Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - April 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   04/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDDLE ISLAND Feb21 Jan01       (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 10.00    
I B NASTY Mar26 Jan26 Jan14     (viands grego)BATISTA A 116 30.00    
CARTEL QUEEN         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 2.00 22% 3.50    
GOT YOUR NUMBER         (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 1.40 19% 4.20    
AADHANA Mar19 Feb12       (comi w)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50    
KYMMIES CHARDONNAY Mar05 Feb21 Jan23     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
CT-2   04/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMAGOODCHATTERBUG Apr06 Mar25 Mar10 Feb26   (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 20.00 18% 4.40    
COUNTRY MAGIC Mar26 Feb24 Jan15     (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00    
SHE FIGURES Mar26 Mar10 Feb25 Feb02   (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.00 19% 4.30    
BOCA BIRDIE Mar26 Mar05 Feb26     (pickett g)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
VINTAGE GIN Apr01 Mar10 Feb04     (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
MISS MORGANTOWN Mar24 Feb26 Feb05 Jan14   (ramos a)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 12.00 6% 15.20    
WHIZ PASS Mar05         (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
 
CT-3   04/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARGENT KOBE Mar17         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 1.60 36% 1.80    
MEGALODON'SREVENGE Mar03 Jan26       (shanley tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 12.00    
GANGHIS KHAN         (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 5.00    
BLACK SHADOW Mar10         (joy j)RAMGEET R 122 6.00    
GOLDEN METTLE Feb25 Feb05       (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 117 8.00 6% 16.30    
PULL UP MY SOCKS Mar18 Mar02 Feb03     (aylor l)LARROSA G 118 10.00    
WRIGHT RUSSELL         (johnson r)CULLUM W 118 4.50 21% 3.70    
MOVED BY JUBA Mar26 Mar10 Jan15     (shanley timo)MORALES KELVIN 116 10.00 11% 8.00    
 
CT-4   04/14/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY IDEA Mar24 Mar03 Feb10     (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
GLAD MOON (GER) Mar24 Mar03       (tsiamis art)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
GEMS MINESHAFT RVF Apr01 Mar01 Feb11 Jan25 Jan11 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 10.00 8% 10.90    
PECULIAR SENSATION Mar25 Feb04 Jan15     (lane j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00 5% 18.80    
FIND YOUR BOAZ Mar24 Mar04 Feb15 Feb06   (geris samuel )SIMPSON JASON 122 3.00    
RIGHTEOUS RENEGADE Mar24 Mar03       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00    
SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR Mar30 Mar04 Feb03     (hurley jack)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.40 56% 0.80    
 
CT-5   04/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER BOAT Mar05 Feb12       (downie lofflin)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY EXPENSIVE GIFT Mar09 Feb05 Jan14     (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
CHEESE LOUISE Mar26 Mar09 Feb12 Jan12   (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
CORAL SUMMER Mar20 Feb27 Feb03 Jan16   (d'angelo ri)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 12.00    
WHYCANTTHISBELOVE Apr07 Feb25 Feb04     (shanley timo)MORALES KELVIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
DAMISELA Mar31 Mar24 Mar11 Mar02 Feb12 (raymond donovan)LIMA FELINO 113 15.00    
TOY TIGER Mar31 Mar11 Feb17 Jan14   (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 1.20    
CALLINGHERCOLLINS Mar09 Feb05       (runco j)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
CT-6   04/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BELLA FEMMINA Apr07 Mar24 Feb19     (boykins kevin)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
I'M A TOTAL DIVA Mar17 Jan26       (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.00 19% 4.20    
HANDSOME JOANIE Mar26 Mar05 Feb10     (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
TRIPLE GALA Mar26 Feb19 Feb02     (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 5.00    
WITNESS THE ENERGY Mar05 Jan28       (lucas a)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 4.00 13% 6.90    
CLUBIN TILL DAWN Mar26 Feb11 Jan28     (johnson freddi)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
DYLADDIE Mar09 Feb04       (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
CT-7   04/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYBOY ROY Mar23 Feb26 Feb10     (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 4.00 30% 2.40    
LIL TOUGHMAN Mar24 Mar18 Feb02     (johnson j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
WALK THE BANK Mar18 Mar11 Feb25 Feb12 Jan20 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 118 12.00    
SCR  EISELE Apr06 Mar24 Mar10 Jan26   (cuttino ma)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  NAUTICAL WARRIOR Mar26 Mar16 Feb24 Jan26   (atkins g)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
ELVIRUS Mar16 Feb24 Jan30 Jan15   (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.00    
BANNER MAN Mar24 Feb11       (runco j)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 10.00    
JUST NOD AND SMILE         (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
RED MESA Mar18 Feb26 Feb10 Jan23   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 7% 13.70    
10  GRECIAN ADMIRAL Mar24 Feb10 Jan26     (greaves verno)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 11% 8.30    
 
CT-8   04/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAVEN RAHY Mar23         (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 20.00    
NOW I'M BROKE Mar23 Mar05 Feb12 Jan14   (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 5.00 7% 13.90    
PARISHIONER Mar23 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12   (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 118 1.80 65% 0.50    
DOESN'T MAKE CENTS Mar23 Mar03 Feb19 Feb10 Jan26 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
SMELLSLIKEMONEY Mar30 Mar11 Feb19 Feb02 Jan12 (perez e)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 10.00    
SPLIT THE PACK Mar23 Mar03 Feb12     (lane scott )MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
BAYTOWN JAKESTER Mar24 Mar04 Feb12     (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50    
TAPPING         (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
KING T'CHALLA Mar26 Mar05 Feb19 Feb12   (johnston r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00    
10  LAMECH Mar30 Mar17       (lane j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
11  RUN RABBIT Apr02 Feb19 Feb10 Jan28   (shanley tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.