Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - April 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   04/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE AMERICANO Mar11 Feb24 Jan21     (trujillo elvis)MONTERREY R 126 10.00    
SHANGHAIED ASTORIA Mar18         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 6.00 11% 8.20    
DEJOHN Apr03 Mar27 Mar11 Feb24 Feb11 (serey jr)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 18% 4.60    
CAMP PENDLETON Feb26 Feb06 Jan01     (sanchez-sal)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 12.00 10% 9.20    
MANKLIN CREEK Mar27         (corrales)BUTTERFLY L 119 12.00    
LOULOVESTHERIVER Mar21 Feb28 Jan26 Jan18   (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 5.00    
CAPTAIN CARDO Mar06 Feb11 Jan20     (tessore bruno)ACOSTA D 126 1.60 34% 1.90    
 
LRL-2   04/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50.6K) 3 ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER LOVE         (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 124 5.00    
SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Mar20         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 0.60 42% 1.40    
SURPRISE HELLO         (vick timot)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 12.00 6% 14.90    
KING SERAF (VEN)         (d'angelo ricard)MONTERREY R 124 8.00    
RUN AWAY EMPIRE         (mcmahon hug)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
MY HANDSOME MAN Mar26 Feb27       (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00    
 
LRL-3   04/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOODPROF Jan02         (d'angelo rica)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00    
RAD PAISLEY Mar27 Mar06 Feb20 Jan23   (sanchez-salomon)GARCIA LUIS 123 4.50    
BOURBON AND ICE Apr09 Mar18 Mar05 Feb10 Jan22 (magana j)AVILES YAN 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
BARDOLINO Mar18 Feb26 Feb10 Jan29 Jan22 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
CRABS N BEER Mar27 Feb23 Jan18     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 116 5.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  RAHMER Mar19 Feb20 Feb10 Jan16   (barr h)ARAUJO DENIS 126 2.50 29% 2.50    
SMITTEN ENOUGH         (elamri hass)BELTRAN M 123 5.00    
FLANK SPEED Jan04         (cooney susa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 4.00 33% 2.00    
HE'S ORIENTATE Mar27 Mar06 Jan27 Jan16   (heil nan)BUTTERFLY L 116 15.00    
10  SCIENCE (IRE) Apr01 Mar04 Feb16 Jan21   (gorham michae)ALVELO C 118 8.00    
11  MONSTER MASON Mar27 Feb27 Jan27     (mcfarlane brand)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
SCR  RAPID RESPONSE Mar06 Feb03       (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 119 8.00    
SCR  SO COURAGEOUS Mar02 Feb17       (figgins ollie )RIOS-CONDE A 126 15.00    
 
LRL-4   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ROYAL THUNDER Mar27 Mar06 Jan27 Jan01   (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 118 3.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  ACE NINE NINE Mar26         (mcmahon hug)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 3.50    
TENAX Jan16         (burdick barbara )RUIZ JORGE 123 30.00    
SCR  COASTAL MISSION Feb21 Jan29       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.00 17% 4.80    
SEVEN ON THE ROCKS Mar27 Feb27       (campbell willi)PEREZ XAVIER 123 10.00    
SINGLINO         (worsley john)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
ALL THREES Mar13 Feb21 Jan30     (smith a)ACOSTA D 126 8.00    
BEAR FORCE WON Mar11 Feb21 Jan16 Jan02   (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.00 47% 1.10    
COMMANDING GENERAL Apr10 Mar26 Mar13 Feb10 Jan27 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
 
LRL-5   04/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50.6K) 35 M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SULTRY SKY Mar09         (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 116 15.00    
SPELLBOOK         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 116 8.00    
BELLA BETTINA         (boniface ke)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 12.00 7% 14.30    
CHARMED WAY Mar23 Feb20 Jan23     (cibelli jane)LYNCH FEARGAL 116 4.50    
DATS A SUPERSTAR Feb18         (dilodovic)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 116 15.00    
PRACTICAL KITTY         (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 116 20.00    
MRS. POSTMAN         (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 109 12.00    
DATE NIGHT KISSES Apr01 Feb26       (lockard don)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 116 15.00    
VIVI MY LOVE Feb18 Jan23       (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 20.00    
10  JOYFUL APPLAUSE         (pitts hel)CARRASCO R 116 5.00 11% 7.70    
11  I'M BLUSHING Mar01 Feb05       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 1.80 59% 0.70    
12  BEAUCOUP BELL         (figgin)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 20.00    
 
LRL-6   04/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABIDALE Apr05 Mar02 Feb08     (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 30.00    
KHULUQ Mar18 Jan14       (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 4.50    
CHARDONNAY Mar18 Feb10 Jan13     (stidham mic)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
CLICK TO CONFIRM Apr01 Mar19 Feb26 Feb12 Jan27 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 118 10.00 10% 9.10    
LUNA BELLE Mar19 Feb19 Jan29     (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 124 0.60 34% 1.90    
ZAWISH Mar05 Feb12       (pitts hel)CARRASCO R 118 12.00    
 
LRL-7   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR ALFRED JAMES Mar29 Mar07 Feb19 Feb12 Jan22 (cash l)MCKEE J 126 3.00 25% 3.10    
MOHAAFETH Feb26 Jan22       (trujillo elvis)MONTERREY R 120 15.00    
BORRACHO Mar04 Feb11 Jan21     (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.00    
YOUNGEST OF FIVE Mar19 Jan29       (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  AMERICAN PATROL         (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00    
THREES OVER DEUCES Feb19 Jan29       (capuan)ENRIQUEZ JR 124 8.00    
DISCO PHAROAH Mar05         (handal raymon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 4.50    
WAR TOCSIN Feb19 Feb05       (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 6.00    
 
LRL-8   04/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET WILLEMINA Feb24 Jan26       (lake sco)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 15.00    
MISS LESLIE Feb19 Jan16       (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00 58% 0.70    
FINDING FAME Mar05         (trombetta mich)BOYCE FOREST 120 12.00    
FLIGHT TO SHANGHAI         (cibelli j)CARRASCO R 120 15.00    
SHALIMAR GARDENS Mar11 Jan13       (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00    
PRIMACY (ARG) Feb18 Jan20       (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 8.00    
HASHTAG LUCKY Feb25 Feb11 Jan16 Jan02   (sanchez-salomon )ACOSTA D 120 30.00    
ARTFUL SPLATTER Mar19 Feb19 Jan29     (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00 6% 16.30    
SHARP STARR Mar06         (de horaci)KARAMANOS A 124 10.00    
10  FILLE D'ESPRIT Mar19 Feb19 Jan29     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 3.50 14% 6.40    
11  PENNYBAKER         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 5.00    
12  MOMA TIGER Mar30 Mar08       (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 20.00    
 
LRL-9   04/16/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINE JET Mar29 Feb08 Jan18     (dunn john)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00    
SHAKE EM LOOSE Mar19 Feb27 Jan29     (sanchez-sal)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
BALTIMORE BULLEIT Mar13 Feb24 Feb19 Jan16   (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
JOE Mar19 Jan23       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
SOUTH STREET Feb24 Jan21       (mott william )KARAMANOS A 118 8.00    
MR JEFFERSON Feb05 Jan01       (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 15.00    
SMARTEN UP Mar28 Mar08 Feb05 Jan01   (velazquez alfred)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.50    
NONEEDTOWORRY Mar29 Mar05 Feb05 Jan18   (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 8.00    
SECRET ALLIANCE Feb21 Jan31       (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 10.00    
 
LRL-10   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONARCH BEACH Mar27 Feb12 Jan30 Jan23   (frock l)AVILES YAN 109 15.00    
MARTHARITA Mar15 Feb18       (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 116 12.00    
CHICA RABIOSA Apr02 Mar25 Mar11 Feb12 Jan23 (magee kieron)ALVELO C 111 2.50 20% 4.00    
STARTWITHABANG Apr01 Mar04 Jan28     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 2.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  BELLSWILLBERINGING Apr09 Mar06 Feb26 Feb13 Jan20 (contessa gary )ROSADO JOHAN 122 15.00    
OFFLEE GRAYSFUL Mar20 Mar13 Feb27 Feb11 Jan27 (ovando)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 30.00    
KINKY FROLIC Mar16 Jan28       (runco c)ACOSTA D 126 5.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  ICY HARBOR Feb12 Jan29       (houghton)BUTTERFLY L 115 10.00 5% 18.50    
SPANIKOPITA Apr08 Feb12 Jan28     (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00 6% 14.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.