Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Tuesday - September 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (4/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/7)-(4/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/7)-(4/5/2/7)-(4/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/7)-(9/1/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/7)-(9/1/8/7/5)-(2/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FP-2   WIN (9/1/8/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/8/7/5)-(9/1/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/8/7/5)-(9/1/8/7/5)-(9/1/8/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/8/7/5)-(2/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/1/8/7/5)-(2/5/6)-(3/5/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FP-3   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(3/5/1)-(4/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(4/5/3)-(5/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(5/1/3)-(4/2/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/2/1/5)-(5/6/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FP-7   WIN (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/5)-(5/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/5)-(5/6/4/1)-(9/1/7/3/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FP-8   WIN (5/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/1)-(9/1/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/1)-(9/1/7/3/6)-(9/5/6/8/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FP-9   WIN (9/1/7/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/7/3/6)-(9/1/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/7/3/6)-(9/1/7/3/6)-(9/1/7/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/7/3/6)-(9/5/6/8/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FP-10   WIN (9/5/6/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/6/8/1)-(9/5/6/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/6/8/1)-(9/5/6/8/1)-(9/5/6/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   09/30/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREMOR Sep09         (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 120 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of PRIME by BADGE OF SILVER)
TIME TO TOAST         (burdess te)SIMPSON M 120 10.00 20% 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN PASTIME out of TOAST TO J J by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
INSTASTAR Sep09 Aug26 Aug03 Jul15 Jul04 (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 2.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of TIJORI by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
W W STAR         (becker sco)HERRERA C 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of REVERED by IN REALITY (GB))
BABY I'M HAMMERED         (essenpreis edwa)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of HAMMERED by ROAD RULER)
I NEED MORE MONEY Sep09         (lynch )ORTEGA JOSEPH 120 10.00    
  (by CUPID out of BREAD PUDDIN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
KYANITE Sep09         (retana gab)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of REPATRIATED GEM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
FP-2   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Aug28 Jul19 Jun10 May24 Apr26 (appleton jos)GILES EMMANUEL 126 2.50 22% 3.50    
GALLANT BUCK Aug09 Sep14 Jul09 Jun15 Apr21 (pompell ro)HERRERA C 126 20.00    
FIVE STAR RUN Sep16 Aug23 Jul22 Jun09 Oct26 (thurman rho)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 15.00    
SPANISH DOUBLOON Sep06 Aug09 Jun14 Oct17 Oct05 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 4.50    
JOYFUL GHOST Sep16 Aug23 Jul05 Oct24 Sep24 (wiese )ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCOTCH NO ROCKS Aug19 Aug05 Jul05 Jun07 May24 (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 126 6.00    
SPIN THE BOULEVARD Nov02 Oct17 Sep21 Sep03 Aug17 (plasters lori)FELIX E 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHARLIE LIGHTNING Sep11 Jul19 Jun07 May17 Nov02 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 126 12.00 12% 7.40    
SWAGGY GEORGE Aug19 Jul15 Jul01 Jun07 May17 (durham mike)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  MUNNYCANTBUYMELOVE Sep06 Aug26 Aug09 Jul15 Jul01 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 8.00    
 
FP-3   09/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST RETURN Aug26 Aug05 Jul24 Jul05 May17 (blea t)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 4.50    
HARLEY'SRUNAWAYKID Sep16 Aug26 Jun24 Jun07 May24 (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
ZEES CLOZURE Aug20 Jul21       (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 117 5.00    
YORKTON WHEAT Sep19 Aug26 Aug03     (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 2.50    
ALLKINDSOFTROUBLE Sep16 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul02 (wells duane)DIEGO JAVIER 120 10.00 19% 4.20    
MY SECRET Sep16 Aug12 Jul22 May17 Sep21 (laux clay)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 8.00 17% 4.80    
Y U UNBRIDLED Aug19 Jul22       (delong ben)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 6.00    
 
FP-4   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUREAU Jun14 May17 Oct29 Oct01 Aug27 (wilborn kev)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DUST DANCER (GB) Sep06 Aug05 May31 May17 Oct29 (rodriguez jo)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00    
MEGAN'S HONOR Aug05 Jul19 Jun05 May17 Apr26 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 1.20 58% 0.70    
BILL'S HONOR Jul31 Jun10 May09 Oct17 Jul06 (becker scott)WALES T 124 4.00    
AMERICAN WARRIOR Aug05 Jul19 Jul03 May31 May13 (watkins m)FELIX E 124 1.60 8% 11.70    
 
FP-5   09/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUTADAY Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul22 Jul08 (lynch harry )GILES EMMANUEL 124 3.00    
FETCHS BRAHM Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 Jul16 Jun25 (durham mike)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
GET ME ONE TOO Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul02 Jun19 (wells duane)DIEGO JAVIER 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD JERRY Sep01 Jul19 Jun28 Jun01 May10 (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 118 4.00 53% 0.90    
SPOONMAN Sep13 Aug23 Jul08 Jun07 May24 (burdess t)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
ROCKETSOCKITTEWMEY Sep13 Aug12 Jul12 Jun23 Jun16 (caraker doug)WALES T 120 12.00    
SCR  TRUIST Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Jul15 Jun28 (wainwright john)FELIX E 124 2.00    
 
FP-6   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO STORMIN GIRL Sep02 Aug09 Jul31 Jul13 Jun08 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
FAST N HAPPY Aug31 Aug21 Jul17 May11 Apr20 (alonso fern)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.50    
BETHY Sep06 Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 May27 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
TENSE Sep06 Jun17 May20 May06 Oct24 (rodriguez jose)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00    
BIG SALLY Sep02 Aug09 Jul08 Jun21 Jun08 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  PALACE MAGIC Sep16 Aug09 Jul17 Jul03 May25 (alonso)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 10.00    
ORNERY ANGEL Sep19 Aug31 Aug09 Jul17 Jul03 (quinonez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 5.00    
 
FP-7   09/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASSING PASSION Sep09 Aug19 Jul26 Jun24 Jun03 (fridley steve)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SAINT GHAALEB Aug26 Jul12 Jun21 Jun03   (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
TRY Aug26 Aug05 Jul12 Jun24 Apr29 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 118 3.50    
TAXDAY PEYTON Aug23 Jul26 Jul08     (becker scott)WALES T 120 4.50 39% 1.50    
I DID THE MATH Aug19 Aug07 Jul08 Jun21 Jun03 (rednou)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
HALO HONEY Aug26 Aug05 Jun24 Jun07 May24 (essenpreis edwa)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 5.00    
IRISH SPARK Sep09 Aug23 Jul26 Oct03 Sep12 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 126 6.00    
 
FP-8   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST CROSS TRAFFIC Sep09 Aug26 Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 (plasters lo)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SPAN Sep09 Aug26 Jul19 Jul01 Jun21 (blea t)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 4.00    
COOLTHING Sep09 Aug26 Jul26 Jul12 Jul01 (lynch har)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 6.00    
STEVE Sep09 Aug23 Aug09 Jul15 Jun28 (straub mar)SIMPSON M 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
AWESOME DREW Sep09 Aug26 Aug09 Jul22 Jun10 (becker scott)FELIX E 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
GRAYHOP Sep09 Aug26 Jul19 Jun28 May27 (plasters lori)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
BEST MAN SPEECH Sep09 Aug26 Jul15 Jun28 Jun07 (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 12.00    
 
FP-9   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANABI Sep09 Jun07 May06 Jul23 Jun29 (lamew brian )GILES EMMANUEL 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
GOODBYE INDY Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jul12   (lynch harr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 12.00    
REDHEADEDSTRANGER Sep13 Aug17 Jul15 Jul04 Mar28 (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
K O AMERICAN PIE Sep09 Aug19 Aug09 Jul12 Jun10 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.50    
HEAVENLY SCENT Sep16 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 124 15.00    
FOREVER BLESSED Sep09 Aug23 Jul15 Jun17 Jun03 (lynch e)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROYAL BLOOD Sep09 Jul01 Jun10 Feb06 Jan16 (randazzo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
MISS KITTY PIE Sep06 Aug23 Jul05 May20 Jul06 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00    
RISKY SPIRIT Aug30 Mar23 Mar08 Feb16 Dec31 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
FP-10   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCY JANE Sep02 Jun28 Oct24 Oct12 Sep22 (foxwor)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
PRIMITY Aug12 Jul12 Jun28 Jun17 Jun03 (wilborn ke)SIMPSON M 124 20.00    
JERSEY GOLD Sep02 Aug14 Jul27 Jul08 May27 (nesbitt am)HERRERA C 124 12.00    
AIR GERRI Sep02 Aug12 Jul12 Jun14 May13 (manley steve)WALES T 124 3.50    
I'M INTERESTED Aug23 Aug09 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 2.50 14% 6.10    
WILDWOOD ENCORE Aug12 Jul22 Jul05 Jun10 May13 (wilborn kevi)TAVARES JAVIER 126 6.00 7% 13.10    
CAT TALE BREEZE Sep02 Aug26 Aug12 Jul12 Jun28 (lear heidi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
SKIP THE FORMALITY Sep09 Aug19 Jul01 Oct15 Oct01 (wells duane)DIEGO JAVIER 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
FRENCHYS TOAST Sep13 Aug23 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 120 4.50 53% 0.90    
10  LITTLE SASSER Sep13 Aug19 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 (durham mike)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.