Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - February 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD BEING ME Feb12         (tobin l)LARROSA G 124 10.00    
CHESTNUT LIME Feb10         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.50 8% 11.30    
NAUTICAL WARRIOR Jan26         (runco c)CULLUM W 124 1.60    
SONDE ST BLUES Jan27         (farrio)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 2.50 49% 1.10    
FEISTY AND SASSY         (casey j)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 5.00 9% 9.90    
NAZCA MYSTERY Feb03 Jan12       (gazzier kr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 8.00    
 
CT-2   02/24/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3 F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCUSES EXCUSES Jan28 Jan14       (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
LOVETHEONEYOUGOT Jan28 Jan14       (casey a)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
HAZY WINTER Jan28         (casey james)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50    
CHICA PICANTE Feb10 Jan14       (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
LIME AFTER LIME         (contrer)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 6.00 41% 1.40    
IHEARTRAINACOMN Jan28 Jan13       (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Jan28         (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50    
HOOK THE CHAIN Jan28 Jan13       (casey a)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 11% 7.70    
 
CT-3   02/24/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET CASTLE Jan12         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 6.00    
COUNTRY MAGIC Jan15         (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOOD KARMA (GB) Jan28         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN null   22% 3.60    
CHIEFS KINGDOM Jan28         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.50    
COACH RUBE Feb17 Jan28 Jan13     (haynes ernest)SIMPSON JASON 124 1.80 46% 1.20    
SHERWOOD LADY Feb04 Jan12       (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 4.50    
AT THE HALF Jan12         (walters david)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
 
CT-4   02/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREWING STORM         (rawles alc)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50    
POSTINO'S STORY Feb04 Jan14       (brown w)MONTANO JOSE 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
PLAY CHARADES Feb11         (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 110 30.00    
VITO ANDOLINI Feb04 Jan14       (lane j)MARRERO R 122 30.00    
DON'T THROW STONES Feb04         (deiter)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
HEROIC DEED Feb04 Jan14       (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
CIOPPINO Feb04         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00    
FOR ARTS SAKE Feb04 Jan14       (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   02/24/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAN THE MAN CAN         (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
BE BE BOP Jan27         (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.20    
MAJESTIC SEAS Feb11         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 5.00 5% 19.00    
MORGAN COUNTY         (greaves vernon)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
SCR  NOT A TRICK         (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
BLACK CANDY Feb03 Jan15       (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
AARON'S TAP Jan27         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 49% 1.00    
 
CT-6   02/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.7K) 3 ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH ROCK Jan30         (caison l)LIMA FELINO 113 10.00    
PONY SOPRANO Jan13         (falcone ro)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00    
MADE TO BE LUCKY Feb13 Jan23 Jan12     (smith )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
GATORATER Jan23         (farrio)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  QUARANTINE Feb03         (mcentee paul)WHITACRE B 122 15.00    
SNOW CANDY Jan20         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 33% 2.00    
MONOGRAM Feb13         (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 13% 6.40    
REGHITTO Feb03         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 15.00    
 
CT-7   02/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITIZEN'S FIRE Feb12         (caison l)PELTROCHE F 116 50.00    
SUTTON VALLEY Jan01         (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.80    
HELLO CARLO Feb10 Feb02       (viands r)WHITACRE B 120 30.00    
HAPPY CHARLIE Jan26         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
ELVIRUS Jan30 Jan15       (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
LIKE SEGAL Jan14         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
MIDNIGHT SHIFT Feb11 Jan23       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 20% 4.10    
 
CT-8   02/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER SONDE Feb04         (weeks mic)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 15.00    
HOW IS SHE Feb04         (casey james)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 8.00    
PRINCESS HALO Feb03         (craig e)PELTROCHE F 116 15.00    
CEDAR'S WISH Feb10         (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
FEEL THE LOVE         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
AIM'S JUBILEE Feb03 Jan13       (reggetts step)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 16% 5.30    
IN TO THE NIGHT Feb03         (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 20.00    
SHOOFLY PIE Jan26         (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 124 20.00    
LONG LEGS LOUISE Feb04         (lewis r)LIMA FELINO 113 10.00    
10  RIVER REWARDS RVF Feb04         (brown w)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
CT-9   02/24/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAYLIE'S GIRL Feb03         (sandova)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHIT CHAT GIRL Jan14         (arias alfonso)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
STYLISH PAINT Jan15         (brown w)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
SCR  MAKE IT A DOUBLE Feb03 Jan15       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 8.00    
CAPTAIN SAM         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 39% 1.50    
BARBSGRAY LION Feb03 Jan14       (mangual mano)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
SCARLET TANAGER Feb04 Jan14       (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 6% 15.50    
GOLD AND STRIKE Feb03         (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
ROCKIN ANNA ROLLIN Feb03         (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.