Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/4)-(5/3/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(5/3/1/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(5/3/1/2)-(2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/2)-(5/3/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/2)-(5/3/1/2)-(5/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/2)-(2/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/2)-(2/6)-(6/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-4   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/6)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(6/5/2)-(6/9/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-5   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(6/9/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(6/9/5/1)-(2/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/9/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/5/1)-(6/9/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/9/5/1)-(6/9/5/1)-(6/9/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/5/1)-(2/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/9/5/1)-(2/1/6)-(3/2/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(3/2/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/29/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAIRE'S DARLING Sep02 Aug17 Aug11 Jul28 Jun22 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MADE TO HUSTLE Sep18 Aug07 Jun25 May20 Oct18 (rogers r)RODRIGUEZ O 123 3.50    
3  MORETASTIC Sep17 Aug20 Aug12 Jul04 Jun11 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 123 1.80 23% 3.30    
SCR  GOOD TO BE TRUGE Sep08 Aug27 Aug19 Jul22 Jul03 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 6.00    
5  IRISH VICTORY (IRE) Sep10 Aug12 Jun10 Oct14 Sep26 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
6  FIRST FORAY Sep09 Aug11 Jul23 Jul15 Jun16 (kulp bra)MARTINEZ A 123 2.50    
 
PID-2   09/29/2025 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ST. EMILION Sep10 Aug24 Aug05 Jul15   (johnson jen)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CONQUEST SERENADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  AUTOMATIC OSCAR         (walsh d)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of FULLY AUTOMATIC by FULLBRIDLED)
3  ANALYST Sep09 Aug18 Jul30 Jul14 Jun24 (uhacz wendy)GARCIA F 121 10.00    
  (by WALL STREET DANCER out of QUANT by WAR FRONT)
4  AND THATS MY STORY Aug18 Jul30 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 (pappada michael)BAYS BROOKE 114 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by ALTERNATION out of POLA'S PLACE by OUT OF PLACE)
5  ENGLISH ROCKER Sep07 Aug18       (mott ril)GALLARDO A 121 1.60 51% 1.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of DARING DUCHESS by ARCH)
SCR  COASTAL BREEZE Aug20 May26       (harty eoin)POSTON K 111 2.50    
  (by COASTAL out of HAWANA by WAR FRONT)
 
PID-3   09/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLUID SITUATION Aug01 Jul03 Jun12 Mar15 Feb22 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 123 2.50 17% 4.80    
2  KOTYLOS Aug06 Jul22 Jun25 May21 Mar15 (russell randall)ALLEN M 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CALL ME LATER Aug18 Jul22 Jul02 Oct23 Oct10 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 4.00 18% 4.50    
4  GOTTS GOT IT Jun16 Apr04 Mar21 Feb23 Feb07 (kleine bernard )BAYS BROOKE 116 10.00    
5  SAINT GOAR Aug26 Aug11 Jul28 Jul02 Jun04 (pappada mic)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  GAVEL Apr27 Apr06 Feb16 Jan30 Dec12 (rivelli )GALLARDO A 123 4.50    
7  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 Jun02 May04 (rice kevin)AYALA J 119 6.00    
 
PID-4   09/29/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WROTE IN STONE Sep24 Sep07 Aug17 Jul29 Jul21 (fennessy john)STOKES J 123 8.00    
2  CON ON THE RUN Sep10 Sep02 Jul30 Jul15 Jun30 (potts ro)MARTINEZ A 123 1.40 42% 1.40    
3  DISCO CENTS Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jun18 Jun04 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 4.50    
4  SHOWTIME BOY Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul03 Jun24 (baez ralph )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 15.00    
5  VALIANT VICTORIA Aug05 Jul07 Oct22 Oct07 Sep26 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 5.00    
6  GEPARD Sep17 Sep03 Jul09 May18 Apr06 (antus lawrence)GARCIA F 123 8.00 15% 5.70    
7  SPEEDY HANS Sep22 Aug05 Jun28 Jun15 May31 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 123 3.50 ★    
 
PID-5   09/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH TRACK Sep15 Aug19 Aug04 Jul21 Jul04 (miller h)MARTINEZ A 123 12.00    
2  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Jul25 Jun28 Jun08 Apr26 Apr16 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 123 10.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  DOROTEA DREAM Sep16 Sep03 Aug27 Jul04 Jun17 (baez n)AYALA J 119 3.00    
4  LIZZIE BABY Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jun24 Jun10 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
5  SPARKLING RUBY Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun11 (dickey keith)SPIETH S 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
6  HAUT LES COEURS Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jun30 Jun09 (pappada )RODRIGUEZ O 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
7  JOYS OF SUMMER Sep15 Sep03 Aug15 Jul30 Jun23 (baez ralph )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00    
 
PID-6   09/29/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUKE SKYWALKER Sep09 Jul22 Jul01 Jun15 May26 (fennessy john)STOKES J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIDLEY PARK Sep11 Aug15 Jul18 Jul03 May30 (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 123 3.50    
3  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Sep02 Aug25 Aug12 Jul07 Jun23 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 4.50    
4  TRUTH AND HONESTY Sep03 Aug15 Jul28 Jul09 Jun23 (rogers mi)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00    
5  LIGHTNING CHARLIE Aug26 Aug18 Jul28 Jul09 Jun23 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GENERAL WINSTON Sep03 Jul30 Jun30 May28 Oct22 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 123 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  EXTRA MEDIUM Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 (rogers j)RODRIGUEZ O 123 15.00    
SCR  CHAMBERS BAY Sep13 Aug22 Aug14 Aug02 Aug14 (sherman justin)JURADO EDDIE 123 20.00    
9  TONY SMALL Sep10 Aug05 Jul09 Jun30 Jun04 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 6.00 8% 11.90    
 
PID-7   09/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALENTINE BUG Sep22 Sep03 Aug03 Jul09 Jun16 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00 8% 11.70    
2  SCHNITTKER Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 (guciardo john)SPIETH S 123 3.50 61% 0.60    
3  TARSUS WARRIOR Aug15 Aug01 Jul22 Jun25 May19 (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 123 1.60    
4  SHAKIN IT UP LARRY Sep15 Aug11 Jul28 Jul02 Oct03 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 3.00    
5  THORN OF HEARTS Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 (miller h)RODRIGUEZ O 123 6.00    
6  HECTOR Sep08 Aug15 Jul28 Jun25 Jun11 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   09/29/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT AMBITION Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug04 Jul16 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 125 15.00    
2  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Aug06 Jul08 Jun15 May10 Apr09 (sharp joe)MARTINEZ W 123 3.50 17% 4.90    
3  GROWTH CAPITAL Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 Jun11 May27 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 123 6.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  ERLAN Sep01 Aug12 Jul29 Jul21 Jun10 (kleine bernar)DELGADO DAVID 125 15.00    
5  RAPPER ZAPPER Sep13 Aug14 Jul09 Jun14 Oct26 (salvaggio )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 10.00    
6  VAN Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jun24 Jun17 (depasquale )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  GREY CHARMER Sep09 Aug19 Jul21 Jul08 Jun23 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 123 12.00 15% 5.80    
8  BURNING LEAVES Sep09 Aug11 Jul29 Jul13 Jun28 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 2.50    
9  SAMARITANO Sep19 Aug20 Aug11 Jul28 Jul03 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 6.00    
SCR  RONIC Sep10 Aug26 Aug04 Mar12 Feb07 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.