Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - March 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUCHESS OF SHIRE         (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 124 12.00    
WICKED LUNA         (smith frankl)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00    
LADY CINCO DE MAYO Feb12         (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.20 32% 2.10    
AS IT SHOULD BE Feb12         (mcentee pa)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
MY BEST GIRL         (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 117 20.00    
SUNDOG         (deiter)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 3.50 11% 7.80    
 
CT-2   03/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVILISH BEAUTY Feb12         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.20 48% 1.10    
CHIT CHAT GIRL Feb24 Jan14       (arias alfonso)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
UPSY DAISY DO Feb25 Feb03       (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
DAMISELA Mar02 Feb12 Jan27 Jan12   (raymond donovan)LIMA FELINO 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
COWGIRL NIGHT Mar02 Feb05 Jan13     (comi w)HO WESLEY 120 4.50    
DINNER AT FIVE Feb26 Feb05       (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 2.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  PRINCESS KILLMAIN Feb03         (straughn will)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00 9% 10.60    
 
CT-3   03/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE BOPS Jan28         (craig l)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 8.00    
LUNAR PRAYER Feb02 Jan12       (boykin)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 15.00    
NELLYSFORD Feb10 Jan28       (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
AT THE HALF Feb24 Jan12       (walters david)THORPE DARIUS 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
CHARM WEAVER Jan28         (brown w)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
WINDSOR'S CHAMPION Feb10         (covello and)RAMGEET R 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
VICTORY ROYALE Feb17         (lucas anth)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 12.00    
SHERWOOD LADY Feb24 Feb04 Jan12     (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 2.50 27% 2.80    
 
CT-4   03/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.7K) 3 ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASH OF DAY Feb19 Feb02 Jan12     (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 18% 4.50    
CLOUD CREEK Feb10         (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00    
WALK THE BANK Feb25 Feb12 Jan20     (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
BUCKS LODGE Feb19 Feb03 Jan13     (rofe jean)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00    
SMELLSLIKEMONEY Feb19 Feb02 Jan12     (perez e)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 3.50 38% 1.60    
SKY OF GOLD Feb10         (merrym)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80    
A THOUSAND IDOLS Feb25         (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00    
 
CT-5   03/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING NEKIA Feb26 Feb03 Jan14     (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00    
JOHNNY OBVIOUS Jan04         (barbalios va)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
AWESOME BUZZ Jan14         (scott l)LIMA FELINO 113 20.00    
HAN SENSE Feb03         (straughn will)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
COMMAND THE CAT Feb05 Jan14       (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 64% 0.60    
FIRE DOWN BELOW Jan14         (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.50 9% 9.50    
SCR  WALL Feb26 Feb12 Feb03     (pennella m)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
PROTA Feb11 Jan14       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50    
QUICK ENTRY Feb12         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 6.00    
10  MUTAKAAMIL Feb18 Feb04 Jan01     (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
 
CT-6   03/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHARITABLE SPENNY Jan27         (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 30.00    
ISHIHARA Feb17 Jan27       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
POTENTIAL GRIZZLY Feb17         (meehan)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 15.00    
FIBER AND EMILY Feb18         (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
RIVER CROSROAD RVF Jan26         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.80 37% 1.70    
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Feb17 Jan28 Jan12     (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
COWBOY AT HEART Feb11 Jan14       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
SAVATIANO Feb17 Jan27 Jan12     (malgarini m)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   03/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOM TERRIFIC Mar05 Feb19 Jan21 Jan14   (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHAMELESS RISK Feb26         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 6.00 20% 4.10    
ONE MORE FACTOR Feb25 Feb18 Jan27 Jan20   (espinosa v)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 12.00    
SAN ANTONE Feb27 Feb18 Jan28     (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60 33% 2.00    
SUNMAN Feb12 Jan28 Jan15     (pickett g)HO WESLEY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHERIFF CHIP Mar05 Feb03       (capuano dale)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 20% 4.10    
E J'S REVENGE Feb26 Feb18 Feb01 Jan19   (murtaugh andr)MARRERO R 122 30.00    
MIDNIGHT SHIFT Feb24 Feb11 Jan23     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
 
CT-8   03/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY LICIOUS Feb02         (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.00    
MOJO MATTERS Jan28 Jan14       (davis )ENRIQUEZ JR 115 5.00    
MARY BOPPINS TOO Feb10 Jan28       (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 124 20.00    
LIL MISS FIBER Feb10 Jan28       (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
MISS GRANDSTANDER         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
STRATUSFACTION Feb04         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 6.00    
SINGING HARMONY Feb10 Jan28       (knoblauch-pe)BATISTA A 124 20.00    
THISLILLIMEOFMINE Jan28 Jan12       (contrer)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 10.00    
FLYING SOFIA         (burton jenni)WILLIAMS DEVON 122 15.00    
10  TOY TIGER Feb17 Jan14       (goetz j)HO WESLEY 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  WHO'S YOUR DADDY Feb17 Jan27 Jan12     (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00    
12  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW Feb26 Feb18 Jan28 Jan12   (atkins)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
SCR  ZEALACIOUS Feb22 Feb02 Jan11     (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 118 1.60 24% 3.10    
SCR  REAWAKENED Jan14         (meister willia)ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.80 20% 3.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.