Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - September 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SWF-1   WIN (6/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/1)-(1/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SWF-2   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SWF-3   WIN (6/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/5)-(5/6/1/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SWF-4   WIN (5/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SWF-1   09/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.5K) 35 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIEF HARLAN Sep05 Aug22 Aug03 Jun15 May17 (tsosie terrill)COATES R 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of QUEEN OF RACES by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SCR  GRAVASTAR Sep20 Sep05 Aug22 Aug03 Jul26 (ibanez alberto)WOOD DAKOTA 128 12.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of GRAVATA by MONSUN (GER))
MORE THAN INDY Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Jun23   (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 125 4.00 11% 8.40    
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of SORA by CROWD PLEASER)
TRACEY'S KITCHEN Jul05 Aug30 Aug24     (tsosie te)RIVAS CARLOS 128 10.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of COMMANDRESS by TOP COMMAND)
LADY QUICKSAND Sep12 Aug30 Aug22 Aug02 Jun13 (mitchell r)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 7% 13.80    
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of LADY ATARAH by COURAGEOUS CAT)
SUNTASTIC         (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 128 5.00 55% 0.80    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of WONDROUS CAT by TENGA CAT)
MOR TIGER PAW Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 Aug06 Jul13 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 126 1.40    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of KRISSY'S TIGER PAW by MILITARY)
UNION COWBOY Sep01 Aug22 Jul13     (green d)VIRGEN JESUS 128 6.00    
  (by LETSGOIDAHO out of UNION GIRL by ONE UNION)
 
SWF-2   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRES TENADORES Sep20 Sep06 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  SUN PHOENIX Sep21 Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 (gibbs tyler)BETHKE A 126 2.00    
BENCH'S CONQUEST Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 Jul20 Jun28 (hadley jordan)LARSEN S 126 5.00    
MISS HOTROD Sep06 Aug30 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 (ort)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 121 12.00 21% 3.70    
DIABLOS MOON Sep12 Aug29 Aug16 Aug03 Jul12 (hadley tori)ARANA MINOR 126 3.50    
LADY CYCLONE Sep21 Sep06 Aug30 Aug10 Jul13 (ortega joe)WOOD DAKOTA 121 6.00    
CHILLING VIPER Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 Jul12 (hadley garrett)COATES R 124 10.00 21% 3.70    
 
SWF-3   09/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTTIE JO Aug31 Jul19 Jun28 May31 May17 (tsosie terrill)MARTINEZ R 124 10.00    
BLAKELY Sep01 Jul26 Jul13     (christoffersen)VIRGEN JESUS 126 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  BROKE THE CODE Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 Jun14 (gre)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 126 3.50    
ZACANGO PRIDE Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Nov17 Oct25 (guadarrama omar)ARANA MINOR 126 10.00    
SCREAMING VIRGINIA Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jun07 (buenrostro i)BETHKE A 126 8.00 6% 14.60    
FLIGHT TO QUALITY (FR) Sep12 Jan19 Dec06 Nov22 Oct25 (whitehouse wilto)COATES R 126 2.00 42% 1.40    
BERN DANGER Sep14 Aug22 Jul19 Jul05 Jun22 (palma je)BENN J 124 5.00 8% 11.60    
SWAYING LASSIE Aug31 Aug16 Aug09 Aug03 Jul19 (quezada zach)CHAVEZ E 126 4.50    
 
SWF-4   09/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONTANA Sep20 Sep06 Aug16 Jul13 Jun29 (gre)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
JACHA Sep10 Aug23 Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 126 2.00    
KESSLER KID Sep20 Aug31 Jul27 Jul11 Jul06 (higgins martha)COATES R 126 4.50    
SCR  RIVERSPORT Sep12 Aug31 Aug22 Aug02 Jul26 (ibanez alber)CARILLO DANIEL 126 12.00    
CUPCAKE COWBOY Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 May16 (gibbs tyler)WOOD DAKOTA 126 5.00 44% 1.30    
RIDIN SOLO Sep06 Aug31 Aug23 Aug15 Aug09 (mitchell r)MARTINEZ R 126 3.50 24% 3.20    
CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Sep06 Jul26 Jul19 Jul13 Jun21 (fitzpatr)BENN J 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
O'NEILL'S LEGACY Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul06 Jun14 (quezada zach)CHAVEZ E 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.