Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - September 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SWF-6   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SWF-7   WIN (6/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/7)-(4/1/8/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SWF-8   WIN (4/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-9   WIN (5/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/1)-(4/2/5/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SWF-10   WIN (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SWF-6   09/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.5K) 35 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. DUFF Sep20 Sep05 Sep01 Jul27 Jun29 (evans kash)WOOD DAKOTA 128 2.50 36% 1.70    
  (by DANCE HALL DOCTOR out of BIG HONEY BEE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  ZIP IT KAREN Sep14 Sep06 Jul27 Jul06 Jun06 (greene casey)LARSEN S 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIVE SEASONS out of ASTORMISLAUNCHED by STORM CREEK)
3  ROAD QUEEN Sep20 Sep05       (giles raelee)BETHKE A 125 5.00    
  (by CAHILL ROAD out of EVOKING by UNION RAGS)
4  SUNRISE MAGIC Sep06 Aug10 Jun14 Jun06 Sep21 (mitchell r)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of TAIMA THUNDER by COLONEL JOHN)
5  GO CAMI OH Sep21 Sep05 Aug29 Aug16 Jul19 (mitchell r)COATES R 123 1.60 20% 3.90    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of LITTLE TREASURE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
SCR  CANDY HAPPY Sep21 Aug02 Jul13 Jul06 Sep21 (por)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 125 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of RIDE ME FAST by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  DEEP CREEK STORM Aug30 Aug16 Jul05 Sep20 Aug16 (condie kenda)CARILLO DANIEL 126 3.50    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of YEREVAN STORM by TACTICAL CAT)
 
SWF-7   09/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Sep20 Aug30 Aug17 Jul26 Jul13 (teeter clay)ARANA MINOR 126 4.50    
2  B D R BAXTER Aug29 Aug15 Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 (mitchell r)MARTINEZ R 126 8.00    
3  SIZE LORD Sep13 Aug30 Aug23 Jul26 Jul13 (gre)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 126 8.00    
4  CALIFORNIA BLING Sep06 Aug23 Aug16 Aug09 Jul06 (jones darrin)CARILLO DANIEL 123 12.00    
5  GONZAGA BAY Aug31 Aug23 Aug17 Aug10 Jul26 (mitchell chr)BETHKE A 126 4.00 6% 15.90    
6  BUCK OWENS Sep12 Sep06 Aug09 Jul13 Jun22 (story shaun)VIRGEN JESUS 126 2.00 49% 1.00    
7  WARRENS WORLD Sep20 Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 Jun20 (porter brandon)COATES R 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  PEACEFUL WATERS Sep06 Aug09 Jun29 Apr30 Apr10 (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 5.00 20% 4.10    
 
SWF-8   09/28/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL GEMAR Sep20 Aug22 Jul13 Jun29 Sep23 (warr scott)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 10.00 24% 3.10    
2  PARADISE POKER Sep21 Aug30 Jul26 Jul20 Jul13 (gibbs tyler)LARSEN S 126 5.00    
3  MORE THAN LIKELY Sep05 Aug23 Aug02 Aug31 Aug17 (mitchell r)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50    
4  MONTUCKY Sep20 Aug30 Jul26 Jun20 Sep28 (gibbs tyler)CARILLO DANIEL 128 4.00 32% 2.10    
5  SOUTHRN SWEETHEART Aug02 Jun28 Aug30 Aug24 Aug04 (simpson gary)ARANA MINOR 125 6.00    
6  PRO SPECIAL Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jul12 (evans kash)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00    
7  GETTIN TWO COZZY Sep20 Jun07 May17 Oct06 Sep07 (johnson bruce)VIRGEN JESUS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  IMPULZIVE STORM Sep20 Jul05 May11 Sep28 Sep07 (matt r)CARDENAS JACOB 128 6.00 11% 7.70    
 
SWF-9   09/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET N SOUR Sep12 Aug31 Aug09 Aug02 Jul12 (simpson lynn)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MONARCHOS DREAM Sep06 Aug09 Aug02 Jul20 May17 (van gla)ARANA MINOR 128 5.00    
3  UNTO THEE Sep01 Jul20 Jul05 Sep22 Aug04 (simpson gary)ZAVALA JULIAN 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  NAZARE Sep01 Aug27 Aug04 Sep16 Jul01 (mitchell r)MARTINEZ R 128 4.50    
5  STAND TO Aug31 Aug17 Aug02 Jul12 Jun20 (dominguez ca)BETHKE A 128 2.00 59% 0.70    
6  WAYLAY Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 (teeter clay)VIRGEN JESUS 128 3.50 15% 5.70    
7  KEARNEY Sep07 Aug16 Jul20 Mar30 Mar23 (klatt mel)RIVAS CARLOS 128 12.00    
8  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Sep12 Aug10 May24 Apr15 Mar26 (whitehouse wilto)COATES R 128 15.00    
 
SWF-10   09/28/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hasta La Vista Purse ($26.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINSITWELL Sep12 Aug10 Jul06 Jun14 Apr19 (hall dru)ARANA MINOR 126 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of GOLDEN HISTORY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  MAP THIS OUT Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jun22 (scudder jr)COATES R 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of QUINTILE by LANGFUHR)
3  CUCINA Sep13 Sep01 Aug23 Aug17 Aug15 (scudder mike)WOOD DAKOTA 126 12.00    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of IL MULINO by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  KONA SKYE Sep13 Sep06 Aug22 Aug10 Jul27 (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 5.00 37% 1.70    
  (by U S RANGER out of SQUEEZE ME TIGHT by GOLDEN MISSILE)
5  HONOS MAN Sep12 Aug31 Aug10 Nov01 Oct13 (gurnick emma)BETHKE A 126 2.00 16% 5.20    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of SHARONS SONG by BADGER LAND)
6  BAYOU CHROME Sep06 Sep01 Aug23 Aug16 Aug03 (estrada benito)VIRGEN JESUS 126 10.00 10% 9.20    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of TIZ JOSSELYN by TIZNOW)
7  SILVERADO STORM Mar21 Feb17 Dec29 Nov30 Nov01 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 124 8.00    
  (by HEARTWOOD out of LUCY WIGGLES by WESTERN FAME)
8  LOVELY LOLA Sep20 Sep06 Aug16 Aug10 Jul26 (ortega joe)LARSEN S 123 8.00    
  (by FLATTER out of ROYALTY by BIRDSTONE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.