Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - March 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMEDAY IS TODAY Feb04         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 37% 1.70    
CEDARS BULLS EYE         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 17% 5.10    
YOU'RE DOING FINE Feb10         (covello andre)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
FEEL THE LOVE Feb24         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 8.00    
HERETODAYGONMANANA         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 5.00 18% 4.40    
ARROWWOOD         (runco )ENRIQUEZ JR 113 6.00    
 
CT-2   03/04/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKINGFORANEWSPOT Feb17 Jan15       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 37% 1.70    
UNDENIABLE TOUCH Jan12         (covello andrea )PELTROCHE F 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
MS HEADLEY Feb17 Jan15 Jan02     (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.60    
SCR  SENSE OF MUSIC Feb25 Jan27       (picket)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 12.00    
TRUE HEIRESS Jan27         (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 6.00    
DARK TRICKS Feb03 Jan13       (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 10% 9.00    
EXACT Feb04         (lauro c)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
CT-3   03/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOSEF IS REAL Feb11 Jan28       (figgins l)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
GHOST ON A MISSION         (schottroffe)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
BUZZHOUND Feb11 Jan28       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
LOOKIN' SMART Feb12         (runco )ENRIQUEZ JR 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
HIGH PRINT Feb12         (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
DAY OF HONOR Feb19 Jan28       (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 5.00    
GOOFY BOY Feb11         (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
DUNLUCE CAISSLE Feb19 Jan28       (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00    
KNOKKE BY THE SEA Feb12         (boyce brian)RAMGEET R 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  CHARLIE POTATOES Feb11         (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  LITTLE BAY Feb26 Feb10 Jan02     (vick timoth)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 12.00    
 
CT-4   03/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WINKING AT THEDUDE Feb14 Jan25 Jan05     (clouston edward)HO WESLEY 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
SKY GAZER R V F Feb11         (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 20.00    
FRANKEE MERCH Feb20 Jan29       (dove k)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 6.00    
LATE BREAKING NEWS Feb05         (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 8.00 7% 13.80    
WOODHAVEN KID Feb11         (clouston edward)PELTROCHE F 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
ENVISION SUCCESS         (hummer rich)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 15.00    
EPIC WEST Feb10         (tsiamis art)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
HE'S NOT CURLY Feb12 Jan27       (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
GRAN CITY Feb13 Feb02 Jan15     (tomczak ma)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
10  BROTHER SKYE Feb11         (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00    
 
CT-5   03/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE IRON BANK         (shanley timothy)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
AUTS REVOLUTION         (brown w)MONTANO JOSE 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR Feb03         (hurley jack)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 5.00 13% 6.50    
CATCH MY CABOOSE Feb12         (weeks mich)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 11% 8.40    
HARD BEING ME Feb24 Feb12       (tobin l)LARROSA G 120 30.00    
SCR  FRATHOUSE MUSIC Feb12         (boggs joan)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 15.00    
SHAMCAT Feb10         (lane j)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00    
FIND YOUR BOAZ Feb15 Feb06       (demario charles )ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
LOAN ME YOUR EAR Feb21 Feb01 Jan12     (jones e)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
10  JAYJAYDEE Jan28         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
11  KATHERN'S JOY Feb20 Jan26 Jan07     (velez irvi)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00    
 
CT-6   03/04/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET SOUND Feb11         (mangual mano)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 10.00    
EL ZOPILOTE Feb11         (brown w)HO WESLEY 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
MISCHIEVOUS JESSE Feb11         (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 6.00    
BELMULLET Feb11         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 8.00 7% 14.00    
BAYTOWN JAKESTER Feb12         (viands )NUNEZ ANAHI 111 12.00    
TRUFFLES AND GOLD Feb11         (atkins g)LARROSA G 124 20.00    
CHASING ANNA Feb11         (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
PERTH AMBOY Feb10 Jan14       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 10% 8.80    
STRONG SAFETY Feb10         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
10  BUSHIDO'S WAY Jan22 Jan08       (calhoun aman)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
SCR  UOTTALIKEIT Feb12 Jan26       (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.50    
 
CT-7   03/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKSON MAN Feb05 Jan14       (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 124 6.00 5% 18.50    
ROLL DEM BONES Feb17 Jan26       (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 109 6.00    
C R'S MANDATE Feb17         (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
A FAREWELL YODEL Jan26 Jan14       (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
ON A WHIM Jan26         (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Jan26         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00    
MY BOY CLYDE         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 21% 3.80    
SPANGLISH         (meehan)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 4.50    
CATFISH         (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   03/04/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIRY FOLLY         (mckee d)MORALES KELVIN 118 15.00 8% 11.90    
UNTAMED LADY Feb06         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
GRAM'S GAL Feb11         (pennella m)PELTROCHE F 124 2.50 12% 7.30    
SPEEDING TICKET Feb17         (viands )NUNEZ ANAHI 115 10.00    
SIGNS OF JEALOUSY Feb11         (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 124 4.50 23% 3.40    
SISTER JUNE Feb25         (feliciano )ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 8.00    
NOBODYS BABY         (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  BADS LIL LADY Feb11         (davis russell)MARRERO R 122 20.00    
RED LIL SHIPMENT Feb11         (collins tim)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
10  TAPPING SOUTH Feb04         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.