Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - April 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXCURSIONNISTE Feb21         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  SIR WILLIAM Mar11 Feb27 Feb13 Jan22 Jan09 (ferraro w)MENA E 126 4.00 ★    
3  SENSIBLECONCLUSION Mar05 Feb21 Jan27     (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00 ★    
SCR  CONSTITUTIONAL BID         (crook-demasi ka)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
5  CURLIN'S WISDOM Feb05         (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
6  BARREL OF QUESTS Mar19 Feb11       (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 15.00    
7  SALUTE TO AMERICA Feb05         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
8  JOINT RESOLUTION         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00 ★    
9  MOPED DENNIS Mar05 Feb05 Jan22     (englehart jeremia)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
10  UNCLE WATER FLOW Mar11         (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 10.00    
11  ROYAL TIME Feb24         (ferraro jame)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 20.00    
 
AQU-2   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($82K) 3 F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMOND COLLECTOR Mar19 Feb06       (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 14% 6.30    
2  WATERS OF MEROM Apr01 Jan23 Jan06     (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 ★    
3  LONDON GOLD Mar27 Mar04 Feb12 Jan14   (persaud )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 ★    
4  EARLY GLOW Jan14         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  TAP THE FAITH         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 1.40 21% 3.70    
 
AQU-3   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGER Mar20 Feb13 Jan22 Jan04   (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 ★    
2  FOREVER WICKED Mar19 Feb26 Jan08     (persaud rand)HARKIE K 121 15.00 ★    
3  NO BURN Mar04 Feb05 Jan09     (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.60    
4  DANGEROUS EDGE Mar20 Feb26       (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 ★    
5  AIR SHOW Mar20 Feb20 Jan22     (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 ★    
6  ROAD TO SUCCESS Feb20 Jan05       (arriaga antonio)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 66% 0.50    
 
AQU-4   04/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUREAUCRAT Mar13 Feb05       (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00    
2  JADE'S DREAM Mar19         (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 125 12.00    
SCR  UNCLE CURLY Mar06 Feb05 Jan15     (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 9% 10.60    
4  SUNDAESWITHSANDY         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
5  JUMPSTER Mar05         (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 125 4.50 6% 14.60    
SCR  BREADMAN Feb24 Feb05       (terranova john)LEZCANO JOSE 127 3.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  BARLEEWON Feb26 Jan09       (o'brien keith)CARDENAS LUIS 127 20.00    
8  UMBRIA Mar19         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 127 4.00 30% 2.30    
9  SANDRO THE GREAT Jan13         (quick j)MENA E 125 15.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE Feb27 Feb05 Jan14     (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 4.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  SONIC SPEED Feb11 Jan09       (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 10.00    
12  RUN FOR BOSTON Mar19 Feb24 Jan27     (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 127 5.00    
 
AQU-5   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPEROR'S CAUSE Mar18 Feb05       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 7% 14.10    
2  COUSTEAU Mar20 Feb06       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 53% 0.90    
3  CENTAVO Mar11 Mar05       (chatterpaul n)CARDENAS LUIS 121 30.00 ★    
4  MY BROTHER NEIL Mar07 Feb15 Jan18     (linder jr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00    
5  BLU GROTTO Feb26 Feb04 Jan13     (kimmel john)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 ★    
6  ROCK SUGAR Feb26 Jan28       (morey william )LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  PRAYER BOOK Mar11 Feb13 Feb06 Jan16   (chichakl)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 123 30.00    
8  REMEMBERMOM Mar11 Feb21 Jan09     (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
 
AQU-6   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GIRL LEXI Mar26 Mar06 Feb27 Feb10   (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 20.00    
2  BIG AL'S GAL Mar18 Feb25 Jan27     (arriaga )DAVIS A 123 8.00 ★    
3  MAGNETIQUE Mar06 Feb04       (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  SIRENIC         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00 42% 1.40    
5  GUNS BLAZING Feb21 Jan16 Jan06     (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50 ★    
6  QUALITY STONES Mar26 Mar13 Feb21 Jan16 Jan02 (delauro edwar)CARDENAS LUIS 121 5.00    
7  LADY BY CHOICE Jan13         (bar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
8  ADDILYN Mar13 Feb10 Jan09     (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 ★    
 
AQU-7   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCING BUCK         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 126 2.50 17% 4.70    
2  REJECTED AGAIN         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 124 6.00 ★    
3  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Mar05 Feb05 Jan08     (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.50    
SCR  KAWHI ME A RIVER         (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 1.80 5% 19.00    
5  SCOCCIATORE Mar19 Feb12 Jan28     (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 56% 0.80    
6  CASTLE CHAOS Mar05 Feb05       (falcone rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 4.00    
SCR  JUULSTONE Mar04 Feb19       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 126 5.00    
SCR  TOPS THE CHART Feb23 Jan19       (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
9  TRASH TALKER Mar05 Feb20 Jan08     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 126 2.50 ★    
SCR  SUPPLY AND DEMAND Feb12         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 126 8.00    
11  R BOY BODE Jan28         (thompson marcus )JUAREZ NIK 124 30.00    
 
AQU-8   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTION TO STRIKE Mar13 Jan20       (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 125 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  NICHOLAS JAMES         (reynolds patric)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 ★    
2  FAZARO Mar19 Feb05 Jan16     (potts wa)DAVIS A 118 8.00    
3  IRIE SPICE Mar19 Feb20 Feb05 Jan27 Jan16 (persaud )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 118 30.00    
4  ANGELI BLU         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00 5% 17.60    
5  ANY MINUTE Feb25 Jan27 Jan06     (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
6  WE READY Mar19 Feb18 Feb03 Jan20   (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 125 4.50 6% 15.40    
7  HARDLY WORKING Mar13 Jan09       (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00    
8  MISTER J T Mar19 Feb18 Jan20     (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  EXCEPTIONAL Mar19         (johnson clev)HARKIE K 118 50.00    
10  LORD GATLING Feb12 Jan16       (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.