Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - March 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/05/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITNESS THE ENERGY Jan28         (lucas a)NUNEZ ANAHI 111 4.50    
DEREKA'S BLUFF Feb10 Feb02       (johnson r)LIMA FELINO 115 2.50 16% 5.40    
SISTER JOANN Feb19 Feb10 Feb02     (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 4.00 9% 9.80    
POWER SONDE Feb24 Feb04       (weeks micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.80 43% 1.30    
HANDSOME JOANIE Feb10         (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 10% 9.50    
MARLEESBEEBEE Feb10         (bowman elex)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00    
 
CT-2   03/05/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARK DID IT         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 5.00    
KING T'CHALLA Feb19 Feb12       (johnston r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 6% 14.60    
SWEET NATION Feb12         (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 30.00    
CHANNEL SCENT         (mckee d)MORALES KELVIN 113 8.00    
NOW I'M BROKE Feb12 Jan14       (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
HURRICANE AMIGO Feb25 Feb04       (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 3.50 33% 2.10    
TEMPESTA Feb12         (lawrence le)HO WESLEY 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
CT-3   03/05/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAMEEOMEE         (cuttino mar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 15.00 5% 18.10    
DING DING Feb19         (ennis john)ACOSTA D 118 2.50 19% 4.30    
REIGN ON AND ON Jan14         (huet te)NUNEZ ANAHI 111 12.00    
AMERICAN BOUND Jan14         (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.50    
SHINY PENNY Jan28         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 4.00    
ALWAYS MIA Feb17 Jan28 Jan02     (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.20 52% 0.90    
 
CT-4   03/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM I WILL Feb25 Jan13       (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 9% 10.00    
TAKE CHARGE TINA Jan28 Jan15       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.40 22% 3.60    
BOCA BIRDIE Feb26         (pickett g)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
CARINA         (clouston edward)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
DANCE LIGHTLY Feb18 Feb04       (stahlin)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 2.00 18% 4.60    
FONDA ROMANA         (hummer ric)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00 8% 10.90    
WHIZ PASS         (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
 
CT-5   03/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUNMAN Jan26         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 6.00 6% 15.50    
MINISTRY OF MAGIC Feb05         (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 124 2.00    
SCR  REMYS SHOWTIME Feb11         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
STRONG HEART Feb18         (johnson jennif)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
TAPIT TO THE WIRE Jan13         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 41% 1.40    
ALLEN CAN DO IT Feb18 Jan28       (casey a)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 13% 6.50    
DR. GRANT Feb27 Jan30 Jan20     (garibay andres)ACOSTA D 116 20.00    
CANDY INVASION Feb18         (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
 
CT-6   03/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MACHO Feb19 Feb04 Jan28 Jan15   (butts mike )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 8.00 6% 16.20    
DUBAI WAS LIT Jan12         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 11% 7.90    
HOUSE WRECKER Jan15         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 47% 1.10    
MARY'S JEWEL Feb19 Feb04       (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 7% 13.30    
COMPLETE SURPRISE         (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 120 2.50    
SCR  DAZZLE ME Jan28 Jan15       (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
 
CT-7   03/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUDGE CAKE Feb25 Feb12 Jan28     (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
MISS WAVE Feb19 Feb02 Jan12     (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 10.00    
PRETTY EDGY Feb08 Jan14       (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
CASTLE REVIEW         (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
MOONLIT SHADOW Jan28         (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 12% 7.00    
MENDING Feb12 Jan22       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
SPIRIT OR SPITE Feb08         (harigeorgiou ko)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
UNCAPTURED RUBY Feb12         (malgarini)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
MADY ROSE         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 18.50    
 
CT-8   03/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER BOAT Feb12         (downie lofflin)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
HOLIDAY CONNECTION Feb19 Jan23       (caison jody)RAMGEET R 118 15.00    
TOTALLY PERFECT Jan07         (aguirre ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.50    
TRAVEL GIRL Jan02         (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
RHYTHM TREE Feb12 Jan28       (cornwell jam)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
COLETTE'S SPIRIT Feb12 Jan12       (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00 7% 12.90    
CALIFORNIA SUZY Feb17         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
CHRISTINE'S COSMO Feb17 Jan27 Jan14     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
LOOKIN BACK Feb12 Jan27 Jan12     (butts m)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 12.00 17% 4.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.