10    
3  JOJOMAR Mar31 Mar11 Feb18 Feb08 Jan19 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00    
4  ONE MORE FACTOR Apr01 Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 Feb18 (espinosa )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
5  KING NEKIA Mar31 Mar11 Feb26 Feb03 Jan14 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  FORT FORTITUDE Mar24 Feb18 Jan21 Jan03   (pickett g)HO WESLEY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  JEFFERY SCOTT Jan13         (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 ★    
 
CT-5   04/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOKIE DUNK DUNK Apr09 Mar02 Jan27     (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 5.00    
2  WILLOW'S CHARM Mar09         (mancil)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 6.00 ★    
SCR  MAEVE O'FLAHERTY Feb12         (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 115 20.00 11% 8.20    
4  AMARETTO SOUR Apr07         (maldonado )ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 12.00    
SCR  CASTLE'S TUFFY Mar30 Feb26 Jan26     (espinosa vict)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
6  FORT ZANNA Apr01 Mar09       (myers larry)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
7  TOUCH OF HER HAND         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  AWESOME INCENTIVE Mar16 Feb17 Jan28     (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 3.50 29% 2.40    
9  RONA Mar09 Feb18       (vick timothy )THORPE DARIUS 124 4.50 ★    
 
CT-6   04/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EPIC WEST Apr13 Mar31 Mar04 Feb10   (tsiamis art)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 11% 8.40    
2  RESIDENT Mar25 Feb20 Feb02     (tobin l)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
3  GRAND FIBER Mar23 Mar03       (mangual man)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 12.00    
4  BUCKED TOOTH Mar31 Mar10 Jan12     (king yolonda)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
5  NOT A TRICK Apr02         (dunham be)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 16% 5.30    
6  UPHEAVAL Mar23 Feb25 Feb02     (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50 ★    
7  BARRY KARAFIN BETS Mar23 Mar03 Jan26     (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  CASH FOR THE SOUL Mar31 Mar10 Feb18     (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 6.00 ★    
 
CT-7   04/21/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTIN MAN Mar31 Mar10 Feb18 Jan27 Jan14 (sanderson w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 4.00 ★    
2  POSTINO'S STORY Apr08 Mar19 Feb24 Feb04 Jan14 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUTLIER Apr10 Mar17 Feb13 Jan21 Jan07 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  CORRELATE Mar24 Mar02       (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 12.00    
5  RATIFY Mar31 Mar10 Feb26     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
6  RUNAWAY MONET Jan27         (jenkins rod)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 115 6.00    
7  STEP OUT DANCING Mar16 Jan26       (rangel ricard)RIVERA JAVIER 120 50.00    
8  JAMMIN JIMTOWN Apr01 Mar09 Feb22 Jan17   (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
CT-8   04/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON IT Mar24 Feb11       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.50 31% 2.20    
2  SAYYESTOTHELADY         (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 5.00    
SCR  IT'S A REAL HONOR         (laster b)RODRIGUEZ V 116 20.00    
4  SHENANDOAH CAT         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 8.00    
5  DIXIE YODELER         (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 6.00 ★    
6  MISS LAUREN         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 6.00 ★    
SCR  NINETY PROOF Mar31 Mar10 Feb17     (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 8.00    
8  FULL MOON LOVER Feb11 Jan14       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  IN THE NEWS Apr06 Mar16 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 (campbel)NUNEZ ANAHI 119 15.00    
10  VALUED ENERGY Mar31         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 124 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.