Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Downs Tb
Friday - October 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTD-2   WIN (1/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/4)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(5/4/3)-(2/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTD-4   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-5   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(2/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(2/6/1/3)-(5/9/3/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CTD-6   WIN (2/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/3)-(5/9/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CTD-7   WIN (5/9/3/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/1/6)-(5/9/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/1/6)-(5/9/3/1/6)-(5/9/3/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/3/1/6)-(2/3/8/7/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CTD-8   WIN (2/3/8/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/7/9)-(2/3/8/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/7/9)-(2/3/8/7/9)-(2/3/8/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/8/7/9)-(9/10/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/7/9)-(9/10/7/2)-(2/9/8/11/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CTD-9   WIN (9/10/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/7/2)-(9/10/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/7/2)-(9/10/7/2)-(9/10/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/10/7/2)-(2/9/8/11/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CTD-10   WIN (2/9/8/11/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/8/11/4)-(2/9/8/11/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/8/11/4)-(2/9/8/11/4)-(2/9/8/11/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTD-2   10/10/2025 4950ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTY JO Sep16 Aug06 Jul29 Jul16 Jul09 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00 34% 2.00    
MAGIC TIP Sep26 Sep06 Aug09 Jul11 Jun15 (o'hagan coll)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00    
LINAHASPECSHOES Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
KARDINAL ROSE Sep21 Aug22 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
MACHINA Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 Jul07 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 6.00    
ARTISTIC JEWLER Aug29 Aug08 Jul12 Jun28 Oct12 (hen)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 5.00    
DIPLOMATICA Aug22 Aug08 Jun24 May17 May03 (anderson gon)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 8.00 10% 8.70    
 
CTD-3   10/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NASAS PRINCESS Aug15 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May30 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 3.00 54% 0.90    
SPEIGHTSOULCOMET Sep27 Aug29 Aug09 Jul11 Jun15 (smith craig )TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 1.80    
HOLY BELLE Sep27 Jul19 Jun28 May16 May03 (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S A ROWSKI Sep27 Sep13 Jul29 Jul23 Jul08 (rowe michael)FOSTER R 120 20.00    
AH TOUCHE Jul19 Jun13 May30 Oct12 Sep29 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  PRAIRIE SKY Aug29 Jul27 Jul04 Nov25 Nov04 (smith rob)CARTER KYLE 125 2.00    
 
CTD-4   10/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST HARBOR Sep12 Aug22 Aug09 Jun14 May23 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.50    
CROWN OF CAIRO Sep26 Sep05 Aug08 Jun24 Jun06 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 10.00    
DOUG'S HERO Sep21 Aug09 Jul07 Jun06 May23 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
STARFALL Sep05 Aug15 Jul19 Jun13 May30 (smith craig )TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
WHATWOMENWANT Sep13 Aug01 Jul05 May23 May09 (anderson gon)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  WESTERN SUNSET Sep26 Aug29 Aug01 Jun24 May23 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
BRODY'S PAL Sep26 Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 123 3.00    
 
CTD-5   10/10/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKING AGAIN Sep26 Sep06 Aug23 Jul12 Jun27 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 3.50 18% 4.70    
TORIADOR Sep26 Aug23 Aug01 Jun28 May31 (palma )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 38% 1.60    
SMART PLAY Sep13 Aug04 Jul12 May31 May10 (robertson je)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 2.50    
OUR SUNSHINE Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 Jul26 Oct06 (russell mo)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 15.00    
KEEN FLATTER Sep26 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Jul04 (rycroft tim)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  J DUTTON Sep27 Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 (hen)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 12.00    
TAYLOR FIELD Sep26 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun24 (petrowski j)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00    
 
CTD-6   10/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR BREGOVIC Sep27 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 13% 6.50    
TOOL TIME Sep06 Jun28 May16 May03 Mar24 (anderson gon)CONTRERAS LUIS 125 3.50 38% 1.60    
BRINGER OF RAIN Sep21 Sep02 Aug20 Aug01 Jul04 (cone r)STEADMAN LEON 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
BARAK Sep21 Sep05 Aug22 Jul26 Jul05 (ward anderson)CARTER KYLE 125 6.00    
THESHACK Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 Jul11 Jun28 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00    
FIRECRACKER STAND Sep21 Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 Jul07 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 24% 3.10    
METAPHOR Sep12 Aug29 Jul11     (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.50    
 
CTD-7   10/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENZENE Sep26         (nichol)STEADMAN LEON 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of LADY RORSCHACH by OLD FASHIONED)
DAUNTLESS DARYL Sep27 Aug29       (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.00    
  (by MANK out of MISS HOTZY TOTZY by WELL INFORMED)
ARE GEE Sep05         (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 122 12.00 20% 4.10    
  (by TOUR DE FORCE out of KITTEN'S RIDDLE by KITTEN'S JOY)
ZIPLINER Sep26         (nicholson dav)LUNAN RICHARD 122 20.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of ZIPPY TRIP by CITY ZIP)
DALE'S LEGACY         (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by FED BIZ out of SILENT STREAK by SILENT NAME (JPN))
ARTIC CAUSEWAY         (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of TY'S BROOKE by PIKE PLACE GOLD)
HE CAN DANGLE Sep13 Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 (davies deann)FOSTER R 122 6.00    
  (by EDISON out of THE CAT'S AFFAIR by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCHMUGLEY Sep27 Sep05 Aug08 Jul12   (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 122 20.00    
  (by SCHRAMSBERG out of AUNT SARA by QUIET AMERICAN)
DREAMS IN THE SKY Sep27         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
 
CTD-8   10/10/2025 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROOKLAND Oct03 Sep20 Aug29 Jul25 Jun06 (rycroft tom)NATERA KEIHTON 122 10.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of DANCING DALIA by FINALITY)
LADYACE OF SPEIGHT Sep27 Sep12       (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KITTEN'S RIDDLE by KITTEN'S JOY)
RIVER SEVEN Sep27 Sep12 Aug29 Jul18   (petrowsk)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by FED BIZ out of CHIANTI by ROSBERG)
LENNYS ON TIME Aug29         (anderson gon)FOSTER R 122 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of SECRETIVE MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
MAXIMUM REACTION Sep27         (bell jess)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 119 50.00    
  (by TOUR DE FORCE out of CATALYZE by TABASCO CAT)
BRASS Sep12 Feb01       (anderson gon)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of KATERI by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
MOON MULLINS Sep27 Sep12 Aug09 Jul26 Jul11 (petrowski j)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 8.00 7% 13.70    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of CAROLINA STATION by AIKENITE)
DR BROKER Aug15 Aug09 Jul18 Jun24 May03 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 2.50 10% 8.60    
  (by FED BIZ out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
PRIMAL SPARK FORCE Sep12 Aug29 Aug09     (grieves)CHASE RICHARD 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOUR DE FORCE out of BRAVO WILKO by WILKO)
 
CTD-9   10/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT COUNT Oct03 Aug23 Aug09 Jul07 Jun15 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50    
SOLAR FORCE Aug29 Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 Jun07 (davies deanne)NELSON DANE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
REMARKABLE ELI Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Nov02 Oct26 (gilkyson ashl)CUMBERBATCH R 125 12.00    
SCR  STANFORD NORTH Oct04 Aug15 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 15.00    
SCR  FORGOTTEN MAN Sep26 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 122 8.00    
DIAMOND DI Sep05 Jun06 Nov02 Oct20 Sep29 (ward anderso)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00    
BRI'S BOY Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 Jul19 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
VIOLENT VIOLET Sep21 Sep06 Aug09 Jul26 Jun28 (zielke madison)CARTER KYLE 122 20.00    
HE LIKES WINNING Sep20 Sep06 Aug01 Jul07 Jun13 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.50 45% 1.20    
10  SUDDENLY FAMOUS Oct03 Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 Jul05 (brown )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
CTD-10   10/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP THE QUEUE Oct03 Sep12 Aug30 Aug01 Jul11 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 6.00    
VICTORIA'S CHIEF Oct04 Aug16 Jul18 Jul04 Jun07 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.50 38% 1.60    
CASSANO Oct04 Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 Jul18 (hedge rick)TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 15.00    
RICHARDS COMMAND Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 Aug04 Jul18 (cone r)STEADMAN LEON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
WICKEDBLACKBULLET Sep13 Sep07 Aug25 Aug13 Jul30 (smith darc)NATERA KEIHTON 125 20.00    
SCR  LAHUN Sep21 Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 (petrowski j)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 12.00    
SAMURAI CHALLENGE Oct03 Sep20 Sep06 Nov03 Sep28 (smith w)CHASE RICHARD 125 20.00    
OUR BOLD PRINCE Sep26 Sep12 Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 5.00 9% 10.00    
J J'S CAPER Oct04 Sep12 Aug16 Aug04 Jul18 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00 21% 3.70    
10  TEXAS LEGACY Oct03 Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 Aug01 (bell jess)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 122 30.00    
11  SNAP COUNT Sep12 Aug29 Jul26 Jul19 Jul05 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 125 10.00 7% 13.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.