Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Thursday - April 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN MELODY         (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 5.00 ★    
1A  RECIO'S BAYTOWN         (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 5.00 8% 11.20    
2B  HURRICANE DEBBIE         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  DEVIOUS STARES         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00    
3  ROSA DE RUBY         (fernandez kel)CANUTO THIAGO 112 20.00    
SCR  ALL THE ENVY         (mitchell j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00    
5  SKI SLOPE         (mccutchen r)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 15.00    
6  DOUBLE OVERTIME         (reed r)LEON SONNY 119 4.00 12% 7.70    
7  BECKY THATCHER         (hancock a)DIAZ RENE 112 6.00    
 
KEE-2   04/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARIAH SARIAH Mar01 Jan20       (shirer a)GRAHAM J 118 1.60 35% 1.80    
2  CARRY ON Jan19         (west aaro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 10.00 25% 3.00    
3  POSITIVE VIBES Mar05         (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MATT'S HONEY Apr01 Feb17       (chaudoin willi)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 16% 5.20    
5  A LITTLE FLYER Jan09         (porter michael)MOJICA JR 118 10.00    
6  ANCIENT BROWN Feb20 Jan23 Jan01     (cash l)MCKEE J 118 5.00    
7  KIMBERLEY DREAM Mar18 Feb17 Jan29 Jan09   (winston d)OUZTS W 118 15.00    
8  TALK RADIO Mar19 Feb18       (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 5.00    
9  MY WYNTER ROSE Mar24 Feb19 Jan15     (short thomas)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00    
 
KEE-3   04/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR NUISANCE Mar31 Mar18 Mar02 Feb18 Jan22 (rangel arnul)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 50.00    
2  FEAST Feb06 Jan21       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50    
3  TEMPLET Mar26 Feb26 Feb16     (connelly teresa)OUZTS W 124 10.00    
4  WINDY CITY RED Mar17 Feb24 Feb05 Jan06   (stidham mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  INCITATUS Mar19 Mar12 Feb16 Jan16   (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 124 8.00    
6  ALFIE SOLOMONS         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 1.60 65% 0.50    
7  Z U AT THE RACES Mar26 Mar02 Jan23 Jan09   (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 117 20.00    
8  YES SIR ROBERT Mar19 Mar04 Jan19     (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-4   04/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONE FOR RICHIE Mar05 Feb21 Jan02     (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50    
SCR  FRANCO'S TEAM Mar18 Mar02 Feb18 Jan22   (valencia e)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 50.00    
3  BEVERLY PARK Apr01 Mar25 Mar15 Feb23 Feb18 (cash l)MCKEE J 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  THIRSTY BETRAYAL Mar10 Jan09       (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
5  BABY YODA Feb12         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.00 39% 1.60    
6  FAMILY MAN         (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
7  CRIME SPREE Feb26 Feb05 Jan09     (leonard ii)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00    
 
KEE-5   04/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NABOKOV         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 39% 1.50    
2  HE'S A KEEPER         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00    
3  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR Feb25 Jan29       (navarrete )CORRALES GERARDO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHARGEITTOTHEGAME         (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 125 12.00    
5  PRIZE FIGHTER         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 8.00 12% 7.00    
6  RATIFICATION Feb25 Jan23       (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
7  SPRINKLEHEAD Feb25 Feb16 Jan08     (salas felipe)ACHARD ALEX 125 12.00    
8  RUNPAT Mar11         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 2.50 24% 3.20    
9  EAST TO THE DAWN         (mcgaughey r)CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00    
 
KEE-6   04/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GOT A GAL Mar26 Feb12       (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 117 3.50 37% 1.70    
2  READY LADY         (attfield roge)VELAZQUEZ R 117 6.00 7% 13.90    
3  QUEEN JUDITH Mar05 Jan16       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 15.00    
4  STEPPER Mar05         (drury jr)LANERIE J 117 15.00    
5  RENAISSANCE (IRE)         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 8.00    
6  LOLLOPING Mar12 Feb12       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 117 6.00    
SCR  TAKE THE BACKROADS Mar04         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 117 10.00    
8  BRAVO KITTEN Jan02         (joseph saff)RISPOLI UMBERTO 117 8.00 19% 4.30    
9  LEGERITY Jan23         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I'M SO SORRY Mar17         (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 117 8.00    
11  OAKHURST Feb09         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 117 6.00 16% 5.40    
12  PROTOMAGIC Mar05 Feb10       (steele brand)MORALES JOSHUA 117 50.00    
13  MAXINE MACHINE Jan29 Jan01       (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 8.00    
SCR  MYFAVORITEDAUGHTER Mar03 Feb05 Jan21 Jan01   (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 8.00    
SCR  EMINENT VICTOR         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 117 2.00    
SCR  GET SERIOUS Mar12         (delacour arnau)PRAT FLAVIEN 117 3.50    
 
KEE-7   04/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YONO Mar19 Feb19 Jan09     (walsh p)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
2  WHATSTHECONNECTION         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
3  AMERICAN HERO Mar12 Jan07       (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
4  BLUE KENTUCKY Mar09 Jan22       (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 25% 3.00    
5  WICKED GENIUS Feb11 Jan14       (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
6  EXPENSIVE CUT Mar24 Mar10       (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 15.00    
7  ZIPPIN GIGI Mar19 Feb06 Jan17     (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
 
KEE-8   04/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS CAUSEWAY Mar19 Jan29       (wilkes r)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50    
2  TEMPLE CITY TERROR         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50    
3  PASS THE PLATE Feb19 Jan22       (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00 12% 7.70    
4  CORE VALUES         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
5  NORMA JEAN B. Feb11         (cerin vladimi)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 20% 3.90    
6  CURLY RUTH         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
7  FLUFFY SOCKS         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  MISTY VEIL Feb27 Jan29 Jan07     (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 3.00    
 
KEE-9   04/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GATEKEEPER (IRE) Feb26         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT null   5% 19.00    
2  CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) Mar12         (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  TWO BIRDS         (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
4  WARRIOR JOHNY Mar04 Jan22       (bauer phil)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 ★    
5  BEACH HOLIDAY Mar31 Mar05 Feb10     (holsapple)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00    
6  FLOCKED Mar21         (kobiskie )HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00    
7  CLASSIC MARK Mar06 Feb12 Jan22     (callaghan simo)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
8  BRIGADIER GENERAL Mar04 Jan23       (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  VERSATILE Feb19         (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 20.00    
10  HIPPODROME         (cash l)MCKEE J 120 8.00 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.