Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Friday - January 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.02K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSMIC TRIPSTER Jan14         (crystal dusti)SCRIVER L 122 20.00    
TICK TOCK Jan20         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00    
SHARMEL Jan05         (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 5.00    
CARRIE'S SUCCESS         (crotts jim)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
MY EXPRESSION         (fulmer drew)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00    
BLACKBERRY LISA         (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 54% 0.80    
A DIME FOR ME         (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
 
TUP-4   01/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FISHIN THE RIVER Jan10         (kenney ryan)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00    
BLUES RAPPER Jan20 Jan05       (trejo amalio )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
SHOTGUN RIDER Jan17 Jan03       (bullene micha)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 39% 1.60    
LUCKY CHANCE Jan20 Jan11       (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 10.00 10% 8.90    
BODEGA         (mcfarlane d)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
OFF THE BOOKS Jan10         (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 5.00    
CAPTAIN DASHI         (rarick wade)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 11% 7.80    
MY PAL Jan17         (martinez a)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00    
 
TUP-5   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27.3K) 3 ALL PT- 4:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXECUTIVE ACTION         (lucarelli fr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 10.00    
ABRAAJ MIRAGE Jan06         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 12.00    
HEY NOW Jan17         (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
SCR  MY NOAH         (schnell don)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 17% 4.70    
DRINKING AGAIN         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 4.50    
THE MET Jan06         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 9% 9.60    
NOT THAT SERIOUS Jan06         (evan)DA FAUSTO 121 3.00    
MONGOLIAN MEMORY Jan06         (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.00 50% 1.00    
 
TUP-6   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE ALL AGREE         (rollins sco)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
HEART ON THE RUN Jan10         (rarick wade)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50    
BOOZE RUNNER         (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50    
FIRST PROMISE Jan10         (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
MISS MALIA         (george cynthia)LINDSAY CHAD 122 2.50 12% 7.00    
OUTLAW DAISY Jan03         (o'brien debbi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 7% 13.40    
IMA TROUBLE MAKER Jan10         (eikleberry k)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 6% 15.90    
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Jan13         (rollins scott)DEONAUTH P 122 20.00    
 
TUP-7   01/28/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINTXOS Jan05         (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.00 6% 16.70    
MY INDY Jan12         (vanwinkle dav)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50    
COURAGEOUS Jan13         (hop mike)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00    
PAYNTER'S BOY         (o'brien debbie)GARCIA F 122 8.00    
REGAL MAX Jan05         (hedge rick)CARTER KYLE 122 15.00    
HEIR (FR) Jan12         (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
SCR  VICENTE'S SHADOW Jan19         (stevens sat)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00    
CERNAN         (matt l)CORBETT W 122 6.00 13% 6.90    
K P ALL SYSTEMS GO Jan14         (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
SCR  SHINNY Jan05         (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
 
TUP-8   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 3 C/G PT- 5:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAZEN NOW         (eikleberry )VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
RAVINA LANE         (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
PHOENICIAN GHOST         (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 6.00    
DAREABIGDREAM Jan12         (chambers mike)MAWING A 122 10.00    
HANNIGAN         (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 122 20.00    
GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Jan13         (guerra jacque)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
SCR  JOKERIN         (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00    
SILVERBULLITBADGER Jan13         (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
SCR  EZ GUESS         (dennison da)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 15.00    
10  BANGO FOR BUCKS         (breashear bill)CORBETT W 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.