Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - April 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   04/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET CASTLE Feb24 Jan12       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40    
LIL MISS FIBER Mar23 Mar11 Feb10 Jan28   (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 9% 9.70    
SPUNKY ALI CAT Feb12 Jan28       (bass w)WHITACRE B 122 10.00 10% 9.00    
TINA'S SONG Mar09 Feb04 Jan13     (aylor will)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
VINTAGE GIN Mar10 Feb04       (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
SUZYSELLSSEASHELLS Mar10 Feb26 Feb10     (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 1.80    
 
CT-2   04/01/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMELESS RISK Mar11 Feb26       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  NATHAN DETROIT Mar19 Feb26 Jan22     (cash l)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
SHERIFF CHIP Mar05 Feb03       (capuano d)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
GIGGING Mar19 Feb26 Feb18 Feb03 Jan16 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 0.60 31% 2.20    
GEMS MINESHAFT RVF Mar01 Feb11 Jan25 Jan11   (dollinger-sthr)RIOS-CONDE A 120 50.00    
JAMMIN JIMTOWN Mar09 Feb22 Jan17     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50    
 
CT-3   04/01/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ THE REASON Feb26 Feb11       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80    
MOJO MATTERS Mar11 Jan28 Jan14     (davis russe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 10.00 16% 5.30    
LADY LICIOUS Mar23 Feb02       (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
FASHION ICON         (locklear jame)SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00    
NOT FOR GOLD Mar23 Feb26 Feb05 Jan14   (brown keit)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 6.00 13% 6.70    
THISLILLIMEOFMINE Mar11 Jan28 Jan12     (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
MISS GRANDSTANDER Mar11         (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
ELLIE BEAR Feb12         (montilla carlos)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   04/01/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSIN WINNIE         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 12.00 9% 10.20    
CHEROKEE CASTLE Mar17 Feb02       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
STROLLING THROUGH Mar10         (larrosa r)LARROSA G 124 4.50    
GOT ANY Feb19         (pearson mic)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 50.00 5% 19.00    
LUCYLOU WHO Mar17 Feb11       (velez irv)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.80 38% 1.60    
TIZ EVAN'S HONEY         (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00    
DENALI D'ORO Mar17 Feb02       (campbell mar)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 10.00    
 
CT-5   04/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY CINCO DE MAYO Mar11 Feb12       (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00    
SCR  OHH BEEHAVE Jan27         (shanley mark)SIMPSON JASON 124 30.00    
TALENTED CORINNA Mar09         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 8.00    
HOT AS BLUE BLAZES         (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 3.00 8% 11.70    
STARTWITHABANG Mar04 Jan28       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  RONA Mar09 Feb18       (vick timot)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 12.00    
FORT ZANNA Mar09         (myers larry)LARROSA G 124 50.00    
SCR  SPUNKY ZOEY Jan28 Jan07       (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
CT-6   04/01/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETE THE BEAST Mar10 Jan14       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00    
DAN THE MAN CAN Mar10 Feb24       (sanders)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 15.00    
GOLDEN KEY Mar10         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.60 71% 0.40    
COWBOY AT HEART Mar11 Feb11 Jan14     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50    
STRETCH THE TRUTH Mar10 Jan15       (king yolonda)HO WESLEY 120 30.00    
CAIRO CALLING Mar10 Feb12 Jan26     (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 5.00    
MACY'S BOY         (campbell a)LARROSA G 120 3.00    
 
CT-7   04/01/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEVERLY PARK Mar25 Mar15 Feb23 Feb18 Feb13 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 1.00 32% 2.10    
ONE MORE FACTOR Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 Feb18 Jan27 (espinosa )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 30.00    
STRONG LIKE BULL Mar03 Jan26       (jackson l)LARROSA G 120 6.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  ZAINO BOYZ Feb18 Feb02 Jan12     (davis billy)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 8.00    
TO THE FRONT Mar13 Feb18 Feb03 Jan15   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 12.00 5% 17.90    
ALLTHEWAY TO CAIRO Feb18 Jan27       (hanagan lela)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
RULING         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
PRIMAL DESTINY Feb18         (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
CT-8   04/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURAGEOUS GRACE Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 Jan14   (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 6.00 9% 10.00    
ANCHOR'S FIRSTLADY Mar19 Mar09       (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 15.00    
SCR  NAITAKA Feb22 Jan25 Jan08     (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Mar16 Mar06 Feb05     (keller chr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50    
SCR  WIN THEN GRIN Mar11 Feb25 Feb03 Jan01   (maldonado)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
SCR  UPSY DAISY DO Mar11 Feb25 Feb03     (aylor william)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
DEVILISH BEAUTY Mar11 Feb12       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.00 43% 1.30    
TONALA Mar02 Feb05 Jan15     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
WILD CAPPUCINO Feb26 Jan15       (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.