Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - March 01, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (1/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/6)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/6)-(1/4/3)-(5/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(5/1/3)-(4/8/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/8/7/1)-(11/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/1)-(4/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/1)-(4/8/7/1)-(4/8/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/1)-(11/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/1)-(11/3/4)-(7/2/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (11/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/3/4)-(11/3/4/7/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/3/4)-(11/3/4/7/13)-(11/3/4/7/13) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (11/3/4)-(7/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/3/4)-(7/2/1/6)-(2/4/7/9/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/6)-(2/4/7/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/6)-(2/4/7/9/10)-(5/7/9/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/4/7/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/9/10)-(2/4/7/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/9/10)-(2/4/7/9/10)-(2/4/7/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/7/9/10)-(5/7/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/9/10)-(5/7/9/8)-(1/8/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/7/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/8)-(5/7/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/8)-(5/7/9/8)-(5/7/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/9/8)-(1/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/4/2)-(1/8/5/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   03/01/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY COME EASY GO Jan16 Jan07 Dec03 Apr05 Jan11 (richards)RODRIGUEZ O 120 1.60 54% 0.80    
THELASTBULLETSMINE Feb04 Jan03 Dec13 Oct05 Jul27 (vinson g)FERRER C 118 3.50 6% 16.20    
FIELDS OF GREEN Feb14 Dec26 Dec12 Oct20 Sep30 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 5.00    
EROS'S GIRL Feb12 Jul22 Jun25 May19 May05 (ferraro a)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 6.00    
DANCING RAQUEL Feb04 Jan16 Dec12 Sep13 Aug30 (becker scott)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00    
HEAVENLY DANCER (BRZ) Jan28 Dec12 Dec05 Aug24 Aug03 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS INTERPATATION Feb08 Jan02 Dec13 Jun22 Apr19 (hardesty)MARTINEZ A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   03/01/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($55.5K) 3 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIOS TOOTSIE Jan10         (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 120 1.80 41% 1.40    
FLOWKO Feb13 Jan18 Dec20 Dec06 Oct18 (miller c)FERRER C 118 6.00    
BAKERS ISLAND Jan30         (stewart chad)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
QUESTNBLED'CISIONS Feb20 Jan28 Jan07 Nov19 Oct12 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
TURKISH PISTACHIO Jan29 Jan04 Dec07 Nov16 Oct23 (david a)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00    
PERMIAN BASIN Feb13 Dec31 Dec06 Oct24   (stewart j)CASTANON L 118 5.00    
 
TAM-3   03/01/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALISUE Feb05 Dec20 Dec03 Oct25 Aug02 (campbell)RODRIGUEZ O 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
SLEW CROWN Feb18 Jan30 Nov22 Sep17 Aug27 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 123 10.00    
LADYS CHANT Feb21 Jul03 Jun17 May04 Apr16 (bowersock mari)CASTANON L 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
ONCE AN EAGLE Feb08 Jan28 Jan07 Dec05 Oct03 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 116 20.00    
VIKING QUEEN Jan18 Dec26 Nov26 Oct18 Sep25 (cahill steven )MARIN SAMUEL 123 1.40 45% 1.20    
WOODS HOLE Feb21 Feb08 Jan02 Dec05 Oct01 (dimmett james)HESS SARA 123 12.00    
THAT'S MY CAT Feb08 Dec27 Apr26 Mar21 Mar07 (hardesty lesliel)FERRER C 123 6.00    
KIKILOVE Jan02 Dec19 Nov30 Oct18 Oct11 (birdwell ten)MENESES MARCOS 123 4.50    
 
TAM-4   03/01/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GARY'S FLYING LION Feb10 Dec23 Dec08 Nov17 Oct01 (ellebracht g)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
HE'S SIDE EYED May03 Apr23 Mar12 Feb23 Jan29 (torres pab)MEJIAS A 111 15.00    
LOYAL CLEMENT Jan28 Jan11 Dec26 Oct03 Sep11 (amaya gu)MARTINEZ A 118 15.00    
WAJDA Dec10 Nov13 Apr23 Feb15 Jan05 (rice kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
PROFITABILITY Feb11 Jan11 Dec26 Dec12 Nov24 (ferraro a)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 6.00    
BOURBON STREET BOY Feb13 Jan17 Nov19 Nov02 Aug31 (campbell joel)HO WESLEY 118 10.00    
KOCTEL WAR Feb11 Jan24 Jul26 Jun20 Mar30 (sano antonio)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 12% 7.60    
CYBERBEAST Feb05 Jan14 Dec31 Nov28 Oct20 (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
TAM-5   03/01/2026 5610ft TURF RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 F PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAND ON THE RUN Dec27 Nov22 Oct12     (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 2.00    
LADY HATHOR         (amaya gust)MEJIAS A 112 20.00    
BEAUTIFUL EMMA Feb12 Feb01 Dec10 Nov22 Oct17 (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
LA RODADA Feb01 Jan21 Dec11 Oct25 Oct03 (dominguez huber)LEON SONNY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHEFETA Feb01         (stewart j)CASTANON L 119 10.00    
CRESCENT RISING Feb12 Jan21 Jan02 Nov06   (downing w)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 8.00    
SHE'S LIT Feb12 Nov23 Sep12     (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
SMITTENWITHTROUBLE Feb12         (granitz antho)ROJAS MARTINA 119 30.00    
D ORBIE'S GIRL Feb08 Jan21 Jan02 Dec13 Nov29 (jones doug)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00    
10  FIRST HATHOR Feb08 Jan18       (o'connell k)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00    
11  NIECEY Jan31 Jan09 Dec06 Oct10 Sep05 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
12  MISTRIAL WIND Jan30 Dec24 Nov19 Aug31 Aug17 (arriagada ju)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 6.00    
13  SHIP OF FOOLS Jan30 Jan14 Dec10 Oct15 Sep14 (huston k)FERRER C 119 6.00    
 
TAM-6   03/01/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3 F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASH THE CHECK Dec13 Sep27 Aug29     (wilson tony)HO WESLEY 118 10.00 6% 16.50    
COQUETA BLUE Feb20 Jan23 Dec06 Nov28 Oct24 (sano antonio)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
MY LIL FLIRT Jan21 Nov30 Nov07 Sep14   (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
RULES FOR THREE Feb13 Jan24 Dec12     (agostini)RODRIGUEZ O 118 5.00    
DIXI SO FAST Feb12 Jan23 Jan04 Dec06 Oct26 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00    
SOMERSET MIA Jan02 Dec13 Nov28 Aug17   (vanwi)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
PRANCIN INTHE DARK Feb12 Jan28 Jan04 Dec06 Oct22 (arnett g)GIL CIPRIANO 120 1.60 39% 1.50    
 
TAM-7   03/01/2026 5610ft TURF RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL BAILADOR May03 Sep06 Aug03 May12 Jan17 (ramos ben)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 30.00    
RETEKO Jan24 Dec24 Dec03 Oct26 Sep19 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
WEAPON Jan24 Dec31 Jun23 Jun16 Apr29 (alessi james)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 30.00    
HANDS OF TIME Sep01 Jul18 May28 Apr11 Oct26 (clement miguel)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 13% 6.50    
KID KAOS Feb05 Dec13 Dec03 Oct11   (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
THINGAMABOB Mar23 Feb12 Jan18 Dec22 Nov30 (pompay terri)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
SKI BUM Feb06 Jan15 Dec12 Nov15 Oct25 (tomlinson nich)CASTANON L 123 5.00 9% 10.70    
AND THATS MY STORY Feb06 Jan21 Dec13 Sep29 Aug18 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 119 20.00    
MARUVY Jan25 Jan01 Sep28 Aug24 Feb08 (d'angelo fr)LEON SONNY 119 6.00 7% 12.70    
10  DABOOM Jan24 Jan07 Dec13 Oct23 Oct03 (dimmett james)HESS SARA 119 8.00 5% 17.90    
11  HANDSOME FOX Sep27 Sep06 Aug29 Aug02 Jul04 (agostini arthur)SERPA ANGEL 119 30.00    
 
TAM-8   03/01/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NYIKOS Feb22 Jan31 Jan18 Dec31 Dec03 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00    
SCR  CAREER RISK Feb22 Feb01 Jan14 Dec26 Nov29 (rice kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 120 15.00    
K PAZ Jan28 Dec31 Dec03 Sep20 Sep06 (cudworth paul)SPIETH S 118 6.00    
GRAND SLAM BOY Nov11 Oct26 Oct05 Sep16 Aug24 (garcia rodol)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 30.00    
WESTMINSTER (NZ) Oct26 Oct13 Sep21 Sep01 Aug16 (smith crai)MEJIAS A 111 3.50 44% 1.30    
LEIGH'S LAST HERO Feb08 Jan11 Dec24 Oct10 Oct04 (castillo )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 20.00    
REDBIRD NATION Jan28 Dec13 May24 Apr12 Mar16 (arriagada ju)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 2.50 15% 5.70    
BATTLE WARRIOR Feb12 Jan31 Jan11 Dec17 Nov26 (posadas )RODRIGUEZ O 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
FLY COMMANDER Feb13 Jan14 Dec31 Dec17 Dec03 (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 122 5.00 9% 10.30    
 
TAM-9   03/01/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET VICTORY Feb11 Jan09 Dec26 Sep26 Sep05 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
CHILLING FACTOR Feb12 Dec19 Nov07 Oct17 Sep27 (ramos ben)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
NELIDA Feb12 Jan21 Dec26 Nov28 Oct20 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 15.00    
BUDDHIST PRODIGY Feb12 Jan21 Jan09 Dec05 Mar12 (narvaez carlos)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00    
BELLA MENDY Feb06 Dec17 Nov14 Oct18 Sep14 (goodwin nik)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00 12% 7.50    
RUNWAY LIGHTS Feb12 Dec26 Oct23 Aug15 Jul16 (smith crai)MEJIAS A 112 15.00    
MORGS WORLD Feb12 Jan21 Jan09 Nov15 Sep28 (goodwin nik)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
MY LITTLE WILDCAT Feb20 Jan21 Jan02 Dec12 Nov22 (mendieta)RODRIGUEZ O 121 4.50 12% 7.20    
DAS IST ALLES ALLY Feb12 Jan21 Dec26 Apr18 Mar21 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00    
10  HONORABLE CHILL Jan21 Nov28 Oct19 Oct05 Sep10 (lawrence l)LEON SONNY 119 10.00    
SCR  KATIE KING Feb15 Jan23 Jan04 Nov19 Oct27 (carrascojr vic)MARIN SAMUEL 123 2.00    
SCR  NICKY JOLENE Jan21 Dec26 Dec05 Nov28 Oct18 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 119 10.00    
SCR  MISHKA Feb05 Jan23 Dec19 Nov28 Sep06 (torres pab)MEJIAS A 112 30.00    
SCR  HOLDER CLOSE Feb05 Dec05 Sep14 Sep05 Aug17 (cascallar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.