Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - October 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(6/3/2)-(6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(6/5)-(5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(5/3)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/2/3)-(3/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/5/1)-(4/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(4/3/2)-(4/5/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(4/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/2/8)-(4/5/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIGRUN FAST BOY Oct03 Aug17 Jul27 Jul06 May22 (ramos agos)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 2.00    
2  GHOSTLYPRINCE Sep17 Aug31 Jul16 Mar13 Feb26 (tobin l)MAWING A 122 2.50 49% 1.10    
3  TYCOON MOGUL Sep26 Sep13 Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 (ramos m)CHILO MAXIMO 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
4  BUOYANT Oct04 Aug31 Jun14 May23 Apr18 (allen ferr)BATISTA A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  RUN ROCKY RUN Sep26 Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 Jun28 (adorno jean )BELISARIO JUAN 115 3.50    
 
CT-2   10/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONSHINE MAMA Oct10 Sep18 Aug14 Jul24 Jun19 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 113 2.50    
2  OSCOR Oct03 Sep18 Aug05 Jul18 Jun13 (clatterbuc)BATISTA X 120 12.00 7% 13.50    
3  BUTTERFLY EFFECT Oct03 Sep08 Jul02 Jun12 May24 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 113 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  FUNNY ROAD Sep26 Sep22 Jul24 Jun19 Mar27 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 120 8.00    
5  QUINN ELIA Sep18 Sep05 Aug29 Aug14 Jun03 (lane j)LARA VICTOR 110 15.00    
6  DREAM STREET ROSE Oct03 Sep18 Aug14 Jul10 May23 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.20 38% 1.60    
 
CT-3   10/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 2 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL STANDARD Oct02         (spangler jil)DIAZ JR 122 2.50    
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of MUSIC TOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  NOT MY CIRCUS Oct02         (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 6.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
SCR  ROCK N'OPPORTUNITY Sep27 Aug09       (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ROCK N' GOLD by MEDALLIST)
SCR  FIBER ROCKS         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of ROCK OF WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
5  MY BROTHERS ANGEL Sep27 Sep10       (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TACITUS out of APPLE CIDER by MORE THAN READY)
6  TRUST THE CLIMB Sep27 Sep06       (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00 54% 0.90    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PAZ THE WINE by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
SCR  EAGLE EYED DENIS Sep06 Aug23 Aug09     (shanley ti)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 20.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of EAGLET by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
CT-4   10/16/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE YOUR TIME Sep27 Aug16 Jul17 Jun20 May23 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 122 2.50    
SCR  JUBA'S HEART Oct03 Sep19 Aug02 Jul17 May22 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.50    
3  DIRECT THE SHOW Oct03 Sep04 Aug21 Aug01 Jun19 (shanley)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  AUBURN MILL Oct03 Aug16 Jul10 Jun20 May23 (adorno jean )BELISARIO JUAN 115 1.80    
5  GOLDEN KEY Sep27 Aug16 Jul10 Jun19 May08 (shanley ma)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  PAPA LINGUINE Aug14 Oct25 Oct12 Aug17 Jul25 (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
 
CT-5   10/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOR MOR MOR Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 Jul12 Jun28 (murdock st)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40 53% 0.90    
2  CHARGE NURSE Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 Jul12 Jun20 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
3  RECOGNIZE ME Sep28 Sep18 Aug20 Aug01 Jul11 (hernandez s)ACOSTA D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  KISS CAM Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 (rangel ricardo)LARA VICTOR 108 20.00    
5  RARE RUBY Sep06 Aug08 Jul18 Jul12 Jun06 (shanley ti)SANTAELLA MOISES 113 20.00    
6  REZQUIA Sep06 Aug08 Jul18 Jun06 May08 (shanley timoth)HIRALDO JOHN 122 12.00    
7  JESS'S GYPSY GIRL Jun07 May25 May02 Mar23 Feb19 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Sep19 Sep06 Aug23 Aug01 Jun20 (scott h)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
 
CT-6   10/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULL RIDER Oct03 Sep11 Aug23 Aug14 Jul17 (figgins j)PELTROCHE F 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BOLD DESERT Oct01 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul25 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
3  PRIME SHOPPING Sep25 Dec04 Nov09 Oct12 Aug24 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.80 57% 0.80    
4  CANO'S BABY Oct01 Aug21 Aug02 Jul04 Jun19 (straughn w)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 12.00    
5  BOLD ROCK Oct01 Sep22 Sep04 Aug02 Jul11 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 120 1.40 19% 4.20    
6  BOUNDFORABRUISIN Oct01 Sep20 Sep11 Aug07 Jul26 (jackson ang)RAMGEET R 120 3.00    
 
CT-7   10/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONDAY MORNING QB Feb28 Jan18 Nov28 Oct11 Sep15 (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.00    
2  LITTLE ROO ROO Sep27 Aug22 Jul05 Jun20 May01 (jones )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  OZONE Sep18 Jul25 Jul19 Jul03 May01 (butts m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
4  HAMMER Sep14 Aug24 Jul24 Jun07 May31 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
SCR  STORMPROOF Sep18 Jul04 Jun13 May29 Apr13 (shanley mark)JORGE JULIO 120 20.00    
SCR  SISYPHUS Sep26 Aug07 Jul24 Jul04 Jun07 (king james)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
 
CT-8   10/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY THE GIANT Sep27 Sep13 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 (deiter l)PEREZ XAVIER 120 1.80    
2  RICK'SWARMHEART Sep25 Jul17 Jul05 Jun26 May10 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 5.00 ★    
3  RUNNINGTHENUMBERS Aug16 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 May22 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
4  STRATEGIST Sep25 Sep13 Sep05 Aug09 Jul13 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  TOUR GUIDE Sep25 Aug16 Jul25 Jun28 Jun05 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 113 6.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  GABRIEL'S WING Sep25 Aug20 Jul31 Jul11 Jun05 (figgins olli)LEWIS M 120 10.00    
7  LOVE IS WICKED Oct08 Sep25 Aug21 Jul19 Jul03 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
8  CIDERHOUSE WAY Sep12 Aug07 Oct04 Sep19 Jun08 (gazzier kr)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  SESAME STREEK Jul17 Jun05 May16 Apr25 Apr05 (keller chris)DIAZ JR 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.