Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - March 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUREOUTOFCONTROL Mar09 Feb12 Jan27     (sandoval michael)HO WESLEY 120 20.00    
ZORB Feb18 Jan27       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.00 46% 1.20    
GHOST ON A MISSION Mar04         (schottroffe )BATISTA A 120 15.00    
DUNLUCE CAISSLE Mar04 Feb19 Jan28     (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 30.00    
WICK Feb23 Jan19       (laguna home)RAMGEET R 122 8.00    
DYNAMIC DAY Feb11         (greaves vern)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 1.40 19% 4.30    
GOOFY BOY Mar25 Mar04 Feb11     (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 11% 7.80    
 
CT-2   03/31/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDAL GENIUS Mar10 Feb17 Feb02     (rangel ricard)MARRERO R 124 50.00    
VALUED ENERGY         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 124 8.00    
SCR  GLOBAL EMPRESS Mar10         (anderson pa)RAMGEET R 124 5.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  SWISS HORIZON Mar16 Feb17 Jan27     (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
LIL BUNNY Mar16 Jan27       (collins tim)MAYHEW W 124 4.50    
WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Feb26 Feb02       (aylor nata)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 20.00    
SCR  SHENANDOAH CAT         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 3.00 22% 3.60    
NINETY PROOF Mar10 Feb17       (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00    
REAL APPEAL (GER) Mar10 Feb17 Feb02     (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
CT-3   03/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME BUZZ Mar11 Jan14       (scott l)LIMA FELINO 113 15.00    
EXCALIBUR Mar19 Mar02 Feb11 Jan28 Jan13 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
KING NEKIA Mar11 Feb26 Feb03 Jan14   (sanderson w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 1.60 16% 5.10    
NEVER COMPROMISE Mar09 Feb05 Jan26     (reynolds j)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 5.00    
COMMAND THE CAT Mar11 Feb05 Jan14     (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
FIRE DOWN BELOW Mar11 Jan14       (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
CT-4   03/31/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOJOMAR Mar11 Feb18 Feb08 Jan19   (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00    
MARTIN MAN Mar10 Feb18 Jan27 Jan14   (sanderson w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00    
SCR  TIVANO Mar19 Feb11 Jan13     (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50    
PROTA Mar11 Feb11 Jan14     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
LECTRIC CHOKE Mar24 Mar13 Feb24 Feb13 Jan29 (d'ange)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  MOTI Mar11 Feb11 Jan13     (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
PERCHER Mar11 Mar04 Jan28     (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 124 6.00    
 
CT-5   03/31/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLUENT IN SARCASM Mar03 Feb18 Feb02 Jan15   (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
EPIC WEST Mar04 Feb10       (tsiamis art)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 8% 11.90    
NITRO TIME Feb18         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
BUCKED TOOTH Mar10 Jan12       (king yolonda)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
WIZARD OF ODDS Mar10 Feb04       (aylor l)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
FEDERALE Mar10 Jan20       (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
UNNAMED SOLDIER Feb11 Jan12       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 27% 2.60    
GRAN CITY Mar04 Feb13 Feb02 Jan15   (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00 16% 5.20    
CASH FOR THE SOUL Mar10 Feb18       (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00    
 
CT-6   03/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAXBRADENRISHI Mar23 Feb04       (sanders)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 10.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  SLEW THE TURN         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 10.00    
OFFICER APPEAL Mar18 Feb02       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
TWOBITSARIDE Feb03 Jan12       (espinosa )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
CHARITABLE VISIT Mar18 Mar02 Jan12     (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 5.00    
ELLIE'S LIL MAN Mar02 Jan27       (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 4.50    
SCR  CASTLE BOUND Mar02 Feb11 Jan12     (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
AARON'S TAP Mar02 Feb24 Jan27     (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.40 48% 1.10    
 
CT-7   03/31/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELVIRUS Mar16 Feb24 Jan30 Jan15   (joy j)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
SCR  NARMER Mar19 Mar11 Feb21 Jan27   (maldonado )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00    
IRISH MEADOW Mar10 Jan27       (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
MINISTRY OF MAGIC Mar05 Feb05       (rideout m)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
BOBBYFROMTHEPALM Mar19 Feb26 Feb11 Jan12   (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
SAVATIANO Mar11 Feb17 Jan27 Jan12   (malgarini ma)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
TAPPING THE GLASS Jan27 Jan12       (capuano gar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50 6% 15.50    
RATIFY Mar10 Feb26       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.50 9% 10.30    
SCR  JAMMIN JIMTOWN Mar09 Feb22 Jan17     (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00    
 
CT-8   03/31/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLYING SOFIA Mar11         (burton jenni)WILLIAMS DEVON 122 30.00    
LOOKIN BACK Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 Jan12   (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
REAWAKENED Mar18 Jan14       (meister willia)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 7% 14.00    
ZEALACIOUS Mar20 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11   (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
DAMISELA Mar24 Mar11 Mar02 Feb12 Jan27 (raymond donovan)LIMA FELINO 113 20.00    
STRATUSFACTION Mar11 Feb04       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 8.00    
SCR  ALYS GREAT NOTION Mar04 Feb11       (deiter kell)RAMGEET R 122 12.00 6% 17.00    
WHO'S YOUR DADDY Feb17 Jan27 Jan12     (mcclure l)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
TOY TIGER Mar11 Feb17 Jan14     (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 2.50 29% 2.50    
10  UNTAMED LADY Mar23 Mar04 Feb06     (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.