Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - December 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-2   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(1/6/7/3)-(6/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-3   WIN (1/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/3)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/3)-(6/2/4)-(3/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(3/2/6)-(3/8/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(3/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(3/8/1)-(5/7/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-6   WIN (3/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/1)-(3/8/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/1)-(3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(11/2/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/1)-(11/2/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-8   WIN (11/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/2/7/4)-(11/2/12/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/2/7/4)-(11/2/12/7/4)-(11/2/12/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-2   12/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATURALLY BLONDE Sep27 Aug24 Aug03 Jun15 Apr26 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 124 0.80 74% 0.30    
LANI'S SWEETHEART Nov17 Oct18 Sep27 Sep06 Sep28 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 6.00    
ROYAL DUSTY Nov22 Nov14 Oct18 Jul27 Jun14 (brinson clay)CORBETT W 121 4.00    
MAJESTIC VIBES Nov17 Sep03 Aug13     (lawrence he)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SIMPLIFIED Nov17 Aug18 Jul12 Jun06 Aug02 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
COUGAR JEWEL Oct13 Sep15 Aug30 Aug17 Aug02 (silva-martin)NUNNALLY BLAKE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
AUNT DEE Nov09 Oct24 Oct10 Sep19   (esquibel )TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 119 20.00    
 
TUP-3   12/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN SNAPPY Oct05 Sep07 Aug09 Jun15 Sep29 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 124 6.00 40% 1.50    
STRENGTH OF AUTISM Dec01 Nov10 Sep20 Aug23 Jun01 (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50    
PESO Sep16 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 Jun04 (peery debbi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAJOR TOM Nov14 Oct24 Oct05 Sep27 Sep06 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 124 2.00    
BLAZING PEME Nov10 Sep05 Aug10 Jul20 Jun28 (maravilla jorge)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
BEDROCK (GB) Jul25 Jun20 Jun08 May18 May10 (christian)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 119 5.00 14% 6.30    
DON'T HIT ME BASH Nov28 Oct13 Sep29 Sep05 Jul27 (lucarell)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 3.50 12% 7.60    
 
TUP-4   12/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTMESSWITHTESS Nov15 Oct03 Aug31 May09 Apr26 (ortiz l)ALVARADO T 122 4.00    
DERRYGOOLIN Dec01 Nov15 Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
CAMERON SLOUGH Nov14 Aug31 Aug08 Jul20 Jan04 (drysdale ne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
CHURCH PEW Nov29 Oct23 Sep25 Sep10 Aug21 (fuentes ru)AMERICANO MANUEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
BINGO BABY Oct15 Jul02 Jun11 Apr06 Feb16 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 119 5.00    
FLAME MCGOON Sep06 Jul13 Jun28 May26 May02 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
 
TUP-5   12/09/2025 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF Jul20 Jul05 Mar22 Feb20 Jan09 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
CANDY'S WILDCAT Nov28 Aug31 Aug08 Jul27 Jul11 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 5.00 18% 4.40    
TEDDY'S TRIUMPH Sep24 Aug28 Aug03 Jul06 Jun20 (crotts )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 0.80 45% 1.20    
RIDIN SOLO Nov15 Nov09 Nov02 Sep27 Sep06 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 122 20.00    
HAIL STATE Nov16 Nov07 Jun21 Jun15 Nov17 (lavanway d)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 20.00    
STRETCH RUN Aug29 Jul27 May31 Sep29 Aug25 (maravilla jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
JAIME'S COMMITMENT Sep19 Aug29 Jul20 May24 May17 (valerio raymond)REYES FRANK 122 2.50    
 
TUP-6   12/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Breeders' Futurity Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEN OF HEARTS Oct13 Sep13 Aug31 Aug17   (zimmerman p)CRUZ M 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AZURITE by ROCK HARD TEN)
HIDDEN BEAUTY         (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
  (by CAHILL ROAD out of MAHRIN by MAHERAS)
RASCALLY RABBIT Sep22 Aug01       (eikleberry kev)ALVARADO T 120 0.80 60% 0.70    
  (by ULISES out of JELLY TO JAM by PLAY FELLOW)
ANGEL'S EFFORT Nov10 Aug31 Jul13 Apr30 Apr10 (duarte-norie)MARTIN A 120 20.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of LISTENTOYOURANGELS by EVENT OF THE YEAR)
SMART ALTERNATIVE         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 120 6.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of SMART AND PRETTY by MR. Z)
WESTERN FEEL Apr10         (williams da)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 120 15.00    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of PLENTY by BOUNDARY)
SHAKE THE BOX Nov28 Aug16 Jul18     (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of HISSE by BUDDHA)
LOTSA KITTY Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul12 (tubbs scott)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MY INDY KITTY by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
TUP-7   12/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEAR SANTA Aug27 Aug10 Jun08 Apr18 Mar29 (lawrence he)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
DEL RAYO Oct25 Oct11 Sep21 Jul08 May03 (rodriguez hugo)REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
I'M NOBLE Nov17 Sep06 Aug17 Jul25 Jul13 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 13% 6.70    
FIREMAN DAN Nov17 Oct19 Sep13 Aug23 Jul18 (belvoir vann)ALVARADO T 122 6.00    
ZOFFARELLI (IRE) Nov17 Nov02 Oct12 Aug24 Aug17 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
SUMMER LOVER Nov28 Nov17 Oct25 Sep22 Sep10 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 12.00    
THE BLACK STRAT Nov17 Aug16 Jul30 Jul04 Jun08 (martinez e)AMERICANO MANUEL 124 2.00 15% 5.60    
FROSTEDBIRD Nov01 Oct25 Oct11 Oct04 Aug31 (anderson gonzalo)MONTALVO C 122 8.00    
 
TUP-8   12/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Breeders' Futurity Purse ($50K) 2 C/G PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DORMELLO'S LEGACY Nov17 Sep19 Sep05     (mcfarlane )AMERICANO MANUEL 120 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of QUEEN KATE by IRON CAT)
HEY PARDNER Nov17         (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of SASHAYING SIS by ROCKY BAR)
EZ COWBOY Nov17 Oct05 Jul26 Jul12 Apr30 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 6.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of MS MUMBA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
DE NOVO Nov17 Sep14       (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARIZONA MOON out of TAPITY CAT by TAPIT)
SCR  TEMPTING MISCHIEF Nov17 Apr10       (williams da)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 120 20.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TEMPE by HADIF)
SECRET INSANITY Nov17         (eikleberry kevin)MONTALVO C 120 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SANITY by CITY ZIP)
PI TIME Nov17 Sep06 Jul03 May03 Apr10 (barraza rafa)NUNNALLY BLAKE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARIZONA MOON out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
ROCK'N AWESOME Nov17 Sep05       (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 12.00    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of NOTE MAKER by TOP HIT)
THREE P'S Nov17 Apr30 Apr10     (hone bart)CORBETT W 120 15.00    
  (by PER CAPITA out of LUCKY LAST by LOTSA MISCHIEF)
10  T'S HEATER Nov17 Apr10       (hone b)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 120 20.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CAVE SPRINGS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
11  GO SPARKY Nov17 Sep17       (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of LET THE GIRL GO by ROCKY BAR)
12  CACTUS LEAGUE Nov17         (eikleberry kev)ALVARADO T 120 5.00    
  (by SPRING AT LAST out of WRIGLEY IVY by PLEASANT TAP)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.