Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - October 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (7/4/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/6/2)-(7/4/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/6/2)-(7/4/1/6/2)-(7/4/1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/1/6/2)-(5/1/8/6/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ARP-2   WIN (5/1/8/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/6/10)-(5/1/8/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/6/10)-(5/1/8/6/10)-(5/1/8/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ARP-3   WIN (5/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   10/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGGS ARMYPOWER Sep28         (jensen ma)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00 12% 7.00    
2  SKYEXPRESS Sep13 Aug15 Jul26 Jul12   (leon alexis)RAMOS B 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUBTLE HOOLIGAN Aug31 Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 May30 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 120 5.00    
4  HECKUVA GAL Sep13 Aug17 Jul26 Jul12   (mitchell )IRONEYES R 117 10.00 26% 2.90    
5  PUMPKIN PRINCESS Jul25 Jul12 Jun14     (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 12.00    
6  TALL COOL ONE Sep22 Sep05       (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  MY DREAM ZAPPER Sep12 Aug18 Aug03     (rushton stetson)DELORME L 120 2.50 36% 1.70    
8  TAPBYANGELS Sep07 Aug01 Jul13     (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 120 4.50    
9  TEXT IT TO ME Sep13 Aug10 Jun28 Jun06 May25 (crump anthony)RAMEY CASH 117 10.00    
 
ARP-2   10/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZULTAN Sep19 Sep03 Aug03 Jul25 Jul13 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  REDISUR Sep28 Sep20 Sep06 Aug30 Aug16 (ibanez al)MARRINFA MAURICIO 119 10.00    
3  ROSIE'S BOY Sep28 Aug25 Jul18 Jun27 Jun15 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00    
4  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Sep20 Sep01 Aug16 Aug10 Jul20 (mitchell chris)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00    
5  CLUB MESQUITE Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Jul25 Jul13 (rosales jorge)CARRENO J 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
6  TOMA TODO Aug31 Aug17 Aug06 Jul13 Jun28 (rushton t)IRONEYES R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PRINCE OTTO Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 (esquibel mark)COUTON JULIEN 124 15.00    
8  REQUISITION Sep28 Aug31 Aug09 Jun01 May18 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 10.00 12% 7.20    
9  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Sep28 Sep14 Jun29 Jun20 May17 (rushton stetson)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
10  TAPIT DOWN Sep27 Jul25 Jun20 May03 Apr26 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-3   10/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE Sep27 Aug30 Aug10 Jun21 Apr28 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 121 6.00    
2  OLD FASHION TIME Sep19 Nov01 Oct18 Sep21 Dec18 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 121 2.50    
3  PERSCRIPTURE Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul06 (stortzum cady)COUTON JULIEN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHOOTIN' DICE Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Jul27 Jul05 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 3.50 17% 4.90    
5  EZ FITZ Aug31 Aug12 Aug02 Jul13 Jun08 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.00 59% 0.70    
6  RIDE FOR GOLD Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BRODY'S TREASURE Sep20 Sep13 Sep01 May10 Apr27 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50    
8  THE FUSS Sep12 Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 (gurnick e)IRONEYES R 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.