Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - April 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAGNEY (BRZ) Feb25 Jan16       (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
SCR  LINDROS Mar07 Feb15 Jan14     (lynch cathal)CARMOUCHE K 126 3.50 10% 8.70    
3  RUSH TO HONOR Feb13 Jan06       (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 126 8.00 ★    
4  JOHNSELECTRICRIDE Feb12 Jan20       (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 9% 10.30    
5  LUCKY BRODY Feb27 Jan28       (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 126 1.60 37% 1.70    
6  CONNECTED Feb25 Jan30 Jan02     (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 12.00    
7  DEVIOUS BANKER Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Jan09   (grusmark)DAVIS A 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
 
AQU-2   04/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINNY KATE Mar06 Feb12 Jan16     (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.00    
2  SUDDEN IMPULSE Mar04 Feb11       (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 125 3.00 ★    
3  WRITE THE CHECK Feb25 Feb04 Jan08     (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 20% 3.90    
4  DARE TO BE GREAT Mar18 Feb26 Feb11     (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 6.00 ★    
5  APRIL ANTICS Mar06         (goberdhan cha)CARDENAS LUIS 125 3.50 ★    
6  CROSS ISLAND Feb11         (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
AQU-3   04/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYWRIGHT Feb24 Feb05 Jan16     (schettin)DAVIS A 121 3.50 ★    
2  RUNABOUT Mar25 Feb05 Jan01     (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.80 56% 0.80    
3  NUTZFORBOLTZ Feb05 Jan01       (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 121 5.00 ★    
4  BLOOD MOON Feb24 Feb05 Jan16     (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  O SHEA CAN U SEE Mar04 Feb05 Jan02     (laxmeter )CAMACHO JR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VICAR'S LEGEND Mar19 Mar04 Feb21 Feb10   (younghans william)LUZZI J 121 12.00    
 
AQU-4   04/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BATTLE MAP Feb27         (goberdhan cha)CARDENAS LUIS 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  ACTUALIZE Feb26 Feb03       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 68% 0.50    
3  SUKOON         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 ★    
4  SMOKE AND HEAT         (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 ★    
5  PATIENT CAPITAL         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 ★    
SCR  LATE CALL         (duarte j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
7  DADS GOOD RUNNER Feb03         (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
 
AQU-5   04/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCENIC VIEW Feb25 Jan14       (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
2  WATERS OF MEROM Jan23 Jan06       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 21% 3.70    
3  INTELLIGENCEREPORT Feb11         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 ★    
4  SWEET SURPRISE Feb24 Jan20       (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
5  TWEAQUED Jan28         (ribaudo rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.60 28% 2.60    
6  KINGDOM QUEEN Mar19 Mar11 Feb24 Jan06   (mc allen)DAVIS A 120 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   04/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THORNY TALE Mar15 Feb07 Jan19     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00 27% 2.80    
2  SEVEN LILIES Feb20 Jan14       (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 ★    
3  JUST RIGHT Jan28 Jan14       (rodriguez gu)HARKIE K 119 12.00    
4  DADDY KNOWS Mar06 Feb20 Feb11     (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 1.80 ★    
5  DR ARDITO Feb24         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  INVEST Mar19 Feb24 Jan16     (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   04/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATTY'S MARAUDER Mar05 Feb19 Feb03 Jan09   (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 7% 12.40    
SCR  COACH BAHE Mar11 Feb20 Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 (barrera )DAVIS A 121 12.00    
3  TAMBURRO'S SOX Mar13 Feb21 Jan09     (donk davi)VARGAS A 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  APEX PREDATOR         (friedman mit)HARKIE K 121 20.00    
5  ACTUARY (GB) Jan27         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00    
6  RUN CASPER RUN Mar05 Feb19 Jan02     (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 ★    
7  BLAME IT ON BRUTUS Feb19 Jan27       (hennig mark)SAMUEL L 123 8.00 21% 3.80    
8  BRUNATE Mar05 Jan02       (bond har)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-8   04/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN FOR TROUBLE Mar13 Feb13 Jan14     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 126 10.00    
2  A LONGLONGTIMEAGO Feb26         (asmussen st)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 10.00    
3  KID D'ORO Mar09 Feb15 Jan23     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 126 6.00 10% 9.40    
4  IT'S GRAVY         (breen j)CANCEL ERIC 126 30.00    
5  KEY POINT         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  MR. BUCKLEY Feb27         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 124 15.00    
7  MASKED MARAUDER Feb20 Jan02       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 5% 17.20    
SCR  TRUSTYOURINSTINCT Mar13 Feb20 Jan01     (contessa c)CARMOUCHE K 126 15.00    
9  FORTY COMETS Feb26 Jan14       (ryerson j)VARGAS A 126 12.00 6% 16.70    
10  BOLD JOURNEY Mar05 Feb12       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 40% 1.50    
11  TACO BEAN Mar13 Feb26 Feb05     (kelly j)LUZZI J 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.