Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - March 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PONY SOPRANO Feb24 Jan13       (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50 11% 8.20    
STALKING Feb25 Feb10       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
HIGH ROCK Feb24 Jan30       (caison jody)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
REGHITTO Feb24 Feb03       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.50    
MOTIVATED SPEAKER Feb03 Jan12       (covello a)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
WALK THE BANK Mar11 Feb25 Feb12 Jan20   (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
GATORATER Feb24 Jan23       (farrio)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
CT-2   03/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.8K) 3 ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOUT TO RAGE Feb12 Jan12       (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 12.00    
SCR  VIDAL Feb23 Feb12 Jan08     (ennis john)ACOSTA D 120 1.80    
DONTFORGETTOBLINK Feb26 Jan20       (salzma)ENRIQUEZ JR 111 5.00    
AGENT STONE         (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00 27% 2.70    
SNOW CANDY Feb24 Jan20       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.50    
RED MESA Feb26 Feb10 Jan23     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
DR. GRANT Mar05 Feb27 Jan30 Jan20   (garibay andr)BATISTA A 118 12.00 6% 15.10    
 
CT-3   03/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL IN JEST Jan26         (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
BET THE QUEEN Feb18 Feb11       (viands )NUNEZ ANAHI 115 2.50 18% 4.60    
LACE REVOLUTION Mar02 Feb16 Jan01     (mitchell jerred)WHITACRE B 122 15.00    
TIMEISGOLDEN Feb18 Jan14       (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 1.40 30% 2.30    
AWESOME LAWSON Mar09 Jan28       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
ALITTLESLICEOF PIE Feb25         (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
MARY BROWN Mar09         (valvo zoe)ARAUJO DENIS 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   03/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULL MEECHUM Feb18         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.00 48% 1.10    
JACKLIGHTING Feb02         (johnson all)THORPE DARIUS 120 12.00    
CATFISH Mar04         (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 5.00    
OFFICER APPEAL Feb02         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 15% 5.60    
LIL TOUGHMAN Feb02         (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00    
QUID PRO QUO Feb25 Feb05 Jan14     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00 10% 9.50    
CHARITABLE VISIT Mar02 Jan12       (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 15.00 5% 17.70    
WONDER HOW Feb05         (gazzier)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 20.00    
 
CT-5   03/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMALL PAW Feb25 Feb05       (jackson ange)MARRERO CARLOS 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
RED HOT TODDY Feb25         (jones e)HO WESLEY 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
WITH SECRET ENERGY Mar05 Feb10 Jan15     (mitchell jerred)WHITACRE B 116 1.40 41% 1.40    
PULL UP MY SOCKS Mar02 Feb03       (aylor l)LARROSA G 116 15.00    
TWILIGHT YEARS Feb10         (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 12.00    
SCR  ROCKET BALLAD Feb25 Feb05 Jan14     (myers larry)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 50.00    
WINDSOR'S TRACKER         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 4.50    
CHASE LIL ME Mar02 Feb10       (collins)NUNEZ ANAHI 109 20.00    
 
CT-6   03/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER REWARDS RVF Feb24 Feb04       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
HOW IS SHE Feb24 Feb04       (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
TENNIS TAP Mar03 Feb10 Jan13     (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  YOU'RE DOING FINE Mar04 Feb10       (covello a)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
AIM'S JUBILEE Feb24 Feb03 Jan13     (reggetts stephe)PELTROCHE F 116 2.50 31% 2.20    
YOLO CHARLOTTE Feb19 Jan27 Jan01     (lyster st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60    
LONG LEGS LOUISE Feb24 Feb04       (lewis r)LIMA FELINO 113 5.00    
EX RATED Feb26 Feb02 Jan12     (jackso)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 20.00    
PRINCESS HALO Feb24 Feb03       (craig e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
 
CT-7   03/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD KARMA (GB) Feb24 Jan28       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN null   17% 5.00    
MARIPOSA D'ORO Feb19 Jan15       (miller ari)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
MY BEST FRIEND Feb17 Jan14       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  LOOKINGFORANEWSPOT Mar04 Feb17 Jan15     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00    
CHIEFS KINGDOM Feb24 Jan28       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.00    
NICE N' BROAD Feb17 Jan28       (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
MANAROLA Feb17 Jan13       (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
COLLEGE KID Feb17 Jan13       (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   03/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE A SWING Mar03 Jan26       (atkins g)LARROSA G 122 50.00    
JUBA'S YANKEE ONE         (perry lawrenc)SIMPSON JASON 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET NATION Mar05 Feb12       (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 50.00    
NEW SOUTH Feb25 Feb04 Jan14     (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
UNSPOKEN MEMORIES Mar09 Feb21 Jan27 Jan12   (miller ariz)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  OLD FORTY FIVE Feb25 Jan17       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50    
HEROIC DEED Feb24 Feb04 Jan14     (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 4.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  VITO ANDOLINI Feb24 Feb04 Jan14     (lane j)CECIL Y 122 30.00    
MONOGRAM Feb24 Feb13       (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
10  BREWING STORM Feb24         (rawles alc)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.