Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - April 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST MAARTEN GIRL Mar30 Mar02       (vazquez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 12.00    
SCR  MEMENTO MI Mar30 Mar02       (vazquez juan )SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00    
2  LAKOTA SPIRIT Feb13 Jan09       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.20 47% 1.10    
3  CULDEE Mar18 Feb05 Jan06     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
4  AUNT NAUGHTY Jan27         (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 126 3.50 11% 7.70    
5  FIRST TO ACT Mar10         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 126 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  JABBERWOCK Feb25         (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
 
AQU-2   04/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE PRICE         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 6% 16.50    
2  GOOD TIP Feb20 Jan27       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00    
3  LEFT ON BOYLSTON Mar19         (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
4  BAIL OUT         (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 49% 1.00    
5  AL'S PRINCE Mar05         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 126 2.50 24% 3.10    
6  KING OF STING Mar03 Feb12 Jan08     (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  NOTHINGTOSEEHERE Mar20         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  BOLD VICTORY Apr08         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.60    
9  AMERICAN DAY         (mc )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
 
AQU-3   04/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOW (GER) Feb25 Jan23       (hennig ma)VARGAS A null      
2  SECRET LOVE (ARG) Mar25 Feb27       (kimmel john)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 4.50 20% 4.00    
3  STONY POINT Mar13         (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  TASWEYA Feb22         (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
5  SHOULDAVBEENMORE (FR)         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00    
6  GUARDIAN MOON Feb12         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.60 34% 1.90    
SCR  MAP OF AMERICA Mar15 Feb22       (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.00    
 
AQU-4   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GREATEST LOVE Feb13 Jan16       (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 1.20 45% 1.20    
SCR  BARISTA VIXEN Feb27 Feb10 Jan17     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.20    
2  COVER PHOTO Mar26 Mar13 Jan28 Jan14   (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
3  BABA Mar18 Feb25 Feb10 Jan16   (clarke dyla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 11% 7.90    
4  WAIT A MINUTE Jan27 Jan13       (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
5  SHASTA STAR Mar26 Feb21       (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
6  VIOLENT POINT Apr03 Feb27 Feb10 Jan28 Jan02 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00    
 
AQU-5   04/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAKED ON THE BEACH Mar18         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  REGINA Feb24 Jan23       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
3  PRUNING         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 126 8.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  STAR OF INDIA Jan06         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00    
5  CHARLEY RUDE Mar17         (clement christ)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  IRONIC LADY         (o'brien keith)CARDENAS LUIS 118 30.00    
7  LIBRETTO (IRE)         (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
8  EXPAND THE MAP (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00 40% 1.50    
9  FLACA Feb06         (atras rob)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
 
AQU-6   04/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLORMEPAZZI Mar18 Feb20 Jan22 Jan08   (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00    
2  EXTREME Feb26 Feb04 Jan08     (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 65% 0.50    
3  BEZOS         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00    
4  CAJUN COMMANDER Mar18 Jan21       (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MR. BUCKLEY Feb27         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 123 8.00    
6  MAGNIFICENT CHROME Mar26 Mar19 Feb26 Feb05   (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  JAKE ROCKS Mar18 Feb06 Jan08     (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50    
 
AQU-7   04/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER WICKED Apr07 Mar19 Feb26 Jan08   (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 127 4.50    
SCR  SON OF AN EX Apr02 Mar26 Mar04 Feb24 Jan27 (persaud rand)HARKIE K 127 4.50    
2  EXIT RIGHT Mar22 Mar09 Feb07 Jan17   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 125 1.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  KID D'ORO Apr01 Mar09 Feb15 Jan23   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 125 1.00    
3  STRAIGHT SKINNY Mar19 Feb18 Jan27     (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00    
4  AVA K'S BOY Mar06 Feb11       (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
5  AGILITY Mar13 Jan09       (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  QUICKFLASH Mar20 Mar11 Feb06     (atras ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
 
AQU-8   04/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONESOME FUGITIVE (IRE) Jan05         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
2  CONQUER THE WORLD Jan16         (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
SCR  GOOD CULTURE Mar20 Feb13 Jan16     (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00    
4  OLYMPIC ROMP Mar29 Feb23 Jan19     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00 5% 18.50    
5  EASTER (FR)         (motion gra)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00    
6  SO HIGH (GB)         (cha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
7  MICROPHONE (IRE) Feb27 Jan07       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 46% 1.20    
8  GHOST GIANT         (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
AQU-9   04/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T BE CHEEKY Feb27         (barrow pa)VARGAS A 125 30.00    
2  SOLID TUNE Feb26 Jan20       (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 ★    
3  MISPELLED MOOON         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
4  ROMA CARPE Mar27 Mar04       (johnson clev)HARKIE K 125 50.00    
5  THISMIGHTBETHEONE Mar11         (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00 ★    
6  CADENCIA Mar11 Feb10       (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 125 1.60 62% 0.60    
7  ADAYDREAMBELIEVER Feb25         (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
8  TWENTY TWO ELLE         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GAILHORSEWIND Jan09         (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
10  THISLADYIS THE LAW         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 6.00    
SCR  MISCREANT         (rye)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  IN SANDALS Mar27         (noda orlando)CARDENAS LUIS 118 30.00    
13  DUSTED Feb18         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  SARATOGA COMMANDO         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.50    
SCR  FLEUR ELYSE Jan28         (hennig ma)VARGAS A 118 6.00    
SCR  HEELS TOGETHER Feb03         (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 125 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.