Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - March 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE LIGHTLY Mar05 Feb18 Feb04     (stahlin)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 12.00    
2  OUT OF ROMANCE Mar02 Feb12       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
3  MOSLER'S TOUCH Feb17 Jan12       (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  ONE SMART COOKIE Feb25 Feb04 Jan13     (anderson pat)MARRERO CARLOS 122 2.50 12% 7.30    
5  URKILLINGMEBETH Feb25 Jan13       (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00 19% 4.40    
6  U R THE LUCKY ONE Mar02 Feb04 Jan13     (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 120 15.00 ★    
7  SUPER WILDCAT Feb25 Jan13       (carson lau)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 15% 5.80    
 
CT-2   03/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCYLOU WHO Feb11         (velez irv)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 ★    
2  CURVE APPEAL         (rofe jean)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
3  ICE CRUSHER         (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  JUJU ON DA BEAT         (pickett g)HO WESLEY 122 4.50 ★    
5  OFFICER CALLY         (atkins g)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
6  KOM HERE GIRL Feb11 Jan14       (craig lew)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  FULL MOON LOVER Feb11 Jan14       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
 
CT-3   03/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIT KAT KATIE Feb28 Jan26 Jan12     (gazzier kri)RAMGEET R 122 3.00    
2  ROCKIN ANNA ROLLIN Feb24 Feb03       (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 12.00 6% 16.40    
3  KAYLIE'S GIRL Feb24 Feb03       (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00 6% 14.90    
4  BARBSGRAY LION Feb24 Feb03 Jan14     (mangual mano)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
5  GOLD AND STRIKE Feb24 Feb03       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
6  STYLISH PAINT Feb24 Jan15       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  INCLUDE THE BEAST         (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 1.80    
8  NANCYSAIDSO Feb26 Feb03 Jan15     (scott l)ACOSTA D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  SENSE OF MUSIC Feb25 Jan27       (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 34% 1.90    
10  DIMITRI'S ROMANCE Feb25 Feb04 Jan13     (shanley timo)MORALES KELVIN 124 20.00    
 
CT-4   03/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EYE OF THE NEEDLE Jan26         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  CARSON CASTLE Feb02         (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 4.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  BELLA FEMMINA Feb19         (boykins kev)RAMGEET R 120 20.00    
4  WINDSOR'S PLAY Feb19         (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 120 3.50 ★    
5  I'M A TOTAL DIVA Jan26         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 8.00    
6  JUBA'S HOUSE Jan26         (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
7  THELADYISTRUE         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 6% 17.10    
 
CT-5   03/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATS DIAMOND BOY Mar03 Feb12 Jan15     (rangel ricard)MARRERO R 116 30.00    
2  SECRET SWIRL Feb25 Feb02       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  ROUGH START         (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
4  SARGENT KOBE         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 8.00 ★    
5  SETTLEMENT DATE         (larrosa r)LARROSA G 116 12.00    
6  NEEDNOEXPLANATION Feb02         (bowman d)LIMA FELINO 117 20.00    
7  IN HIGH GEAR         (mcdonald timothy)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 ★    
8  JOKES R FLYING Feb02         (keller christo)RIOS-CONDE A 124 10.00    
9  CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 6.00 5% 18.70    
10  SCARE DEM         (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 116 15.00    
 
CT-6   03/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HANDS DOWN Feb19 Feb04 Jan20     (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.00 6% 16.00    
2  HELLO CARLO Feb24 Feb10 Feb02     (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00    
3  TOMMY PIES Feb19 Jan28 Jan13     (davis russell)MARRERO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BUSHIDO'S WAY Mar04 Jan22 Jan08     (calhoun aman)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
SCR  EXPLOITATION         (straughn will)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
6  LAMECH         (lane j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
7  PERTH AMBOY Mar04 Feb10 Jan14     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 64% 0.60    
8  ZIP THE LIP Mar03 Feb10 Jan26     (mcclure l)LARROSA G 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  THE DON OF SQUAN Feb19 Jan28       (stahlin)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 10.00 ★    
10  LUNAR IMAGE Feb19 Jan28       (pyke joseph)MARRERO CARLOS 120 20.00    
SCR  POSTINO'S STORY Feb24 Feb04 Jan14     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50    
 
CT-7   03/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEREKA'S BLUFF Mar05 Feb10 Feb02     (johnson r)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
2  GHOSTLY SQUALL         (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 15.00    
3  SLEWING Feb17 Jan12       (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00 ★    
4  WHALE OF A TIME Feb03         (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F 116 1.80 53% 0.90    
5  GOODNESS GRACIOUS Feb11 Jan14       (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
SCR  CHARITABLE ANY         (pearson a)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
SCR  GOT ANY Feb19         (pearson mic)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
8  CHEROKEE CASTLE Feb02         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 7% 13.30    
9  DENALI D'ORO Feb02         (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 7% 14.20    
10  CASTLE LIGHTS Feb19 Feb03       (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 3.00 10% 9.10    
 
CT-8   03/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORMANDY'S EMPIRE Feb25 Jan13       (davis russell)MARRERO R 122 20.00    
2  MIKI Feb25 Feb03 Jan13     (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 10.00 7% 13.40    
3  BLUE COLLAR BOY Feb25 Feb10       (hess g)LIMA FELINO 113 12.00 18% 4.50    
4  CHAMPAGNE JAM Feb03 Jan13       (barber don)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
5  HUCKLEBERRY FRIEND Jan13         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00 7% 12.90    
6  LASHER         (scott l)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  WEAVE IT QUIXOTE Feb25 Jan13       (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  NOBLE EL SID Jan13         (huet terr)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
9  FOURDIAMONDSPLEASE Feb04         (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 3.50    
10  ROCK FILE Feb25 Feb03       (o'neill)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.