Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - March 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANKEE MERCH Mar04 Feb20 Jan29     (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  FAST LOADED Mar05 Jan21       (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.60 12% 7.40    
3  MINE TO HOLD Feb11         (rafter carl)MARRERO R 124 20.00    
4  SCOTTSDALE Feb26 Feb11 Jan26 Jan12   (velez irv)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00    
5  SUNMAN Mar11 Feb12 Jan28 Jan15   (pickett g)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
6  GETOFFMYBACK Mar01 Jan21       (gonzal)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 1.80 46% 1.20    
7  ELEVATED FOREVER Feb11         (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 119 12.00 8% 10.80    
8  QUICK ENTRY Mar11 Feb12       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 8.00 ★    
 
CT-2   03/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZZURRA Feb17 Feb06 Jan12     (farrior anthon)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  NAVY SWORD Jan28         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.50 ★    
3  LADY STORM Feb17 Jan13       (figgin)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  IMAGOODCHATTERBUG Mar10 Feb26       (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  LADY MADISON Mar10 Feb02       (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
6  SOMEDAY IS TODAY Mar04 Feb04       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
7  ALPINE MOON Feb04 Jan15       (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
 
CT-3   03/25/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE EL SID Jan13         (huet terr)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 ★    
2  CEDAR RUNS CASTLE Feb17         (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.40 16% 5.50    
3  REY O REYES Mar19 Mar02 Feb19     (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 5.00 ★    
4  DOC ELM Mar19 Mar02 Feb02     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 58% 0.70    
5  MINDYOURPSANDQS Feb25         (keller chris)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 10.00    
6  MINI BOLT Feb18 Jan13       (roman-salon ne)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   03/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVE SPLENDOR         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00    
2  FEEL THE LOVE Mar04 Feb24       (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.00 ★    
3  CEDAR'S WISH Feb24 Feb10       (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
4  HERETODAYGONMANANA Mar04         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.00 22% 3.60    
5  CEDARS BULLS EYE Mar04         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  MY JUBA Feb03         (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 118 4.50 ★    
 
CT-5   03/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG HEART Mar05 Feb18       (johnson jen)RAMGEET R 120 20.00    
2  CANDY INVASION Mar05 Feb18       (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 12.00    
3  PISTOL P Mar02 Jan15       (tobin e)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 5.00 ★    
4  OUT OF CENTS Mar02 Jan27       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00    
SCR  SHAMELESS RISK Mar11 Feb26       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 ★    
6  OPERA NITE Feb18 Jan27       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 8.00 11% 7.90    
7  HOT FUDGE SONDE Feb26 Feb05       (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 2.50 21% 3.90    
8  FANCY CONCHO         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
CT-6   03/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATE BREAKING NEWS Mar04 Feb05       (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
2  BRIAN'S AVENUE Feb11         (walter)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 5.00 11% 7.90    
3  CARTER'S RUN Mar02 Feb05       (mangual manol)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00 8% 11.20    
4  RESIDENT Feb20 Feb02       (tobin l)CECIL Y 120 12.00    
5  PECULIAR SENSATION Feb04 Jan15       (lane j)MARRERO R 120 20.00    
6  SILVER CASTLE Feb11 Jan27 Jan12     (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
7  SURFER BOY GEORGE Mar10 Feb15 Jan11     (harigeorgiou ko)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
8  DR. DEVERA'S WAY Feb03         (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 3.00    
9  AUBURN MILL Mar02 Feb02       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 23% 3.40    
 
CT-7   03/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Feb25 Feb04 Jan15     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 5.00 ★    
2  PENGUIN PARADE Feb25 Feb04       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 15.00    
3  TALKING TEDDY Mar02 Feb17       (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 116 10.00    
4  ROAD PARTY Feb25 Feb10       (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  ON A WHIM Mar04 Jan26       (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 50.00    
6  WELL EQUIPPED Mar02         (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
7  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Mar04 Jan26       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HUMPTY GRUMPTY         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 12.00    
9  MY BOY CLYDE Mar04         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 21% 3.80    
10  JACKSON MAN Mar04 Feb05 Jan14     (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00    
 
CT-8   03/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSPIROS Mar18 Mar09 Feb26 Feb17 Feb11 (simone micha)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00 9% 9.60    
2  TRUTH SERUM Mar09 Feb11 Jan27     (johnson freddi)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  COUNT THE SHELLS Jan25         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
4  GOOFY BOY Mar04 Feb11       (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
5  DAY OF HONOR Mar04 Feb19 Jan28     (pickett cryst)MARRERO R 122 12.00    
SCR  GHOST ON A MISSION Mar04         (schottroffe)RAMGEET R 120 20.00    
7  CHARLIE POTATOES Mar04 Feb11       (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.80 35% 1.90    
8  LOOKIN' SMART Mar04 Feb12       (runco )ENRIQUEZ JR 115 2.50 24% 3.10    
9  SPIRIT WOLF Feb28 Feb07 Jan04     (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
10  BUZZHOUND Mar04 Feb11 Jan28     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  YOUREOUTOFCONTROL Mar09 Feb12 Jan27     (sandoval michael)HO WESLEY 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.