Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - October 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(3/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(3/2/5/6)-(7/1/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/5/6)-(7/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/6)-(7/1/4/3)-(6/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/3)-(6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/3)-(6/5/3)-(4/8/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(4/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(4/8/1/3)-(4/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/8/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/1/3)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1/3)-(4/3/6)-(4/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(4/1/6)-(9/2/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(9/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/8)-(9/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/7/8)-(9/2/7/8)-(9/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   10/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JESTER'S SONG Sep13 Aug01 Jul17 Jun22 Jun06 (regget)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
ESTILO MAGICO Sep12 Sep04 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 (simone mich)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 3.00    
A FEW TOO MANY Sep04 Jun26 Jun05 May16 Apr23 (reynolds j)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MON GATEAU Sep04 Aug16 May01 Mar22 Feb08 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 1.40 17% 4.80    
ABUELO PAPS Sep13 Aug16 Aug07 Jul24 Jun22 (king w)DIAZ JR 122 4.50    
 
CT-2   10/04/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUCHULAIN Sep19 Jul31 Jun26 May29 Apr18 (walters davi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.50    
GERICAULT Sep19 Jul31 Jun26 May29 May10 (carlis)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
AFLEET VINTAGE Aug21 Jul23 Jun07 Jan01 Dec05 (walters davi)BELISARIO JUAN 115 3.00 35% 1.80    
JUBACANTFIXTHIS Sep20 Aug21 Jul26 Jul10 Jun19 (knudsen kent)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00    
GRAND PARK VIEW Sep03 Jun24 Jun11 Apr12 Mar14 (boyce bria)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
FIRENZE FOREVER Aug21 Aug10 Jul27 Jul17 May30 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SINGULARITY Sep03 Aug01 Jun26 May10 Mar01 (payne beale)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
 
CT-3   10/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIM'S REDIRECT Sep13 Aug09 Sep14 Aug23 Aug01 (regget)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of EVEN AIM by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
PENGUIN VICTORY Sep06         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LIDO LADY by LIDO PALACE (CHI))
MODEST KAY Sep13 Aug16 Aug09 Jul25 Jun12 (gomez r)LARROSA G 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of KEYSTONE PIPELINE by LOUIS QUATORZE)
KEEP SHINING ON US Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 Jun06 May09 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
OUTWORK GIRL Sep06         (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 3.50    
  (by OUTWORK out of TOBY GIRL by FLATTER)
UNCONDITIONAL LOVE Sep13 Aug09 Jul10 Jun21   (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 15.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of OUR MISS BETTY by CHARITABLE MAN)
PRESHOW HYPE Sep13 Aug16 Jul05 Jun06 May09 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 111 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by BAYERN out of PRESHOW by BERTRANDO)
 
CT-4   10/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACING HOT LINE Sep25 Sep04 Aug01 Jul11 Jun06 (barber l)REYNOLDS C 120 5.00    
THE HOUND Sep19 Jul17 Jun19 May22 Apr23 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 118 15.00    
EVANESCO Sep14 Aug09 Jul10 Jun19 May23 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
GRANDPA JOE Sep20 Sep04 Aug21 Aug08 May17 (boggs joanna)DIAZ JR 120 15.00    
MAGICAL SURPRISE Aug16 Jul19 Jun05 Jul20 Jun20 (walters davi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
RUM N COKE Sep25 Sep04 Aug02 Jul10 Jun27 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 118 0.60 50% 1.00    
 
CT-5   10/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITIFIED Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 Jul23   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SCARLET by UNCLE MO)
PARTY QUEEN Aug02 Jul19 Mar02 Dec26 Dec13 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 118 10.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of ABATIS by APTITUDE)
CICATRIZ Sep13 Aug14 Jul25 Jun29 May03 (shanley timothy)LARA VICTOR 108 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BEACH GIRL by VIOLENCE)
SUZIES PRIDE Sep13 Sep04 Aug01 Jul19   (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 118 4.00 61% 0.60    
  (by VEKOMA out of CAPULETTA by MUNNINGS)
SONG AND A BREEZE Aug23 Aug15 Jul25 Jul06 May08 (murdock st)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 1.40    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of HUMOROUS SONG by JIMMY CREED)
SLANDEROUS Sep10 Aug15 Jul25 Sep07 Aug30 (joy j)MONTANO JOSE 118 5.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SEVEN ARROWS by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  ELEVATED POWER Sep26 Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 Jul18 (dollinger-)SANTAELLA MOISES 113 30.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
HOPE SHE FIRES Sep13 Aug15 Jul30     (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.50 11% 7.80    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of JUST A LITTLE HOPE by FLATTER)
 
CT-6   10/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETTOTHSTORYIMDONE Sep23 Sep12 Jul04 May24 May13 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
HEART'S COMPASS Sep06 Jul26 Jun11 Jun03 Jan19 (keller chris)DIAZ JR 118 3.00    
READY TO ROCKNROLL Sep13 Aug15 Aug02 Jul04 May24 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
OUR LADY PEACE Sep12 Aug31 Jul05 Jun13 May24 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 1.80 38% 1.60    
MAMAWASAGOGOGIRL Sep12 Jul04 Jun13 May23 May01 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 2.50    
RIDE TO REMEMBER Sep12 Aug15 May24 May08 Apr17 (jackson angelo )PELTROCHE F 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   10/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERENADE ME Sep12 Aug14 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 (gilles)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 2.50 9% 9.90    
GOOD ACCELEBRATE Sep05 Sep01 Aug02 Aug15 Jul13 (williams )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50    
SLOW NO MO Sep12 Jul26 Jun21 Jun06 May24 (keller chris)DIAZ JR 120 5.00    
WYNSOME CAT Sep12 Aug14 Jul31 Jul04 Jun13 (viands r)ACOSTA D 118 1.40 65% 0.50    
IHEARTRAINACOMN Aug22 Jul31 Jul11 Jul05 Jun14 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 124 15.00    
NOTIPTONI Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Jul31 Jul11 (knudsen kent)HO WESLEY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   10/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMES GANG Sep02 Aug16 May15 Apr23 Apr12 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
CLAW Sep23 Sep04 Jul26 Jul10 Jun19 (sandoval mic)BELISARIO JUAN 115 1.60 25% 3.00    
SCR  BESOTTED Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 May29 Mar15 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 120 30.00    
THANK YA PETE Sep13 Aug31 Aug15 Jul26 Jul05 (cromer leslie)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
SCR  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 May23 May01 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
SECESSION Aug10 Aug03 Jul17 Jul06 Jun12 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
COWBOY AT HEART Aug16 Jul24 Jun06 Jan30 Jan02 (walters davi)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.50 21% 3.90    
GOLDEN PALACE Jul31 May24 Apr17 Mar04 Feb14 (knudsen kent)HO WESLEY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN JOE Sep27 Aug02 Jul19 Jun27 May01 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
10  COLT ROCK Aug09 Jul17 May09 Apr17 Mar29 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.