Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - October 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(2/5/4)-(5/6/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(5/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(5/6/7/2)-(6/3/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/2)-(6/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/2)-(6/3/4/5)-(8/6/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/5)-(8/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/5)-(8/6/7/2)-(6/7/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/7/2)-(6/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7/2)-(6/7/5/2)-(2/4/8/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/2)-(2/4/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/2)-(2/4/8/7)-(6/7/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/7)-(2/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/7)-(2/4/8/7)-(2/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/8/7)-(6/7/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/03/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA MARCHES ON Sep11 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul04 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 111 4.50 14% 6.20    
2  WISHFUL THOUGHTS Sep13 Sep05 Aug09 Jul12 Jul04 (shanley)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50    
3  BULL RIDER Sep11 Aug23 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 120 5.00    
4  CASTLE OF CORK May22 Apr24 Apr03 Mar14 Feb22 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 2.50    
5  SING ME TO SLEEP Sep11 Jul24 Jun28 May29 Dec15 (peltroche vanes)LARA VICTOR 107 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  JUBA'S HEART Sep19 Aug02 Jul17 May22 May01 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 3.00 54% 0.80    
 
CT-2   10/03/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLECTING ANGELS Sep18 Jul24 Jul11 Jun28 Jun12 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 111 3.00    
2  BUTTERFLY EFFECT Sep08 Jul02 Jun12 May24 Apr03 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  TOWN TOPIC Sep12 Aug09 Jul19     (bass w)CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00    
4  OSCOR Sep18 Aug05 Jul18 Jun13 May24 (clatterbuc)SANTAELLA MOISES 113 12.00 8% 11.10    
5  DREAM STREET ROSE Sep18 Aug14 Jul10 May23 Dec07 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
6  LOVELY ODDS Sep11 Sep05 Aug21 Aug01 Jul04 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 2.50    
 
CT-3   10/03/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORIENTEER Sep19 Aug22 Jul18     (hamlin)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 4.50    
  (by REDIRECT out of BENEDICTA by ORIENTATE (GB))
2  BUZZ BUNNY Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 Aug02 Jul12 (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of SISTER AIM by BROTHER DEREK)
3  SMOOTH SAILOR Aug22 Aug02 Jul12 Jun06   (viands r)ACOSTA D 118 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of HEAVENLY LUCKY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
4  ED'S PROPHECY Sep02 Aug07 Jul11 Apr17 Feb28 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 15.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of THAT'S JUST DANDY by HALF OURS)
5  JUNGLE BOOGIE Aug22 Aug02 Jul12     (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 118 0.80 30% 2.40    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
6  BARSOOM Sep19 Sep06 Aug09     (jackson g)CRUZ ANGEL 118 5.00 22% 3.50    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of STROLLING NORTH by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
7  FORTUNATE SON Sep11 Aug02 Nov16     (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 119 8.00 17% 5.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of CINDY S. by LEMON DROP KID)
 
CT-4   10/03/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHELSEA'S DREAM         (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 113 3.50    
  (by EASTERN LORD out of NEW CANAAN by COURAGEOUS CAT)
2  GOLD ROAD Sep13 Sep06       (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 118 20.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of CANDLE OF GOLD by FIBER SONDE)
3  CANDY WIDE         (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by UNIFIED out of WIDE OPEN by FLAT OUT)
4  I'D RATHER NOT         (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PARTNER'S HERO out of CLASS SHADOW by ROCK POINT)
5  KEEP ON PRAYING Sep13         (boykins kevin)STOKES J 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
6  BELLE CAUSE Jul11 Jun20       (gazzier kristy)JORGE JULIO 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TANITA BELLE by PULPIT)
7  READTHEFINEPRINT         (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 118 3.00    
  (by LAST PRINT out of BOPPIN ROCKET by OFFICER ROCKET)
 
CT-5   10/03/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINE ASTRAY Aug16 Jul12 Jun08 May15 Mar30 (rangel ric)SANTAELLA MOISES 119 10.00    
2  PERSONABLE Sep12 Sep05 Jun26 May22 May02 (calhoun amanda)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 6% 17.10    
3  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Sep13 Jul04 Jun13 May22 May08 (king w)DIAZ JR 120 15.00    
4  SIGRUN FAST BOY Aug17 Jul27 Jul06 May22 May15 (ramos m)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
5  ANNA'S GOT STYLE Sep10 Aug21 Aug06 Jun25 Apr24 (stites w)ACOSTA D 124 2.00    
6  PENGUIN PARADE Sep05 Jul17 Jun05 May22 Apr25 (joy j)LARA VICTOR 110 6.00 28% 2.60    
7  RIDICULOUS Sep12 Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 May02 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 6% 16.10    
8  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Jul25 May01 Apr05 Mar15 Nov15 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.80 35% 1.90    
 
CT-6   10/03/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOX FIFTY EIGHT Sep13 Aug14 Jul31 Jul05 Jun13 (payne claud)RAMGEET R 120 6.00    
2  DANCING DAKOTAH Sep18 Aug14 Jun13 May23 Mar27 (jones mich)SANTAELLA MOISES 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LAST GLANCE Sep11 Aug28 Aug15 Nov01 Oct05 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50    
4  FELINE FACTOR Sep18 Apr18       (barr h)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
5  DICE ARM Sep13 Aug14 Jul25 Jul05 May24 (keller chris)DIAZ JR 124 4.00 8% 11.40    
6  ITZA KITTY Aug18 Jul28 Jul14 Jun25 May18 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 1.60 61% 0.60    
7  TALBOT HEIRLOOM Sep18 Aug23 Jul31 Jul05 Jun13 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50 9% 10.70    
8  LADY TOURIST Sep11 Aug30 Aug15 Mar06 Feb14 (locklear jam)BATISTA A 124 20.00    
 
CT-7   10/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUBURN MILL Aug16 Jul10 Jun20 May23 May08 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
2  DOCTOR PARDO Sep05 Aug16 Jul04 Jun14 May16 (obed-letts ket)REYNOLDS C 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
3  HURRICANE ALERT Sep06 Aug08 Jul17 Jun26 Jun06 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 115 3.50    
4  VALHALLA'S PALACE Sep13 Aug15 Aug01 May08 Mar13 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 5.00 16% 5.30    
5  FAVORITE ROAD Sep19 Sep05 Aug14 Jul26 Jun19 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00    
SCR  ONE CANDY CASTLE Sep19 Aug02 Jun26 Jun05 May10 (bass w)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00    
7  DIRECT THE SHOW Sep04 Aug21 Aug01 Jun19 May22 (shanley)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Sep11 Aug14 Jul26 Jul17 Jun26 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 12% 7.60    
 
CT-8   10/03/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIVE FOR STRIDE Sep06 Aug08 Jun26 Jun06 May22 (shanley tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  ABUELO PAPS Sep13 Aug16 Aug07 Jul24 Jun22 (king w)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
3  CORONATION TIME Sep13 Aug16 Jul03 Jun20 May16 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
4  DANCE A DINI Aug08 Jul09 Jul01 Jun06 May17 (jones michae)BARREDA FREDDY 112 6.00    
5  TOAST TO COAST Aug31 Aug16 Aug08 Jul12 Jun15 (murdock step)BELISARIO JUAN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ADMIT NOTHING Sep21 Sep07 Aug21 Jul05 Jun25 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  OVERLY CRITICAL Sep08 May24 May08 Apr11 Mar22 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
8  UNIFIED WEEKEND Aug16 Jul04 May24 Apr11 Mar21 (adorno jea)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 5.00    
9  SUMMONING DENIS Sep06 Aug08 Jul19 Jun26 Jun13 (shanley timo)DIAZ JR 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.