Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - April 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   04/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GANDI Mar15 Mar01 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12 (albright r)FLORES E 124 2.00 58% 0.70    
2  NOTEWORTHY Mar25         (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 ★    
3  ROBBY'S RANSOM Mar15 Feb23 Feb01     (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 3.00 11% 7.80    
4  ADY'S MUNNY Mar23 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 ★    
5  LTL BEAR SALOON Feb08 Jan12       (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   04/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER TOKEN Mar25 Mar09 Feb18 Jan25   (o'callahan carl)OTERO P 122 6.00 6% 15.20    
2  MY MAGICAL MAN Mar25 Mar08 Feb23 Feb09 Jan25 (graci kim)VARGAS L 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  CONSTITUENCY         (velez irv)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
4  GET DOWN BROWN Feb18         (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
5  MO CRAZY BLUES Mar16 Feb18 Jan11     (sells rachel)WHITNEY G 122 4.00    
6  SCREEN STAR Mar11 Feb23 Jan25 Jan07   (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   04/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTERCEPT Mar15 Mar01 Jan28     (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 8% 10.90    
2  THE BEST CANDY Mar25 Mar04 Feb18 Jan25 Jan11 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
3  AGAINST THE ODDS Mar18 Feb23 Feb01 Jan19   (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 30.00    
4  A MAIZE ZING RIP Feb11         (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
5  COLOUR GUARD Mar18 Feb15 Feb02 Jan17   (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  AUTOMATE Jan19         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 ★    
7  GOOGLE IT Mar15 Feb15 Jan19     (kravets bru)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
8  COAST TO COAST Mar18 Feb23 Feb01     (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   04/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL Mar15 Feb19 Jan14 Jan07   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.60 23% 3.30    
2  QUEEN'S DREAM Mar16 Feb18 Feb02 Jan19   (beattie cody)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
3  JUSTKISSMYGRITS Mar22 Feb23 Feb02 Jan14   (stites w)WHITNEY G 120 1.80 ★    
4  SHATTER ME         (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  KIRBY Feb23 Feb09 Jan19     (morris kenton)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   04/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOOKY ONE Mar16 Feb16 Jan28 Jan07   (albright ge)INIRIO J 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
2  DIXIE CANNONBALL Mar16 Jan28 Jan07     (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 124 1.40 44% 1.30    
3  SOUL STORY Mar16         (albright )VARGAS L 124 4.00 ★    
4  PAULINO Mar16 Mar02 Jan14     (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 122 15.00    
5  MY MAN GEORGIO Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 Jan28 Jan07 (carpio erin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 ★    
6  WAR NOVEL Mar25 Mar09 Feb25 Feb18 Jan22 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 12% 7.70    
 
PEN-6   04/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN'S MAN Mar04 Feb09       (rogers michael)CORA D 120 3.50 13% 7.00    
2  FREE DANCER Mar18         (maymo j)CRUZ JOEL 120 6.00    
3  CHEEK TO CHEEK Mar16 Feb11 Jan26     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 11% 7.70    
SCR  W W SPRINGTIME Apr07 Mar04 Jan21     (allen ferri)ALVELO C 115 6.00    
5  SIR ROCKPORT Feb11 Jan26 Jan14     (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 8% 12.10    
6  CRAFTY JACK Mar18 Feb15 Feb02     (albright amy)FLORES E 122 10.00    
7  YES IT'S ROO Mar18 Mar01 Feb09 Jan14   (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  SAVAGERY         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
PEN-7   04/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRYCE'S PHILLY Mar23 Mar04 Jan03     (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 124 30.00 ★    
2  HILL VALLEY Mar09 Feb22 Jan14     (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00 9% 10.00    
3  SILENT FLUIDITY Mar26 Mar11       (allen ferri)ALVELO C 119 3.50 14% 6.00    
4  MARIE FROM PARIE Mar09 Feb22       (bobadilla f)OTERO P 124 20.00    
5  NORA RADD Mar16 Feb18 Jan14     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 1.80 31% 2.30    
6  TIZ PROMISING RVF Mar23 Feb22 Feb09 Jan07   (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 124 5.00    
7  INTROSPECTION Mar18 Mar09 Feb09     (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
 
PEN-8   04/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3 ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALM DOWN Mar23 Mar08 Feb09     (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 123 4.50 ★    
2  OLD FORTY FIVE Feb25 Jan17       (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT Mar22 Feb25 Jan28     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 3.00 ★    
4  BANKING ON BIZ         (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 12% 7.10    
5  COMPACT Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 Jan28   (beattie sandee)CONNER TYLER 123 15.00    
SCR  VICTORY IS OURS Mar16 Feb23 Feb09     (rodriguez m)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.00 17% 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.