Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - March 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGHER QUALITY         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.50 18% 4.40    
2  RATIONAL CHOICE Feb06         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 0.60 48% 1.10    
3  DREAMPOINT Jan06         (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  AMERICAN LAW         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 126 6.00 ★    
5  WRITEITONTHEICE Feb24 Jan16       (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  NOTHINGTOSEEHERE         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
 
AQU-2   03/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARN THAT SONG Feb19 Jan22 Jan08     (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 5.00 ★    
2  BUNTY WINDERMERE Feb12         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 ★    
3  TWIST JUST RIGHT Jan08         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 11% 8.40    
4  SUCCULENT         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 15.00    
5  SEE ME NOW         (weaver geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
6  ROYAL CURRENCY Feb05 Jan08       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
7  CARBON         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 12% 7.30    
 
AQU-3   03/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR AMERICAN STAR Feb03 Jan09       (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 10.00 9% 9.60    
2  RUNNING VIOLENCE Feb25 Feb05 Jan19 Jan01   (mc john)FUENTES ERICK 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRUEBELIEVE Feb25         (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  MACHO BOY Feb25 Feb03 Jan08     (chichakl)DAVIS A 121 6.00 10% 9.10    
5  BROCKMONINOFF Feb03 Jan09       (barrow pa)VARGAS A 123 4.00    
6  WILD UNION         (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 13% 6.60    
7  IRISH GIANT Feb25 Jan20 Jan09     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50    
 
AQU-4   03/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREAKING STONES Mar05 Feb19 Jan27     (barrera osca)CASTELLANO J 121 6.00 16% 5.10    
2  JERUSALEM GATES Feb11 Jan27       (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
3  TOUGH TICKETS         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
4  EXALTED CHARM Feb18 Jan28       (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00    
5  CHARGER Feb13 Jan22 Jan04     (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 ★    
6  QUICKFLASH Mar11 Feb06       (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00 7% 12.70    
7  D'VINICRIS Feb26 Feb06       (donk davi)VARGAS A 123 12.00    
 
AQU-5   03/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EFFICIENCY         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.80 38% 1.60    
2  JOE BRRRR         (cha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
3  RHUMJAR Feb19         (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 11% 8.00    
4  TORPEDO RUN         (kimmel john)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
SCR  HOWE STREET         (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 27% 2.60    
6  CATHEDRAL BEACH Mar05 Feb03       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 ★    
7  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD         (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   03/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Feb19 Jan22       (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 5% 18.80    
2  CHECK THAT CHIP Feb03         (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 11% 8.30    
3  MAGIC MINER         (cha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 ★    
4  LET FREEDOM SPRING Feb23 Feb03       (sacco gre)VARGAS A 120 15.00    
5  UNION LIGHTS Feb03 Jan02       (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00    
6  SHARPOON         (fisher l)DAVIS A 120 20.00 ★    
7  AWESOME AARON Feb24 Jan08       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 60% 0.70    
 
AQU-7   03/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO THIRTY FIVE Feb10 Jan14       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
2  PIONEER SPIRIT Feb04         (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  MY FIRST GRAMMY Mar04 Jan22       (barrera oscar)CARDENAS LUIS 123 15.00    
SCR  LIL COMMISSIONER Jan13         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  ITS ALL RELEVANT Feb06         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  BOLDISH Jan17         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 ★    
7  LITTLE MENACE Feb03 Jan23       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 ★    
 
AQU-8   03/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL NUMBER Feb13 Jan22       (trombetta mi)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 12% 7.60    
2  GOOD CULTURE Feb13 Jan16       (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00    
3  FULL MOON FEVER Feb13         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 ★    
4  GROUP HUG Feb26 Feb04       (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 28% 2.60    
5  AIR SHOW Feb20 Jan22       (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 123 10.00 9% 10.40    
6  DANGEROUS EDGE Feb26         (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
7  COUSTEAU Feb06         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
AQU-9   03/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREW PUB Feb13 Feb04 Jan14     (arenas marcelo)MENA E 118 30.00    
2  WATER'S EDGE Feb10 Jan14       (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 4.50 ★    
3  MY BOY TATE Feb19 Jan08       (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 22% 3.60    
4  LOBSTA Jan08         (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 9% 10.20    
5  OUR LAST BUCK Feb26         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★    
6  CHESTERTOWN Feb03 Jan08       (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
 
AQU-10   03/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATIES COURAGE         (d'alessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
2  R WORKING GIRL Feb24 Jan23       (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  BETTY'S SMILE Feb12 Jan22 Jan02     (grusmark)DAVIS A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  INFRINGEMENT Mar06 Feb11       (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 121 6.00    
5  FUDGE BROWNIE         (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIG Q Feb27 Jan06       (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 ★    
SCR  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Mar04 Feb24 Jan09 Jan02   (simmonds mich)CARDENAS LUIS 123 20.00    
8  LEFT LEANING LUCY Feb24 Feb04 Jan13     (donk davi)VARGAS A 121 5.00    
9  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Feb12 Jan13 Jan06     (kantarmaci mert)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 33% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.