Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - April 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   04/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIET JUSTICE Apr02         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 10.00    
SCR  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Apr06         (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
ROCKET J. Feb12         (kopecki e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 6% 15.50    
MACHEN'S RIDGE         (cuttino mari)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
WINDSOR'S TRACKER Mar18         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
OBANNON         (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
ANGELA'S ROMEO Apr06 Mar23 Mar16 Mar02   (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 1.40 21% 3.70    
 
CT-2   04/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNLUCE CAISSLE Mar31 Mar04 Feb19 Jan28   (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 12.00    
ALPHA QUEUE Mar20 Feb11 Jan28 Jan01   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
GHOST ON A MISSION Mar31 Mar04       (schottroffe )BATISTA A 120 10.00    
CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Mar19 Feb19 Feb03 Jan12   (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
VOLTAMOUR Mar20 Feb27 Feb11 Jan22   (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 11% 8.50    
LOOKIN' SMART Mar25 Mar04 Feb12     (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
CT-3   04/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE PRESENT Mar30 Mar16 Mar03 Feb04   (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00 16% 5.30    
AWESOME LAWSON Mar18 Mar09 Jan28     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
TALENTED CORINNA Apr01 Mar09       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  AMERICAN BLONDE         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.50    
FANFARE WELL         (cuttino mari)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
DR. CALKINS         (schoenthal phi)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.00    
FESSIN UP Mar24         (stahlin john)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
GOSSIPING Jan26         (perez ernes)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
MYGIDGETMARIE Mar24 Feb17 Jan28 Jan13   (huet terr)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
 
CT-4   04/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN MACHINE Mar30 Mar05 Feb13 Jan20 Jan01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20    
TAPPING SOUTH Apr09 Mar04 Feb04     (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.50 37% 1.70    
LOVE CALIFORNIA Mar30 Mar10 Feb17     (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 10.00    
MY DREAM GIRL Mar30 Mar09 Feb12     (shanley timothy)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
SUNDAY SWAGGER Mar30 Mar13 Mar04 Feb21 Jan28 (contessa )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
MOONLIGHT MISS Mar09         (shanley timo)MORALES KELVIN 120 4.50    
 
CT-5   04/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ A COUNTRY GIRL         (beattie t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.00 18% 4.70    
FEEL THE LOVE Mar25 Mar04 Feb24     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00    
RIVER REWARDS RVF Mar18 Feb24 Feb04     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
CEDARS BULLS EYE Mar25 Mar04       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 12% 7.40    
CEDAR'S WISH Mar25 Feb24 Feb10     (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 120 4.50    
HERETODAYGONMANANA Mar25 Mar04       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00 19% 4.40    
MY JUBA Mar25 Feb03       (casey w)PELTROCHE F 116 5.00    
LOVE TO ZOOM Apr07 Mar03 Feb04     (brown w)ACOSTA D 124 6.00    
 
CT-6   04/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUID PRO QUO Apr08 Mar18 Feb25 Feb05 Jan14 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
MIO GRACELAND Apr08 Mar19 Feb17 Jan26   (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
LET'S GET PHYSICAL Mar24 Feb02       (sanderson w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 8.00    
CHARITABLE VISIT Mar31 Mar18 Mar02 Jan12   (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 4.50    
PONTICELLO Apr08 Feb25 Jan26     (greaves vern)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.50 13% 6.80    
LIL MR MATT Apr02 Mar10 Mar03 Feb10 Jan27 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 4.50    
JACKLIGHTING Mar18 Feb02       (johnson all)THORPE DARIUS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   04/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGHT DAWN Mar24 Feb26       (allen fe)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50 7% 13.70    
FROGGY THE GREMLIN Mar24 Feb17       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.00 25% 3.00    
MASTER THIS Apr02 Mar24 Feb26 Feb05   (tobin l)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  STORMIN ROCKET Mar24 Feb25 Feb04     (craig lewis)RAMGEET R 116 10.00    
NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 Jan15   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
STRONG LIL KOKORO Mar24 Feb26       (collin)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
JAXJAXXORJACKS Apr02 Feb26 Feb02     (caison l)MARRERO R 120 12.00    
HAPPY YEARS Mar19 Mar02       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 15.00    
CATFISH Mar18 Mar04       (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
 
CT-8   04/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKEE MERCH Apr09 Mar25 Mar04 Feb20 Jan29 (stites)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 5.00 22% 3.50    
MEGA MILLIONS Mar30 Mar09 Feb11     (huet terr)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
MINE TO HOLD Mar25 Feb11       (rafter carl)MARRERO R 122 20.00    
MOSS BOSS Mar30 Mar02 Feb05 Jan12   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 7% 13.10    
SCOTTSDALE Mar25 Feb26 Feb11 Jan26 Jan12 (velez irvin)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 8.00 5% 17.60    
FAST LOADED Apr09 Mar25 Mar05 Jan21   (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.50    
SHERIFF CHIP Apr01 Mar05 Feb03     (capuano d)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.00 39% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.