Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(2/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(2/5/4)-(2/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(2/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(2/4/3)-(4/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(4/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(4/1/5)-(6/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(6/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(6/3/1)-(4/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(4/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(4/5/1)-(8/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(8/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(8/3/4)-(1/4/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4)-(8/3/4)-(8/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/3/4)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (1/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   10/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R ADMIRAL Oct07 Sep24 Sep08 Jul14 Jun30 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL LUCK (CHI) Sep19 Sep02 Jul23 May28 May02 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 123 1.40    
TEMPUS Sep19 Sep03 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 6.00    
BURNIN TURF Sep16 Aug11 Jul14 Jul03 May21 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 123 1.80 32% 2.10    
MEANT TO BE LUCKY Oct02 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 Nov16 (pappada michael )MARTINEZ W 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
PID-2   10/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING SHADOWS Oct07 Sep22 Sep09     (musarro joseph)FOX CHRIS 122 10.00    
VANILLA CREAM Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 Jul10 (dickey keith)ROJAS MARTINA 125 2.00 43% 1.30    
RIVERS RUN RED Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 (pappada )RODRIGUEZ O 125 4.50    
N K P ONE Sep23 Sep03 Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 (schaber debbi)DELGADO DAVID 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SLAINTE MHATH Oct06 Sep16 Aug26 Aug18 Jul29 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  MY ANGEL DOES Sep17 Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 Jul28 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00    
 
PID-3   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMMORTALLOVE Sep19 Aug13 Jun18 Mar15 Feb14 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 5.00    
UNBRIDLED PEACE Sep03 Aug15 Jul07 Jun17 May26 (arriagada jua)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
LUCKY COUGAR Sep14 Sep08 Aug25 Jul08 Jun21 (dacosta )RODRIGUEZ O 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
MITOLE MAGIC Sep19 Aug18 Jul28 May21 Oct21 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 1.60 14% 6.40    
HEART Sep19 Aug18 Jun18 May21 Jan15 (russell )GALLARDO A 123 2.50    
 
PID-4   10/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNSANDCONDITIONS Sep22 Sep01 Aug29 Aug04 Jul27 (pappada micha)ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
BAHAMA CHANNEL Sep16 Aug25 Jul30 Jul14 Jun03 (rogers mi)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00    
SACHMO Sep30 Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 (salvaggi)GALLARDO A 123 4.50    
RUNAWAY HARRY Sep30 Sep23 Aug25 Aug04 Jul03 (pappada )RODRIGUEZ O 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
YADI Oct02 Aug12 Aug06 Jul09 Jun23 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
COLONEL POPPY Sep19 Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 Jul22 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 1.80    
 
PID-5   10/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLING RUBY Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 (dickey keith)SPIETH S 120 6.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  CRYSTAL WATER Oct07 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Jul29 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 10.00    
HAUT LES COEURS Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jun30 (pappada )RODRIGUEZ O 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
JOYS OF SUMMER Sep29 Sep15 Sep03 Aug15 Jul30 (baez n)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50    
QUEEN ATLAS Oct02 Sep14 Jun21 May24 Dec14 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 120 1.80    
ARGUMENTAL Oct01 Sep15 Aug06 Jul30 Jun24 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
PID-6   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST FORAY Sep29 Sep09 Aug11 Jul23 Jul15 (kulp brandon )ROJAS MARTINA 123 6.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  TOOTSIE TOES Oct07 Sep09 Aug19 Aug11 Jul30 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 123 12.00    
WINNING PLAY Sep18 Aug07 Jun20 Jun06 Nov20 (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 120 2.50    
SHEZ UNTAPPABLE Sep22 Aug18 Jul21 Jun24 May26 (russell )RODRIGUEZ O 123 1.80 30% 2.40    
BOOGIE WOOGIE Sep08 Aug20 Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Oct01 Sep09 Sep01 Aug05 Jul07 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 15.00    
BOUJIE BETZ Aug18 Jul21 Jul07 Jun17 Jun04 (connelly)GALLARDO A 120 4.50    
 
PID-7   10/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOLLY'S ROSE Sep05 Aug01 Jun22 Feb05 Jan16 (riefenberg er)MORALES PABLO 123 8.00    
SCR  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Sep23 Sep16 Sep01 Aug19 Jul28 (carr-rozantz )ROJAS MARTINA 123 12.00    
RIGHT NOW Sep23 Sep03 Aug18 Jul28 Jul08 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
SHE'S FIRE Sep23 Sep03 Aug13 Jul24 Jul02 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
MY JANNET Oct02 Sep23 Sep10 Aug12 Jul28 (kleine l)MARTINEZ W 123 20.00    
SCR  SPOTTY SHOWERS Sep04 Aug22 Jul14 Jun14 May27 (lauer mi)GALLARDO A 123 4.50    
AWESOME EMPRESS Sep22 Aug15 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 (guciardo john)BAYS BROOKE 116 10.00    
A CASE OF YOU (IRE) Sep23 Aug25 Aug04 Jun21 Oct09 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 1.40 50% 1.00    
 
PID-8   10/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CREMA Sep24 Sep15 Sep08 Aug18 Jul28 (bondar e)MARTINEZ A 123 2.50 32% 2.20    
BLACKDIAMOND DINNY Sep18 Sep03 Mar27 Mar07 Feb07 (beattie )GALLARDO A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MARDENE Sep17 Aug19 Aug04 Mar17 Feb12 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 125 6.00    
LIZZIE BABY Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jun24 (girten t)RODRIGUEZ O 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  MARY'S REWARD Sep24 Aug13 Jul23 Jul16 Jul03 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 123 1.80    
HIGH TRACK Sep29 Sep15 Aug19 Aug04 Jul21 (miller henry )VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 8.00    
UNBOUNDED MOVEMENT Sep19 Aug01 Jul05 Jun15 Apr03 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 122 12.00 16% 5.40    
CHEERFUL TROUT Sep17 Sep09 Aug26 Aug18 Jul21 (baez ralph )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.