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Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

The Longshot Specialist!
Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
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Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 16, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-3   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(4/1/2)-(5/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-4   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(5/3/1)-(6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-5   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(6/3)-(4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-6   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LAD-7   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards

IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/16/2026 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  U DO         (nelson r)PENA JONUELLE 113 10.00 19% 4.30    
2  JAWDROPPER Apr16 Apr03 Mar15 Feb21 Dec20 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 118 1.00 35% 1.80    
3  TALK May07 Apr24 Apr15 May09 Apr25 (dussette alv)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
4  TORREY PINE Mar06 Feb13 Jan16 Dec26   (hargrave ke)SANTIAGO EDWARD 123 2.50    
5  ANDALE MUCHACHA May04 Apr03 Feb11 Jan08 Dec22 (richey t)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 4.00    
6  B'S LUCK Mar19 Feb08 Dec27     (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   05/16/2026 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE LADY BULLS EYE Dec11 Nov19 Sep16 Aug20 Jul30 (nelson eric)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 20.00    
2  LAST PICK Apr25 Mar15 Feb13 Jan09 Nov07 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.50    
SCR  RAINY DAY May04 Mar01 Jan29 Jan04 Dec13 (hatcher nat)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 20.00    
4  PUSHING THROUGH May02 Feb20 Feb07 Dec19 Nov13 (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 1.50 35% 1.90    
5  SURELY THE ONE Apr25 Mar06 Feb15 Sep22 Sep01 (wilson melton)WILLIAMS REY 125 1.60 27% 2.70    
6  SHELBI'S STAR May04 Jan29 Jan03 Dec22 Jun29 (nelson r)PENA JONUELLE 117 8.00 11% 7.80    
 
LAD-3   05/16/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANDY DAYTONA May04 Oct10 Sep16 Aug26 Jul30 (melancon donal)WILLIAMS REY 122 3.00    
2  LITTLE WARRIOR May04 Mar12 Feb21 Feb07 Jan15 (gomez david)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 8.00    
3  CHOU CHOU D'AVEN (FR) Oct24 Sep23 Sep01 Jul30 Jul04 (gibson j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  GREAT BARRIER Apr19 Apr02 Mar08 Feb16 Aug22 (hewitt mich)SANTIAGO EDWARD 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  BAYOU BOY Apr18 Mar21 Jan16 Aug27 Jul29 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 123 6.00    
6  PENEI Feb19 Jan24 Jan02 Nov21 Nov06 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 6.00 15% 5.90    
 
LAD-4   05/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONE MYSTIC         (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by LONE SAILOR out of MYSTIC DREAMER by FED BIZ)
2  LONGSHOT BABY May05 Jan19 Nov27     (burkes bobby)WILLIAMS REY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GO DEEP out of SURE BABY by ALTERNATION)
3  BROWN'S HARMONY Mar20         (suarez aubri)MURRAY M 118 3.50    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of DARK WOMAN by PRIVATE THOUGHTS)
4  HAVEMERCIONUS Feb07         (gibson j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 1.20 54% 0.80    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of GOOD HUMAN BEAN by LANGFUHR)
5  MEDIATOR Aug06         (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 118 6.00    
  (by THEATRICAL (IRE) out of RIVER CITY MOON by RIVERMAN)
6  GAB Feb18         (beavin judy)EDISON JOCELYN 113 8.00    
  (by INTERACTIF out of WELL SPOKEN by DUE DATE)
 
LAD-5   05/16/2026 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT RONIN         (antwine mich)MURRAY M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of LADY CITADEL by HONOR CODE)
2  ARCO THUNDER May01 Apr18 Apr04 Mar20 Mar07 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.50    
  (by FIVE IRON out of LAVEN'S LIL DAHL by DON'T GET MAD)
3  MISSING BRIAN May02 Apr10 Feb20 Dec30 Nov26 (noel dane)WILLIAMS REY 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SZOLNOK by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  DULCE LOREFICHE May05 Mar19 Feb22 Feb07 Jan23 (lorefice ma)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 119 6.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of DULCE PUELLA by SUPER SAVER)
5  HIDALGO May03 Apr16 Mar01     (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by BENNY THE BULL out of DEVELOPING STORY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
6  ALAJUELA Apr11 Feb07       (lara jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 10.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SPEAK BRILEY by CLASSIC ALLIANCE)
 
LAD-6   05/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTILLE Jan30 Oct23 Sep02 Jul23 Jun24 (nelson r)PENA JONUELLE 118 20.00    
2  RUNNIN MUNNIN Mar01 Jan16 Dec20 Nov21 Oct22 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 2.00 ★    
3  GUCCI BOY May02 Apr24 Feb21 Jan21 Jan02 (ramaekers eric)WILLIAMS REY 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  KNICKS STORY Apr27 Apr07 Mar23 Mar09 Feb12 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 123 3.50    
5  VAN GINKEL Nov20 Sep20 Aug24 Jul23 Jul03 (scherer )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
6  FIT TO FLY Feb26 Feb01 Nov20 Sep16 Aug29 (suarez aubr)SANTIAGO EDWARD 123 1.60 76% 0.30    
 
LAD-7   05/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST DA VINCI May04 Feb19 Jan08 Dec23 Nov07 (turner patti)PENA JONUELLE 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  EASTSIDE COOL Apr18 Apr04 Feb21 Feb06 Jan01 (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.00    
3  AFFECTIONTO AUTISM Nov21 Aug22 Jul11 Jun13 May09 (wong jonath)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 15.00    
4  MARKS PROMISE May02 Apr22 Mar15 Feb18 Jan07 (martinez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 3.00 58% 0.70    
5  PLAYING HARDBALL Jul13 Jun13 May16 Apr27 Mar09 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
SCR  DOUBLE TRAP Sep10 Aug07 Jul02 Jun12 Feb15 (ramirez ros)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 30.00    
7  TRESILLIAN Feb16 Jan16 Dec20 Nov28 Oct30 (lorefice matt)WILLIAMS REY 122 5.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  GOLDEN BANDIT Mar15 Feb21 Jan23 Jan02 Dec06 (diodoro robe)MURRAY M 122 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.