Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - November 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(4/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(4/3/5/1)-(5/1/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/1)-(5/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/1)-(5/1/6/3)-(4/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/3)-(5/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/3)-(5/1/6/3)-(5/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/3)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/3)-(4/2/1)-(8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(8/4)-(5/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/4)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/4)-(5/6/7)-(9/1/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/2/6/7)-(5/2/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(9/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(9/1/2/6)-(5/8/7/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/6)-(9/1/2/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/6)-(9/1/2/6/3)-(9/1/2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/2/6)-(5/8/7/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/8/7/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/1/4)-(5/8/7/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/1/4)-(5/8/7/1/4)-(5/8/7/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   11/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EYESONTHECANDY Oct25 Oct17 Sep25 Sep12 Aug23 (jackson ang)PELTROCHE ELIAS 121 30.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of EAGLET by GHOSTZAPPER)
JUNGLE BOOGIE Nov06 Oct31 Oct03 Aug22 Aug02 (joy j)MONTANO JOSE 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
NO CONVERSATION Nov06 Oct18 Oct02 Sep19 Aug07 (jackson g)CRUZ ANGEL 126 10.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of INCA GIRL by TOUCH GOLD)
FELICIAS CINCO Oct31 Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 (grams timoth)BELISARIO JUAN 117 2.50    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MISS FELICIA by FAMILY CALLING)
MEGS GOLDEN BOY Oct31 Oct02 Sep19 Aug02 Jun21 (boykins kevin)MAWING A 126 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
FORTUNATE SON Oct31 Oct03 Sep11 Aug02 Nov16 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 121 1.40 32% 2.10    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of CINDY S. by LEMON DROP KID)
ORIENTEER Oct31 Oct03 Sep19 Aug22 Jul18 (hamlin kathl)LEWIS M 126 8.00 6% 17.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of BENEDICTA by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
CT-2   11/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSME Nov06 Oct08 Sep19 Sep05 Aug21 (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ELECTIONEERING Oct25 Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 Jul16 (carlis)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
COMO Sep19 May31 Nov29 Nov03 Aug11 (knudsen kent)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
BOX OFFICE Oct08 Jun08 Apr25 Nov17 Dec31 (farrior ant)EBOW III 114 1.40 29% 2.50    
DIRBAS Oct23 Sep29 Aug21 Jul29 Jul01 (dollinger-)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 10.00 24% 3.20    
ALIGN Nov06 Oct22 Oct10 Jul19 Jun28 (joy j)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50    
JUBACANTFIXTHIS Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 Aug21 Jul26 (knudsen kent)LEWIS M 122 30.00    
 
CT-3   11/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERUNSTHISTOWN Sep12 Aug30 Jul31 Jul11 Jun21 (sterling michael )LARROSA G 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
GOOD ACCELEBRATE Oct04 Sep05 Sep01 Aug02 Aug15 (joy kevin )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 5.00    
HEART'S COMPASS Oct24 Oct04 Sep06 Jul26 Jun11 (keller chris)DIAZ JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS MENETES Oct30 Oct09 Sep25 Feb26 Feb01 (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.00    
WYNSOME CAT Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 Aug14 Jul31 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 1.80 56% 0.80    
SOMESUGARNSPICE Nov08 Oct24 Oct11 Sep23 Aug14 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 126 5.00 8% 11.20    
SLOW NO MO Oct04 Sep12 Jul26 Jun21 Jun06 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 12.00    
 
CT-4   11/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEART OF GOLD Oct19 Sep26 Jul26 Jul10 Jun12 (shanley tyle)LEWIS M 122 15.00 6% 16.90    
GRANDPA JOE Nov08 Oct23 Oct04 Sep20 Sep04 (boggs joanna)DIAZ JR 124 4.50 33% 2.00    
TOWN HOT Oct22 Oct09 Sep26 Sep11 Aug21 (pyke joseph)EBOW III 112 20.00    
ED'S PROPHECY Nov06 Oct18 Oct03 Sep02 Aug07 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 115 1.80 33% 2.00    
TAP THE ARCHES Nov08 Oct17 Oct01 Sep13 May10 (gur battul)SANTAELLA MOISES 119 6.00    
DADIO Nov07 Oct23 Sep03 Aug21 Aug07 (hess j)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00    
SCR  ROARK Oct17 Sep20 Aug22 Aug01 Jul17 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.60    
 
CT-5   11/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FURREAL Aug22 Jul05 Nov27 Oct30 Oct10 (curtis larry)DIAZ JR 122 12.00    
LITTLE ROO ROO Oct24 Oct16 Sep27 Aug22 Jul05 (jones )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.50    
SCR  CEDAR RUNS FIBER Nov06 Oct15 Oct09 Sep11 Aug08 (boykins ke)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 30.00    
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Oct24 Oct11 Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  PAPA LINGUINE Nov05 Aug14 Oct25 Oct12 Aug17 (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 122 50.00    
SCR  THEWITCHISGONE Oct24 Sep11 Jun19 May22 Apr19 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 126 3.50    
SCR  JEFFERSON NATIVE Oct24 Sep11 Aug22 Jul05 Jun20 (dollinger-st)LEWIS M 122 15.00    
MOONLIT NOTION Oct25 Oct15 May10 Apr18 Mar20 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  HONEYQUIST Oct11 Aug22 Jul05 Jun20 May17 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 122 2.50    
 
CT-6   11/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMERSTATEOFMIND Oct25 Oct08 Sep18 Aug16 Jul24 (knoblauch-perez )CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
PLEASENTHANKU Oct11 Aug08 Apr18 Mar15   (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 120 3.00    
OPTIMISTIC NATE Nov05 Oct22 Sep13 Jul26 Jul13 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 122 6.00    
JOHN'S NOTION Oct11 Sep11 Aug16 Jul19 May24 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
PORK CHOP PETE Oct11 Sep11 Mar22 Feb27 Dec11 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 71% 0.40    
ON THE COME UP Oct08 Sep18 Jul26 Jul17 Jun06 (laguna hom)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ESTRELLA FUGAZ Nov06 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep12 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   11/15/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Randy Funkhouser Memorial Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNALDO Oct11 Sep12 Aug22 Jul26 Jul03 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of BOOZIN' SUSAN by FRENCH DEPUTY)
XCELLENT START Oct11 Aug22 Aug01 Jun28 Jun07 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of CONQUEST MS CURLIN by CURLIN)
PAYMENGOLD Sep18 Jul19 Jun21 May24 Apr25 (johnson de)ALMODOVAR GERALD 123 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
LOVE IS WICKED Oct29 Oct22 Oct16 Oct08 Sep25 (johnson d)BOCACHICA J 123 30.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
LATE IN THE GAME Sep18 Aug07 Jul19 Jun07 May24 (sigler g)LARROSA G 123 20.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CHARITABLE CARLY by CHARITABLE MAN)
NEVERPOPTHECORK Oct11 Aug21 Aug01 Jul12 Apr24 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of NEVERBREAKTHECHAIN by LONHRO)
BAIL IS DENIED Oct11 Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 Jul19 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 121 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of WON'T BE DENIED by WINDSOR CASTLE)
LORD OF CORK Oct11 Sep05 Aug14 Jul26 Jun26 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 123 15.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LADY JILLET by WINDSOR CASTLE)
TEACHINTHERELEASE Oct11 Sep18 Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 (murdoc)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 0.20 54% 0.90    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of ROMANTIC CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
10  BIG JOE B Nov05 Oct23 Sep12 Aug07 Jul11 (atkins micha)LEWIS M 123 30.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of CALLY DRIVE by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
CT-8   11/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD FIBER Oct22 Oct10 Sep27 Aug16 Jul24 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 126 6.00 8% 11.00    
DREW D'ORO Oct23 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 Jun06 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 20.00    
TRAINER PLEASE Sep26 Dec16 Oct27 Oct04 Sep01 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50    
SASSY LAD Sep10 Jul12 Jun12 May09 Apr23 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
RED CANDY APPLE Oct10 Aug31 Jul05 May25 May04 (walters davi)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.50 32% 2.20    
SONG RUNNER Nov07 Oct12 Sep14 Apr16 Mar08 (perri )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00    
CAJUN JOE Oct23 Oct04 Sep27 Aug02 Jul19 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
COWBOY AT HEART Oct23 Oct04 Aug16 Jul24 Jun06 (walters da)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 4.50 16% 5.20    
EL DE CHIREL Jun19 May30 Mar22 Feb28 Feb07 (caison)RIOS-CONDE JR 124 20.00    
10  FU MAN SUE Oct23 Jul31 Jan02 Dec14 Sep21 (sewell lenwo)BATISTA A 124 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.