Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Thursday - April 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   04/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAKS FOR ITSELF         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 0.80 48% 1.10    
1A  NO ONE'S LAUGHING         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 0.80    
MADAME ROSE Mar11 Feb27 Jan23 Jan02   (jones eduardo)CARDENAS LUIS 125 50.00    
SCR  SPIKED Mar12         (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 1.80 24% 3.30    
WORLD TRAVELER         (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
HOODOOLAND         (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
 
AQU-2   04/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUINTARELLI Jan09         (henry neville)JUAREZ NIK 121 20.00 6% 16.90    
MISTER WINSTON Apr02 Feb26 Feb03 Jan16   (arr)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
LIVEYOURBEASTLIFE         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 1.20    
MUCHO SUNSHINE Mar31 Feb20 Jan27     (shivmang)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50 6% 15.30    
WILD UNION Mar20         (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.50 57% 0.80    
SCOTTY Mar25 Feb26 Jan08     (diprima )DAVIS A 123 5.00    
 
AQU-3   04/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Mar25 Feb12       (schosberg r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.00 19% 4.10    
AMEDEUS MUSIC Mar18         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
HEADS OR TAILS Mar25 Feb21       (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00    
JOLLY HERETIC Feb25         (lyn)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 7% 13.90    
SILIPO Feb25 Feb09 Jan27     (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50    
NEVER EARLY Mar19         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.00 44% 1.30    
 
AQU-4   04/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LOVE UNLIMITED         (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 30.00    
SCR  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Jan14         (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 30.00    
MASABEEH Jan14         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 13% 6.60    
CANDLESTICK MAKER         (levine bruc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 12.00    
SYNONYMOUS         (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 126 15.00    
BELLESHAZZA Feb18 Jan13       (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OPENTHEGATE Mar20 Feb17 Jan13     (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
ANCHOR LADY Mar27 Feb27       (henry ne)DAVIS A 126 50.00    
SCR  INVESTMENT INCOME Mar11         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 0.50 39% 1.60    
 
AQU-5   04/14/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROPER GRAMMAR Jan01         (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 124 50.00    
READY A. P. Mar18         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
FLIP MY ID Jan22         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
NO PAYNE         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 126 20.00    
FONTANAFREDDA         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
MASTEROF THE TUNES         (lee)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 126 10.00    
BIG TIME LADY Jan01         (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 126 20.00    
SASSY MELISSA Mar11         (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 12% 7.60    
UNCLE'S GEM         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 6.00 15% 5.50    
10  PALACE GOSSIP         (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 126 3.50 38% 1.60    
11  OFALLTHEGINJOINTS Feb24         (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 12.00    
12  FROSTED BOURBON Mar18 Jan23 Jan02     (hennig ma)VARGAS A 124 30.00    
SCR  RIGBY Jan19         (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATING CARA Mar25 Mar18 Feb25 Jan23   (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 124 5.00    
 
AQU-6   04/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATURE BOY Mar13         (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 11% 7.80    
QUESTION MY SANITY Mar19 Feb05       (romero jesus)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00    
MY BOY COLTON Mar19 Feb27 Feb03     (diprima gre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 3.50    
ALITE Mar19 Feb18 Feb03     (pringle edmu)HARKIE K 126 4.00    
BIRD RULER Mar19         (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 126 2.00 39% 1.60    
IRIE SPICE Apr07 Mar19 Feb20 Feb05 Jan27 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 15.00    
NICHOLAS JAMES         (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
AQU-7   04/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFAULT PROTECTION Feb03 Jan02       (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 14% 6.00    
MAKE MISCHIEF         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.80    
SCR  HYBRID ECLIPSE Feb21         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 22% 3.60    
FLASHNDYNAMITE Feb18         (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 8.00    
CAFE SOCIETY Mar09 Feb12       (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  EXOTIC WEST Apr10 Feb25 Jan16     ( )TBA null      
 
AQU-8   04/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  HIEROGLYPHICS Jan23 Jan14       (chatterpaul n)CARDENAS LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  SO HIGH (GB)         (chatterpaul n)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00    
KURAMATA (IRE) Jan15         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 1.60    
2B  FLOP SHOT (IRE) Feb27         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60 44% 1.30    
SOULMATE         (pregman joh)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 30.00    
FAMISHED Mar25 Feb20 Feb13 Feb03 Jan20 (quick j)MENA E 119 30.00    
HIGHLAND CHIEF (IRE)         (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50    
LITTLE MENACE Mar20 Feb03 Jan23     (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
KYGO (GER) Mar05 Jan15       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 7% 13.90    
BUY LAND AND SEE Feb03         (dutrow anthony)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
BIG AGENDA Feb26 Jan30 Jan13     (sha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  WORTH A SHOT         (de ho)VARGAS A 119 6.00    
11  OCALA DREAM         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  SPACE LAUNCH         (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Feb05 Jan09       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.00 14% 6.30    
 
AQU-9   04/14/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 29% 2.40    
OAK LOVES A FIGHT         (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
ROYAL DANCER         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 12.00    
MERGER OF EQUALS         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
VALENTIA ISLAND         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
SUCCULENT Mar20         (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
VALLELUJAH         (davis ro)DAVIS A 118 30.00 9% 9.90    
ACT OF CONGRESS         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
BELARUS Jan08         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
10  DARN THAT SONG Mar20 Feb19 Jan22 Jan08   (brown r)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00 10% 9.10    
11  CROSSTALK Mar12         (ryan s)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
12  THAT'S WHY I'M ME         (grossman bruc)CARDENAS LUIS 125 30.00    
SCR  CABERNET TRAIL         (davis d)MENA E 125 30.00    
SCR  SINFULLY SWEET         (casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  VOLEUSE         (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
SCR  CINDY'S CHOICE Feb19 Jan22       (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.