Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Sunday - February 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   02/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOSING DEALS Jan23         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  CARBON         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.60 34% 1.90    
EASY PLAY Jan22 Jan08       (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 8% 11.30    
BOCA KITTEN Jan28         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 6.00 14% 6.30    
OVER THE SAND Jan16         (hennig m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00    
LONDON PEARL Feb11 Jan28       (persaud randi)FRET STEVEN 120 30.00    
 
AQU-2   02/20/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YANKEE EMPIRE Feb11         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
ROAD TO SUCCESS Jan05         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 0.20 74% 0.30    
MR. FIDGET Feb11 Jan27       (henry ne)DAVIS A 120 4.00    
OCEAN DEEP Feb03         (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 20.00    
COACH BAHE Feb11 Jan27 Jan09     (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00    
BELLAMY DOLCE Jan27         (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 120 20.00    
 
AQU-3   02/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD TIP Jan27         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
KING OF HOLLYWOOD Jan27 Jan16       (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 56% 0.80    
SCR  EMPIRE RIDGE Jan19         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 9% 10.20    
PRINCIPALITY Jan13         (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00    
IRIE SPICE Feb05 Jan27 Jan16     (persaud randi)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 20.00    
SCR  SOMETHING MAJESTIC Feb10         (reynolds)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
RVINDICATED Jan13         (kei)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00 11% 8.10    
 
AQU-4   02/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BINKSTER Feb06 Jan27 Jan01     (miranda luis)MORRISON AILSA 115 10.00 12% 7.20    
MR. PETE Jan31         (taylor joseph)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60    
RAGTIME BLUES Feb01 Jan22       (cruz lenin)RANGEL JOEZER 123 3.50 39% 1.60    
MANIFEST DESTINY Jan27         (younghans wi)HARKIE K 123 6.00    
TALE OF MIST Feb10 Jan28 Jan01     (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 4.00    
KAREN'S COVE Jan01         (goberdhan chand)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
JOYCEE HAZ PIZZAZ Jan28         (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
 
AQU-5   02/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BINGO JOHN Feb06 Jan22       (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 20.00 5% 18.50    
EVENT PARTY Jan27 Jan17       (allard e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 7% 12.90    
MANDATORY PAYOUT Feb06 Jan20       (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 9% 10.30    
CONFECTIONER Feb04 Jan20 Jan08     (mc john)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 10.00    
FAMISHED Feb13 Feb03 Jan20     (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.60 16% 5.20    
MUCHO SUNSHINE Jan27         (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
CORKMAN Feb11         (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 41% 1.40    
 
AQU-6   02/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T LOVES A FIGHT Jan01         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 118 4.50 35% 1.80    
WRITER'S REGRET Jan27         (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 10.00    
OUR MAN MIKE Jan14         (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
SCR  DOUBLE SHOT Feb13         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
BUSTIN TIMBERLAKE         (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.80 16% 5.30    
DURKIN'S CALL Jan01         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
DADDY KNOWS Feb11         (englehart je)HERNANDEZ ANDY 111 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-7   02/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOLAMO Feb10 Jan14       (jones e)GOMEZ O 123 12.00 7% 13.20    
PRAIRIE FIRE Feb06 Jan08       (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.80 30% 2.30    
VIRADIA Feb10         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00    
DIVA BANKER Jan02         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 120 4.00    
SCR  BARBARA'S BANK         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00 19% 4.40    
GRINGOTTS Jan27 Jan13       (goberdhan ch)HARKIE K 120 8.00 13% 7.00    
ANCIENT BROWN Jan23 Jan01       (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
 
AQU-8   02/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUSTIN SHOUT Jan01         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 6.00 12% 7.60    
TAPIZEARANCE Feb05 Jan14       (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00    
WHISTLING BIRDS         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 18% 4.50    
MORE GRAYTFUL Jan01         (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 42% 1.40    
SEVEN LILIES Jan14         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00    
ANYTHING PAZIBLE Feb10 Jan28 Jan14     (jones eduard)HARKIE K 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
WINNERS LAUGH         (de horacio)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
 
AQU-9   02/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Feb09 Jan08       (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 123 20.00    
TEXAS BASIN         (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 9% 9.60    
AIR SHOW Jan22         (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50    
RUDY ROD Jan22         (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 22% 3.50    
TRASH TALKER Jan08         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50    
SUBSIDIZE Jan08         (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
MASKED MARAUDER Jan02         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 6% 16.80    
COLORMEPAZZI Jan22 Jan08       (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.