Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Saturday - September 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (7/4/1/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/2/10)-(7/4/1/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/2/10)-(7/4/1/2/10)-(7/4/1/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/1/2/10)-(1/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/2/10)-(1/5/6)-(5/3/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FP-2   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-3   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(5/2/4)-(2/6/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(2/6/7/4)-(4/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FP-5   WIN (2/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/4)-(4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/4)-(4/2/5)-(5/1/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FP-6   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(5/1/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FP-7   WIN (5/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/9/7)-(5/1/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/9/7)-(5/1/9/7)-(5/1/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   09/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCEWITHMEFIONA Sep06 Aug12       (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 8.00 17% 4.90    
  (by FLATTER out of SPINSTRESS by HARD SPUN)
LA ROSE BLANCHE         (wells duane)DIEGO JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of BLING QUEEN by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  GOOD NELLIE Sep09         (childers shane)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 12.00    
  (by SHOGOOD out of NOLA STAR by THREE WONDERS)
JULBA Sep09         (wainwright john)LOPEZ A 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
  (by BASIN out of JULMAE by PROUD CITIZEN)
SHOVE OFF Sep06 Aug12 Jul15 Jun15   (martin dawn)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 6.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of ROX STAR BEAUTY by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
JACK'S YELLOW ROSE Sep06 Aug12 Jun15     (burdess te)SIMPSON M 120 20.00    
  (by SLEEPY EYES TODD out of QUEEN CARIBEES by COZZENE)
GOOD AND NAUGHTY Sep07 Aug12       (rivelli larry)FELIX E 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of OURNAUGHTYESCAPADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
DIAMOND N DRESS Jul28 Jul04 Jun18 May31   (chapman j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
  (by CONNECT out of SEVILLE'S PRINCESS by SEVILLE (GER))
ANOTHER PEEK Sep06 Aug12       (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 120 10.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CONCERT PIANIST by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
10  SPICY CANTALOUPE Aug12 Jul15       (lynch e)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of CANTALOUPE ISLAND by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
FP-2   09/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHOZAN'S VALENTINE Sep02 Aug23 Jul22 Jul05 Jun07 (laux clay)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 4.00 53% 0.90    
HOLCOMBE Aug30 Aug02 Jul22 Jul12 Jun17 (blea jr)GILES EMMANUEL 124 6.00    
SMILE LIKE KYLE Sep13 Aug26 Jul22 Sep19 Aug31 (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 5.00    
RACE DRIVER Sep18 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun24 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 2.00    
IRISH DECLARATION Sep06 Aug09 Jul05 May17 Nov21 (martinez ralp)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 3.00 22% 3.60    
ARGYBARGY BUCK Aug09 Jul19 Jul01 May20 Nov02 (wilborn k)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-3   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T TELL KIM Sep06         (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 120 10.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of SHE'S MINE by MINESHAFT)
CAJUN CRUISER Sep02 Aug22 Jul26 Jun15 Apr30 (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 4.50    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of WILD RIDGE by TAPIT)
KENSINGTON AVENUE         (becker sco)HERRERA C 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by OUTWORK out of TORTOISESHELL by AFLEET ALEX)
SNEAKY FEET Sep06 Aug23 Jul22 May31 Apr10 (bahena ferna)GILES EMMANUEL 120 10.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of FUZZY KIM by MADRAAR)
JOHNNY BOLT Aug23 Jul22 Jun17     (becker scott)WALES T 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BEAUTIFUL BECCA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
LAST ARROW Aug23         (plasters lori)FELIX E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of TOTEM POWER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
YOUNG MISCHIEF Sep02 Aug23 Jul22 Jun17 May31 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 126 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of YOUNG ROYALTY by ROYAL ACADEMY)
ODIN THE ACCIDENT Aug23         (fridle)ORTEGA JOSEPH 120 12.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of TWELVE MONARCHS by MONARCHOS)
 
FP-4   09/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Sep06 Aug26 Aug09 Jun29 Jun14 (sandrowsk)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00    
MAJOR CONTENDER Sep13 Aug19 Aug05 Jul05 Jun24 (blea jr)GILES EMMANUEL 124 4.00 15% 5.90    
TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS Aug05 Jul19 Jun17 May20 Apr26 (becker scott)FELIX E 124 5.00    
EUCLID AVENUE Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 Jun19 Jun12 (mosier harold)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MILLARD'S SMILE Aug30 Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 Jun12 (manley steve)WALES T 126 3.00 56% 0.80    
YOU'RE IN COREY Sep06 Aug09 Jul03 May31 Sep28 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00    
 
FP-5   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMND CON SUERTE Aug30 Nov18 Nov07 Oct21 Sep19 (wilborn kevin)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 12.00    
VOLODYMYR Z Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 Jun07   (becker scott)WALES T 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
TOWER GROVE PARK Aug30 Aug05 Jul22     (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.00    
SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN Sep09 Aug26 Jul26 Jul12 Jun24 (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 120 10.00 10% 9.50    
ADIOS KID Aug30 Aug19 Aug09 Jun28 Jun07 (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 118 10.00    
R U JOKING Sep04 Aug09 Jul24 Jun24 Jun07 (quinonez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
STANCE Aug30 Aug09 Jun28 Jun10 May13 (wainwright jo)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00 10% 8.70    
 
FP-6   09/27/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOLOMON VANDY Sep16 Aug26 Aug09 Jul15 Jun03 (straub marv)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
ONORE Sep02 Jul31 Jun27 May27 Apr27 (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 4.00 27% 2.70    
JACK SPRAT Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 Jun24 (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.00    
PATCH O'BRIEN Apr06 Mar15 Mar02 Jan24 Jan05 (bahena fernan)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 6.00 28% 2.50    
WICKED GUS Sep06 Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 Jun10 (straub marvel)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CITY OF GOD Sep09 Aug23 Aug02 May29 May15 (sandrowsk)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
NIGHTWIND Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jul05 Jun08 (durham mike)FELIX E 124 10.00    
 
FP-7   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AERONYX Jul22 Jun29 Jun05     (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by FIRST MONDAYS out of FLY GIRL by FLYING CONTINENTAL)
CHINATOWN GIRL Sep09 Aug05 Jul20 Jun26 Jun03 (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 4.50    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of GRABIT by TAPIT)
RARE BEAUTY Sep13 Aug30 Aug02 Oct07 Jul15 (retana gabe)TAVARES JAVIER 126 8.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of INDIAN CONDUCT by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  TIZSWIFTYSMUSIC Aug26         (quinonez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DANCENSING by TIZNOW)
STEAL POETIC Jul15 Jun28 Jun14 May31 May13 (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by STEALCASE out of PERFECT POET by OXBOW)
SCR  MILAALAH Sep09 Aug30 Aug12 May06   (lynch har)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
  (by CUPID out of TALAALAH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SHOW' EM NOLA Aug28 Aug13 Jul03 May31 Feb19 (cook w)ORTEGA JOSEPH 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of SHOW'EM THE HEAT by HEATSEEKER)
THEY SEE ME DO IT Aug31         (kubinova eliska)FELIX E 120 10.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of SOUL OF HOLLYWOOD by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
PRINCESS HARPER         (bahena fernan)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 10.00 20% 3.90    
  (by CYBER SECRET out of HAMAZING HONOR by HAMAZING DESTINY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.