Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - March 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MR MATT Mar03 Feb10 Jan27     (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
TOWERING CHANCE Feb10         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
IN THE GOSPEL Feb05         (tobin l)LARROSA G 122 3.50    
CROSSTHEBAY         (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 11% 7.80    
EISELE Jan26         (weeks micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 4.50 15% 5.70    
MR. HOSTLER Feb02         (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
 
CT-2   03/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGADACASTLE         (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 14% 6.40    
S S ALASKAN CRUZ         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 118 10.00 6% 17.10    
MOVED BY JUBA Jan15         (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 118 1.20 26% 2.80    
EXCUSES EXCUSES Feb24 Jan28 Jan14     (pickett g)HO WESLEY 113 8.00    
ROCKING TO HOME         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 8.00    
BOUGHT BY DIVA Feb03         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
BLACK SHADOW         (viands stac)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.00    
 
CT-3   03/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETE THE BEAST Jan14         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 12% 7.50    
STRETCH THE TRUTH Jan15         (king yolond)RAMGEET R 120 20.00    
DAN THE MAN CAN Feb24         (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
CAIRO CALLING Feb12 Jan26       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 3.00    
GOLDEN KEY         (brown w)PELTROCHE F 124 1.20 61% 0.60    
UNCLE ROAMIE Feb21 Feb09 Feb04 Jan12 Jan01 (smith m)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
 
CT-4   03/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUFF N Feb26 Feb02       (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 12.00    
SUZYSELLSSEASHELLS Feb26 Feb10       (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.00 8% 11.80    
VINTAGE GIN Feb04         (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
MACKENZIE'S STAR Feb25 Feb02       (runco j)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 8.00 31% 2.20    
IMAGOODCHATTERBUG Feb26         (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00 8% 12.30    
LADY MADISON Feb02         (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50    
SHE FIGURES Feb25 Feb02       (picket)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 3.50 11% 7.80    
 
CT-5   03/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE CALIFORNIA Feb17         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 12.00    
EL MILAGRA Feb13 Feb06 Jan21     (allen ferri)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00    
SUPERSTASIA Feb17 Feb11       (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00 19% 4.30    
PLAY CHARADES Feb24 Feb11       (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
GOLDEN GLOW Feb18 Jan27       (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 36% 1.70    
OUR ELECTRA GUITAR Mar03 Jan21 Jan02     (picket)ENRIQUEZ JR 111 8.00    
RHYTHM AND POWER Feb17 Jan27       (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
DECREED         (downie lofflin)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.00    
 
CT-6   03/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKED TOOTH Jan12         (king yolond)RAMGEET R 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
FEDERALE Jan20         (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.80 14% 6.10    
WIZARD OF ODDS Feb04         (aylor l)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
CASTLE FIVE Feb18 Feb04 Jan12     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
SURFER BOY GEORGE Feb15 Jan11       (harigeorgiou ko)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
SHACKLED Feb04         (murtaugh andr)MARRERO R 120 20.00    
CASH FOR THE SOUL Feb18         (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 122 5.00 7% 13.50    
INTERESTING LEGACY Feb03 Jan02       (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 13% 6.40    
 
CT-7   03/10/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RRACE DAY WARRIOR Mar02 Feb17       (boggs joan)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00    
RATIFY Feb26         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.00 15% 5.60    
HAPPY CHARLIE Feb24 Jan26       (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 10.00    
DISTORTED SPLENDOR Feb17 Jan28 Jan12     (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 108 30.00    
IRISH MEADOW Jan27         (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.20 50% 1.00    
MARTIN MAN Feb18 Jan27 Jan14     (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.50 13% 6.50    
 
CT-8   03/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN THE NEWS Feb17 Jan27 Jan12     (campbell mar)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 15.00    
REAL APPEAL (GER) Feb17 Feb02       (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
GLOBAL EMPRESS         (anderson pat)MARRERO CARLOS 124 6.00    
STROLLING THROUGH         (larrosa r)LARROSA G 124 5.00    
OFFICER SLEW Feb10 Jan14       (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 116 12.00    
NINETY PROOF Feb17         (groves janic)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 10.00    
COOK THE BOOKS Feb02 Jan12       (dovel erin)LIMA FELINO 117 30.00    
MEDAL GENIUS Feb17 Feb02       (rangel ricard)MARRERO R 124 30.00    
TUESDAY TOO Jan27 Jan12       (kopecki e)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
10  WAGER WORTHY Feb17 Jan14       (lucas anth)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.