Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Saturday - February 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   02/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALAXINA Jan16         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 0.50 48% 1.10    
1A  COSTANTI Jan16         (bond har)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 0.50    
BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Feb12 Jan06       (gro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
TONIGHT WE LOVE Feb05 Jan06       (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 25% 3.10    
LINARITE Jan23         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 6.00    
FROSTY INVASION Jan08         (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
EMPIRE LILY         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
 
AQU-2   02/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S MANDATORY Jan20         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 17% 4.90    
JACOBA Feb04 Jan08       (ficarell)DAVIS A 123 20.00    
SPECTATORLESS         (pringle )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00    
FOREVER WICKED Jan08         (johnson clev)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
PROFUSION         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
RESPECT FOR ALL Jan08         (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 120 30.00    
SCOTTY Jan08         (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
LOKOYA ROAD Jan08         (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 8% 11.70    
KID CHOCOLATE Feb04 Jan08       (sci)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00    
 
AQU-3   02/26/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG BROWN SHOES Feb13 Jan14       (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
A LONGLONGTIMEAGO         (asmussen st)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
TACO BEAN Feb05         (kelly j)LUZZI J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
THE COBBLER Jan14         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 35% 1.80    
FORTY COMETS Jan14         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 20% 3.90    
JOHNNY FONTAINE Feb05         (barrow pa)VARGAS A 123 6.00    
REGGAE MUSIC MAN Feb13 Jan14       (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50    
 
AQU-4   02/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALS ALLY Feb04 Jan14       (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 6% 14.60    
BELLS ON HER TOES Feb04         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 35% 1.80    
MY FIRST LOVE Feb01         (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 120 8.00    
FALSE HOPE Jan08         (schettino domin)MENA E 120 12.00    
ALARRA Feb04         (clarke dylan)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
KAY TEE GAL Jan01         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 5% 18.50    
DARE TO BE GREAT Feb11         (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 5.00    
ICE KREEM SUNDAE         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00 32% 2.10    
KOKUTAI Feb11 Jan23       (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
 
AQU-5   02/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKEOVER KASH         (pringle edmund)FRET STEVEN 120 50.00    
STRAPPED         (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
KNIGHT LEGEND         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
ACTUALIZE Feb03         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
JESTER'S SONG Jan13         (bond harold )HARKIE K 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
HIGHLY RESPECTED         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
FLUID SITUATION         (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00    
FLOWING RIVER         (dutrow anth)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
MYSTIC QUEST         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-6   02/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLU GROTTO Feb04 Jan13       (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 12% 7.40    
PERCEIVED Feb04         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.50 12% 7.40    
ROCCO STRONG Feb06 Jan16       (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
ROCK SUGAR Jan28         (morey william )LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
PIER FORTY Feb04 Jan13       (vazquez juan )SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00    
GROUP HUG Feb04         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
EXTREME Feb04 Jan08       (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
BLAKE B. Feb06         (romero jesus)MENA E 123 30.00    
DANGEROUS EDGE         (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 7% 14.00    
 
AQU-7   02/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISK TAKING         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.00    
1A  SOUND MONEY Jan08         (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 15% 5.80    
ZOOMER Jan23         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 63% 0.60    
DOUBLEOSEVEN Jan29         (o'dwyer jeremia)MENA E 120 30.00    
TOO BOSS Jan17         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
CROATIAN Feb04         (dutrow anthony)PENNINGTON F 120 12.00    
SUPER JOHN Jan20         (vazquez juan )SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00    
SCR  AMUNDSON         (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 15.00    
DANNY CALIFORNIA         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
MO GOTCHA Jan14         (gyarmati lea)HARKIE K 118 50.00    
SCR  SECRET RULES Jan16         (mott will)VARGAS A 118 10.00    
11  CAPTAIN BOMBASTIC         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
12  THE SOUND Jan13         (jerkens j)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00    
 
AQU-8   02/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN LIGHT GO Jan13         (jerkens a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.20 46% 1.20    
WAXMAN Jan09         (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
SCR  HANALEI'S HOUDINI Jan29 Jan13       (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 20% 4.00    
DOUBLY BLESSED         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
MILTON THE MONSTER Jan17         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 8.00    
PIRATE'S PUNCH Jan22         (morey wil)VARGAS A 118 8.00 7% 13.10    
OUR LAST BUCK         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
 
AQU-9   02/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ME 'N SAP         (donk david)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
D'VINICRIS Feb06         (donk davi)VARGAS A 123 6.00    
FOREST SPIRIT Feb05 Jan02       (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
SCR  CAJUN COMMANDER Jan21         (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 5.00    
MAGNIFICENT CHROME Feb05         (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00    
VICTORY BUILT Feb03 Jan18 Jan09     (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50    
HANGAR ONE Feb05 Jan02       (ficarell)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
HONOR AMONG MEN         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  SWINTON         (avila c)MENA E 123 5.00 51% 1.00    
10  MISTER WINSTON Feb03 Jan16       (arr)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.